Levi Rothermund
| Prefer us on Google — see Tips.gg in Top Stories & Discover | Add on Google |
Dortmund welcome Werder Bremen back to Signal Iduna Park for a cup rematch that comes just days after these two shared the points 2-2 in the league. That Bundesliga draw is the obvious subplot here. Niko Kovac’s side let a lead slip against a Bremen team that has looked far more fragile defensively than their recent scorelines suggest, and this time there’s no group table to fall back on. One bad night and the cup run ends.
Bremen arrive with a strange mix of form. They beat Mainz 3-2 last time out, yet a few weeks back they shipped seven goals to Twente without reply. That kind of inconsistency at the back is exactly what Dortmund’s attack will look to exploit.
Serhou Guirassy is the man Dortmund lean on up front, carrying 21 shots across his last five appearances, comfortably the heaviest workload in the squad. For Bremen, Niclas Füllkrug has been a one-man wrecking crew lately with six goals in four games, and he’s the type of striker who can punish a slow defensive line even on a bad team night.
Hot stat: Werder’s 0-7 collapse against Twente remains the standout number from either side’s recent run, a scoreline that still looks odd next to their attacking output elsewhere.
| 🏆 Tournament: | DFB Pokal 2026/27, Round 2 |
| 🏟 Venue: | Signal Iduna Park, Dortmund |
| 🗓️ Date: | 27.10.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 20:45 CEST |
Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen prediction
We think Dortmund win this one, but we’re not fully sold on a comfortable night. The last head-to-head ended 2-2 and Bremen have shown they can score against anyone, Füllkrug especially. Our lean is Dortmund to win with both teams scoring, rather than backing a clean sheet at short odds.
Dortmund have racked up far more shots, corners and fouls across their last five matches than Bremen, a gap that points to control of possession and territory. Bremen commit fewer fouls and pick up fewer cards, which suggests a side playing more reactively, soaking pressure rather than disrupting the game physically. That passive approach, combined with their leaky recent defensive record, tilts this toward an open game where Dortmund create plenty but Bremen still nick something through individual quality up top.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Dortmund win & BTTS Yes |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 9.5 |
Team Analysis
Dortmund’s last fifteen results read like a side in control of their season, something like ten wins against just two losses, with a handful of draws mixed in. Their most recent outing was a tidy 1-0 win over Eintracht Frankfurt, a result built on control rather than fireworks. Before that came the 2-2 draw with this very Bremen side, a match where Dortmund led twice and still couldn’t close it out. That’s the pattern Kovac needs to fix before Bremen show up again at Signal Iduna Park. In our preview of Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt we backed Dortmund to win while also expecting goals at both ends, and the eventual 1-0 scoreline got the headline call right even though Frankfurt failed to register.
Bremen’s form is choppier, something closer to a mix where wins and draws roughly balance out and losses aren’t rare. Their last match was a 3-2 win over Mainz, a genuinely encouraging result given how open it was defensively. Before that, a 2-2 draw with Paderborn and the same scoreline against Dortmund in the league. Go back one more and you hit that 0-7 humbling by Twente, still the ugliest mark on their season. In our preview of Mainz vs Werder Bremen we sided with Mainz winning at home, and the 3-2 result in Bremen’s favor went against that call.
🚨Check out our dedicated Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Borussia Dortmund the favourite
- Moneyline Borussia Dortmund 1.30 | Werder Bremen 7.00
- Draw 5.00
The market has this nearly settled before kickoff, with bookmakers giving Dortmund roughly a 69% implied chance of winning outright. That lines up with the gap in squad depth and this year’s league form, where Dortmund sit at 61% winrate against Bremen’s 34%. Short Dortmund moneyline odds don’t leave much value on their own, though, which is part of why we lean toward combining the win with goals at both ends for better returns.
Possible Starting Lineups
Borussia Dortmund possible starting eleven
- GK: Gregor Kobel
- DF: Julian Ryerson, Waldemar Anton, Nico Schlotterbeck, Ramy Bensebaini
- MF: Felix Nmecha, Marcel Sabitzer, Joey Veerman, Jobe Bellingham, Ethan Nwaneri
- FW: Serhou Guirassy
Kovac tends to stick with his 4-2-3-1 shape, and most of this group has started nearly every recent match. Guirassy leads the line as the clear focal point, while Schlotterbeck’s habit of popping up with goals from defense adds an extra attacking wrinkle. Watch Bellingham for late box arrivals behind Guirassy.
Werder Bremen possible starting eleven
- GK: Karl Hein
- DF: Mitchell Weiser, Amos Pieper, Marco Friedl, Mick Schmetgens
- MF: Dariusz Stalmach, Youri Regeer, Ludovit Reis, Marco Grüll, Olivier Deman
- FW: Niclas Füllkrug
Thioune also runs a 4-2-3-1, with Füllkrug as the lone striker and Reis pushing forward from midfield where he’s already chipped in three goals this stretch. Grüll’s set-piece delivery has produced assists too, and he’s worth watching from wide areas against a Dortmund backline that can be caught square.
🏅Tips.GG premium subscription brings you even closer to WIN!🏅
- Gain access to the most profitable bets by using our analysis of over 60,000 monthly predictions from 1000+ sources.
- Premium users enjoy predictions from tipsters with the highest win rate while also gaining access to favorable odds, outcome calculation, and quick filter to favorable odds.
- Unlock the “Golden Bet” – our unique formula for the best high-odd betting opportunities! Get detailed reports on our system’s performance, including Winrate, ROI, and Yield.
Werder Bremen. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo
TipsGG Match Prediction
Dortmund should have enough across ninety minutes to get past Bremen, but we don’t expect a routine shutout. The last meeting ended level, and Füllkrug’s current scoring run makes a clean sheet for the home side unlikely. Our punters team is backing Dortmund to win with both teams scoring, landing somewhere around a 3-1 or 3-2 scoreline. Honestly, laying Bremen’s attack completely feels risky given how often they’ve found the net even in defeats this season.
