Liège-Bastogne-Liège 2025 Odds, Predictions and Favourites

Liège–Bastogne–Liège, affectionately known as “La Doyenne” (The Old Lady), stands as one of cycling’s five Monuments and the oldest of the lot, first held in 1892. The 2025 edition promises an epic contest over 252 kilometers of the Ardennes’ undulating terrain, featuring 11 categorized climbs and a total elevation gain of approximately 4,300 meters. The race’s finale, the Côte de la Roche-aux-Faucons, situated just over 13 km from the finish, is poised to be the launchpad for decisive moves.

Liège-Bastogne-Liège 2025 Overview

Race Name	Liège–Bastogne–Liège 2025
Date	Sunday, April 27, 2025
Edition	111th
Distance	252 km
Start/Finish	Liège, Belgium
Elevation Gain	~4,300 meters
Key Climbs	Côte de Saint-Roch, Côte de Wanne, Côte de Stockeu, Côte de la Redoute, Côte de la Roche-aux-Faucons
Final Climb	Côte de la Roche-aux-Faucons
Race Type	One-day Monument (Ardennes Classics)

A decisive section of the race is likely to be the Côte de la Roche-aux-Faucons, where explosive attacks often splinter the peloton and set the stage for the final section just over 13 km from the finish.

Top Contenders and Betting Odds

Tadej Pogačar (UAE Team Emirates)

Odds: 1.40 ( via Campeon Bet)
The Slovenian sensation enters as the overwhelming favorite (yes, as usual). Despite an unexpected loss at the Amstel Gold Race, where he was overtaken in the final kilometers, Pogačar showcased his resilience by clinching victory at La Flèche Wallonne, demonstrating his formidable form and determination to dominate the Ardennes Classics.

Remco Evenepoel (Soudal Quick-Step)

Odds: 5.00 ( via Campeon Bet)
Returning from a significant shoulder injury sustained after a crash into the postal car, Evenepoel has shown promising signs of form. His performance at La Flèche Wallonne, where he finished strongly, indicates he’s regaining his top condition. As a former winner of Liège–Bastogne–Liège, his knowledge of the course and racing acumen make him a serious contender.

Mattias Skjelmose (Lidl-Trek)

Odds: 17.00 ( via Campeon Bet)
Skjelmose’s victory at the Amstel Gold Race was a testament to his climbing prowess and tactical intelligence. However, a crash at La Flèche Wallonne has cast doubt on his participation in Liège–Bastogne–Liège. If he starts, his recent form suggests he could be a dark horse.

Ben Healy (EF Education–EasyPost)

Odds: 19.00 ( via Campeon Bet)
The Irishman has been making waves with his aggressive racing style this season, earning combativity award multiple times already. A strong showing at the Amstel Gold Race has positioned him as a potential surprise package. His ability to animate races could see him in contention if the favorites mark each other out.

Thibau Nys (Lidl-Trek)

Odds: 29.00 ( via Campeon Bet)
A rising star, Nys has transitioned impressively from cyclocross to road racing. His recent performances indicate a growing confidence and capability to handle the demands of the Ardennes Classics. While a win might be ambitious, a podium finish isn’t out of reach, especially that he himself claims that Ardennes suite him well enough

Thomas Pidcock (Q36.5 Pro Cycling Team)

Odds: 26.00 ( via Campeon Bet)
Pidcock’s versatility makes him a threat in various terrains. While he hasn’t had standout results in the lead-up races except the podium on the Wallonne, where he simply outsprinted the bunch, his technical skills and race intelligence could see him capitalize on any tactical stalemates.

Romain Bardet (Team Picnic PostNL)

Odds: 40.00 ( via Campeon Bet)
The experienced Frenchman brings a wealth of knowledge to the race. While not among the top favorites, his climbing ability and race craft could see him feature prominently in his last year of racing, especially if the race unfolds unpredictably like it did with an attack of Allaphillipe on the Amstel.

Who to Bet On for Liège–Bastogne–Liège 2025

Pogačar’s resilience and climbing prowess position him as the frontrunner. Evenepoel’s familiarity with the course and recent form make him a formidable opponent, especially taking into consideration that he did win this raace back-to-back before. Healy’s unpredictability and tenacity could disrupt the race dynamics, especially in the final part of the race, where he might perform his explosive attack and drop the rivals, allowing him to slip into a podium position, making him “The Best of the Rest”.

Predicted Podium:

• Tadej Pogačar – His current form and determination to assert dominance after the Amstel setback make him the prime candidate for victory.
• Remco Evenepoel – With a strong return from injury and a history of success in this race, Evenepoel is poised to challenge for the top spot.
• Ben Healy – His aggressive racing style and recent performances suggest he could capitalize on any hesitation among the favorites to secure a podium finish.

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Is Mathieu Van der Poel Racing Liège–Bastogne–Liège 2025?

Mathieu Van der Poel will not be participating in the 2025 edition of Liège–Bastogne–Liège. The race’s profile doesn’t align with his strengths, and he’s chosen to focus on other objectives for the season, including targeting Grand Tour stages and MTB World Champ that better suit his capabilities. He did spent quite enough of his energy on the first part of the Sprin Classics season and continuing wasting his energy simply for participating in the races is something that he’s never been up to.

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