The Tour de France isn’t just about jerseys and champagne on the Champs-Élysées—it’s also a goldmine for those who follow every pedal stroke with the sharp eye of a strategist. As the 2025 edition of the world’s most iconic cycling race approaches, the betting markets are buzzing with unique and curious special bets. From the odds of national glory on Bastille Day to a yellow jersey debut for a three-time champion, the sportsbooks are offering fans not just predictions, but challenges to their cycling acumen.
Here’s a detailed look at the most compelling special bets ahead of the Tour de France 2025. Below is the full table of the available odds, followed by an in-depth breakdown of each possibility:
📊 Special Bets & Odds for Tour de France 2025
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| Event | Odds (Yes) | Odds (No) |
|---|---|---|
| A rider from France wins the stage on July 14 | 3.8 | 1.22 |
| Tadej Pogačar to be wearing the yellow jersey at least once | 1.05 | — |
| Jonas Vingegaard to be wearing the yellow jersey at least once | 1.65 | — |
| Primož Roglič to be wearing the yellow jersey at least once | 6 | — |
| A rider from South Africa wins the stage on the 18th of July (Mandela Day) | 34 | — |
🇫🇷 A rider from France wins the stage on July 14
Odds: Yes – 3.8 | No – 1.22
The Bastille Day stage is more than a date—it’s a cultural moment. French riders know the symbolic weight of claiming victory on their national day, and fans rally behind them with a fervor unmatched elsewhere on the calendar. Historically, it’s a tall order. The last Frenchman to win on July 14 was Warren Barguil in 2017, and since then, foreign dominance has reigned.
Still, names like kevin vauquelin, Nicolas Prodhomme, and perhaps even the versatile Valentin Madouas will be eyeing this date with ambition. The odds reflect the difficulty: 3.8 is juicy, but realistic. France doesn’t lack talent—it lacks timing and the right breakaway scenario. Could 2025 be the year the tricolore flies high again on its most important day?
🟡 Tadej Pogačar to be wearing the yellow jersey at least once
Odds: Yes – 1.05
The lowest odds on the board—and for good reason. Tadej Pogačar is a near-lock to wear the maillot jaune at some point during the race. Whether it’s during an early punchy stage, a dominant time trial, or through his relentless consistency in the mountains, Pogačar almost always finds himself in yellow.
Even last year, when he didn’t win the Tour, he still slipped into the jersey briefly. The betting market is treating this outcome as inevitable. A 1.05 return may not excite bettors, but it certainly signals the cycling world’s enduring faith in the Slovenian phenom.
🟡 Jonas Vingegaard to be wearing the yellow jersey at least once
Odds: Yes – 1.65
Jonas Vingegaard is a man with something to prove. After a turbulent 2024 season marked by injuries and team tensions, 2025 is his shot at redemption. The 1.65 odds suggest the market still believes in his ability to dominate—especially during the high-mountain stages where he’s made his name.
Expect his key opportunity to arise in the Alps or Pyrenees. If he’s fit and the team dynamics at Visma-Lease a Bike are harmonized, he could wear yellow again—even if briefly. His odds, higher than Pogačar’s but still favored, reflect both his potential and the unpredictability of his form.
🟡 Primož Roglič to be wearing the yellow jersey at least once
Odds: Yes – 6.00
Once the king-in-waiting, Primož Roglič now finds himself the dark horse. At 6.00, this bet is pure speculation—but with heart. The recent Giro d’Italia showed flashes of the old Roglič: smart, gritty, and devastating when the terrain suits him. But will that be enough?
Much will depend on his role at BORA-hansgrohe. If he’s the out-and-out leader and the team rallies behind him, Roglič could find a stage to attack early and snag yellow. However, it’s just as likely he plays the long game or supports another contender. High risk, high drama—just like Roglič himself.
🌍 Mandela Day Miracle? South Africa’s Long Shot
Odds: Yes – 34.00
A South African stage win on July 18 (Nelson Mandela Day) is one of the longest shots on the board. At 34.00, this is where passion meets prophecy. Daryl Impey famously delivered South Africa’s first Tour stage win in 2019, and while his prime years may be behind him, the rainbow nation has quietly nurtured new talent.
Riders like Stefan de Bod and Ryan Gibbons have the engine and tactical brain to aim for a breakaway on flatter terrain. Still, this bet is symbolic—rooted in hope more than probability. But what a story it would be: a South African victory on Mandela Day. These are the moments fans live for.
Betting With Insight, Not Just Instinct
What makes these special bets fascinating isn’t just the numbers—it’s the narratives they hint at. Each outcome represents a deeper thread within the Tour’s grand tapestry:
- National pride and home-soil heartbreak on Bastille Day.
- Rivalries between cycling’s modern titans: Pogačar and Vingegaard.
- A legend’s potential last stand in Roglič.
- A dream of continental triumph on a day of deep historical resonance for South Africa.
Understanding the odds is about reading between the lines. It’s not just “what could happen,” but why it matters, and how it fits within the broader story of this year’s Tour.
The Road Ahead
With every pedal stroke in July, these outcomes will inch closer to reality—or vanish into the slipstream. Whether you’re a seasoned punter, a casual fan, or a die-hard tifoso of the cycling scene, these special bets offer a compelling lens through which to view the 2025 Tour de France.
As the race unfolds, keep these bets in mind—not just for the possible payouts, but for the passion, pride, and unpredictability they represent.
Want to follow these moments as they happen? Stay locked in with our daily race insights, tactical breakdowns, and special betting coverage right here at TipsGG. The Tour is more than a race—it’s a story. Make sure you don’t miss a single chapter.