Levi Rothermund
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Elversberg welcome Darmstadt 98 to the Ursapharm-Arena with a cup spot on the line, and honestly the gap between these two sides looks bigger on paper than their recent 2. Bundesliga meetings suggest. Four of their last head-to-head games came in league play, none settled by more than four goals, yet this time the knockout format changes the calculation completely. One bad night and a season ends. That pressure tends to produce scrappier, more cautious football than league fixtures do, something punters should keep in mind before leaning too hard on goal markets.
Watch Lukas Petkov for Elversberg. He already has a goal and an assist across his last three appearances and tends to pop up in the half-spaces where Darmstadt’s double pivot can get stretched. On the other side, Marco Richter has fired nine shots in his last three games for Darmstadt, more than anyone else on either roster, and he carries most of the away side’s attacking threat on his own.
Hot stat: Darmstadt 98 beat San Antonio 7-0 just two matches back, their biggest win of the sample by some distance, yet they followed it with a 4-0 defeat to Karlsruher next time out. That swing says everything about how unpredictable this Darmstadt side currently is.
| 🏆 Tournament: | DFB Pokal 2026/27, Round 2 |
| 🏟 Venue: | Ursapharm-Arena an der Kaiserlinde, Spiesen-Elversberg |
| 🗓️ Date: | 27.10.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 20:45 CEST |
Elversberg vs Darmstadt 98 prediction
Elversberg are priced as heavy favourites here, and we think that price is fair rather than inflated. They sit miles clear of Darmstadt in the world club rankings, and home advantage in a cup tie tends to matter more than in league football, where travelling fans and rotation blur the picture. Our pick leans Elversberg to win, though we would not stake it as a banker given their own recent wobble of three losses in five.
Style-wise, both sides play with a similar edge of physicality. Elversberg have racked up 43 fouls across their last five matches to Darmstadt’s 35, yet Darmstadt have actually picked up more cards, 8 against 6, which hints at referees clamping down harder on their challenges or a side playing slightly more reactive football without the ball. Elversberg’s 1,171 passes in that span also outstrip Darmstadt’s output in sheer volume, suggesting they will likely dominate territory here. That bodes well for a home win, but cup games have a habit of staying tight regardless of the underlying numbers.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Elversberg -1 Asian Handicap |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Under 9.5 |
Team Analysis
Elversberg arrive off the back of a rough patch. Three defeats in their last five, including a chastening 4-0 loss to RB Leipzig most recently, sandwich a 4-3 win over Augsburg that at least showed they can still score freely when space opens up. A scoreless draw with Schalke and a 2-1 loss to Bayern Munich round out that stretch. In our preview of RB Leipzig vs Elversberg we leaned toward a comfortable Leipzig win paired with Elversberg finding the net, and the eventual 4-0 scoreline backed the outright result but left the goalscoring half of that call short, since Elversberg never broke through. That defensive fragility against a stronger side is worth remembering now, even against lesser opposition than Leipzig.
Darmstadt’s form is just as patchy. Their last outing produced a goalless draw with St Pauli, a result that papered over a 4-0 hammering by Karlsruher the game before. Before that came back to back wins, a 3-1 defeat of Cottbus and that eye-catching 7-0 romp past San Antonio, with a 5-1 loss to Wolfsburg sitting just behind those. Coach Florian Kohfeldt’s side clearly has goals in them on their day, but the Karlsruher and Wolfsburg scorelines show the defence can be opened up badly too.
🚨Check out our dedicated Elversberg vs Darmstadt 98 stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Elversberg the favourite
- Moneyline Elversberg 1.41 | Darmstadt 98 5.75
- Draw 4.50
Bookmakers have this one firmly in Elversberg’s favour, giving them roughly a 64% implied chance of progressing. That price feels reasonable given the ranking gap and the home tie, though at 1.41 there is not much value left on the straight win bet alone. We think backing Elversberg within a combo market, like the handicap line above, offers better returns without straying far from the likely outcome.
Possible Starting Lineups
Elversberg possible starting eleven
- GK: Nicolas Kristof
- DF: Lukas Pinckert, Maximilian Rohr, Felix Keidel, Lasse Günther
- MF: Frederik Schmahl, Lukas Petkov, Łukasz Poreba, Maurice Krattenmacher
- FW: David Mokwa, Noel Futkeu
Wagner tends to stick with his 4-4-2 shape, and the names above have featured in all three of the most recent matches with real minutes behind them. Petkov is the one to watch going forward, while Rohr and Günther carry most of the defensive workload down the flanks.
Darmstadt 98 possible starting eleven
- GK: Marcel Schuhen
- DF: Raoul Petretta, Aleksandar Vukotić, Patric Pfeiffer, William Mikelbrencis
- MF: Kai Klefisch, Hiroki Akiyama, Marco Richter, Noah Weisshaupt, Lance Duijvestijn
- FW: Milan Smit
Kohfeldt’s 4-2-3-1 relies on Klefisch and Akiyama shielding the back four, freeing Richter and Weisshaupt to push forward. Smit leads the line alone, and he will need service given how isolated he has looked in recent matches.
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Darmstadt 98. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo
TipsGG Match Prediction
We expect Elversberg to go through here, but not without a bit of drama. Their home form carries weight, and the gulf in overall quality should tell across ninety minutes even with Darmstadt capable of the odd shock, as that 7-0 win over San Antonio shows. Darmstadt’s defensive issues against Karlsruher and Wolfsburg suggest they can be got at, and Elversberg’s own attacking players, Petkov especially, should find room. Our lean is Elversberg to win with both teams scoring, a result that fits the pattern both sides have shown across their last five matches apiece.
