900%Bonus
Bonus
900%
Exclusive bonus 150FS + 900% deposit bonus
Sign Up & Activate Bonus
No, thanks

Vuelta a España 2026 Stage 20 Preview: Favourites and Prediction

11.09.2026, 15:21
Prefer us on Google — see Tips.gg in Top Stories & DiscoverAdd on Google

Stage 19 from Vélez-Málaga to Peñas Blancas ended with a breakaway victory as Eddie Dunbar caught Santiago Buitrago inside the final 500 metres, the Colombian having attacked on the closing climb and looked set for the win. Behind them, the general classification battle produced a stalemate. Primož Roglič attacked inside the final two kilometres but Enric Mas followed without difficulty, and the top five finished together. Jakob Omrzel briefly lost contact on the climb before fighting his way back, eventually crossing the line six seconds behind the other leading contenders.

That left the overall standings unchanged going into the final mountain stage. Mas holds 1:37 over Roglič, with Felix Gall third at 3:01, Richard Carapaz fourth at 5:17, Oscar Onley fifth at 6:03 and Omrzel sixth at 7:06, leaving Onley 1:03 clear of the Slovenian in the fight for the white jersey. In the mountains classification, Buitrago’s second place on Peñas Blancas strengthened his grip on the competition ahead of a stage carrying five more categorised climbs. No change of note was reported in the points classification, which was not contested on a day shaped entirely by the climbers.

Stage 20: The Route and Its Challenges

Stage 20 covers 186.8km from La Calahorra to Collado del Alguacil with approximately 4,849 metres of elevation gain, although some race previews have put the figure above 5,000 metres. The neutralised start is at 12:30 CEST, with racing expected to begin at around 12:36 CEST and the finish anticipated between 17:16 and 17:47 CEST. Race director Javier Guillén has described this edition as the hardest Vuelta of the modern era, and the queen stage is the clearest expression of that: five categorised climbs, three of them category one or harder, arranged so that the difficulty increases steadily as the day goes on.

Climb Category Length and gradient Summit at km Distance to finish
Puerto de Los Blancares 3 7.7km at 3.7% 50.7 136.1km
Puerto de El Purche 1 8.2km at 8.1% 94.3 92.5km
Puerto de El Purche 1 8.2km at 8.1% 125.5 61.3km
Puerto de El Duque 1 7.4km at 8.3% 155.4 31.4km
Collado del Alguacil HC 8.3km at 9.8% 186.8 Summit finish

The opening 80 kilometres

The route heads west out of La Calahorra towards the Granada mountains, and the first 80km are comparatively restrained. Puerto de Los Blancares arrives after 50.7km and climbs for 7.7km at 3.7%, gentle enough to leave the general classification teams untroubled but useful terrain for a strong breakaway to form. Given the size of the gaps at the top of the standings, how much freedom that move is granted will be one of the day’s first significant decisions.

The double ascent of El Purche

The stage changes character at Monachil. Puerto de El Purche is climbed for the first time after 86.1km, summiting at kilometre 94.3 after 8.2km at 8.1%. The riders then descend towards Granada, loop back through Huétor Vega and return to Monachil to climb exactly the same road again, cresting it a second time at kilometre 125.5. El Purche is a hard ascent in its own right, with a steep series of early hairpins, a straighter section at around 18% and a short kick at the top. Climbing it twice within roughly half an hour is the stage’s principal attrition mechanism: the first passage can strip out the weaker domestiques, and the second asks the stronger ones to repeat an effort that already took them close to their limit. By the time the race reaches the final two climbs, team support in the leading group could be significantly reduced.

Puerto de El Duque

Puerto de El Duque replaced the Alto de Hazallanas, which was removed after landslides caused by severe weather in February damaged the access road. The substitution has not made the stage easier. Making its Vuelta debut, El Duque begins with 38.8km remaining and climbs for 7.4km at 8.3% to a summit at the Sierra Nevada ski station, 1,670 metres above sea level, with 31.4km to go. Its opening section is tough and uses the same approach road as the start of the Alguacil before forking right. For anyone hoping to unseat Mas, this is probably the most important tactical point of the day: attacking here creates another half-hour of racing in which a gap can grow and Movistar can be forced to chase, but there is a long descent and valley section afterwards in which a lone rider can spend far more energy than the advantage is worth.

Collado del Alguacil

The finish is the first ascent of Collado del Alguacil in Vuelta history and the only hors catégorie climb of the 2026 race. Officially 8.3km at 9.8%, it rises 816 metres to an altitude of 1,884 metres, with the final kilometre averaging 9.6%. In practice the climbing starts considerably earlier: from the junction at Pinos Genil, 17.1km from the top, the road is uphill almost all the way, including a brutal ramp of around 22% through the village of Güéjar Sierra before the official start of the climb. The early section is narrow, patched and interrupted by drainage channels cut across the road, after which the gradient settles at a relentless 10% or slightly above, with the last hairpins kicking to nearly 16%. The upper half is exposed, open and susceptible to wind, and temperatures are forecast to reach the mid-30s. Unlike the long, steady efforts on which Mas has looked most comfortable, this is a short, violent climb on which drafting matters little and a moment of weakness can become a large deficit very quickly.

2026 Vuelta a España – Stage 20

Source: procyclingstats.com

Favourites for the Stage

Felix Gall is the preview pick for the stage win. The Austrian is third overall at 3:01, far enough from red that he can attack early rather than mark his rivals, and a sustained ascent close to ten per cent is as favourable a final opportunity as he could ask for after a race in which he has attacked on almost every major mountain day without taking the time his climbing has threatened to produce. The size of the gaps in the general classification means that anyone still hoping to change the outcome will have to move early, which reduces the room available to the breakaway and increases the likelihood that a GC rider contests the finish.

  • Felix Gall (Decathlon CMA CGM)
  • Primož Roglič (Red Bull-Bora-Hansgrohe)
  • Enric Mas (Movistar Team)
  • Santiago Buitrago (Bahrain Victorious)
  • Richard Carapaz (EF Education-EasyPost)
  • Sepp Kuss (Visma | Lease a Bike)
  • João Almeida (UAE Team Emirates-XRG)
  • Georg Steinhauser (EF Education-EasyPost)
  • Marco Brenner (Tudor)
  • Pablo Castrillo (Movistar Team)
  • Valentin Paret-Peintre (Soudal Quick-Step)
  • Pello Bilbao (Bahrain Victorious)
  • Lorenzo Fortunato (XDS Astana)
  • Andreas Leknessund (Uno-X Mobility)
  • Mikel Landa (Soudal Quick-Step)
  • Oscar Onley (Netcompany-Ineos)
  • Jakob Omrzel (Bahrain Victorious)

On the preview’s star ratings, Gall is the sole four-star selection, reflecting both his climbing form in the closing week and the freedom his GC position gives him. The three-star group covers Roglič, who needs a stage of this severity to recover 1:37 and has three Vuelta titles built on days of this type, Mas, who has beaten his rivals uphill at Alto de Aitana, Calar Alto and Sierra de La Pandera, and Buitrago, the strongest breakaway candidate on the race’s hardest climbing day. Two stars go to Carapaz, Kuss, Almeida, Steinhauser and Brenner, all of whom are either racing without GC responsibility or have already come close from the move, Brenner having won on Sierra de La Pandera and Steinhauser having led alone inside the final 15 kilometres on the same stage. The one-star group takes in Castrillo, Paret-Peintre, Bilbao, Fortunato, Leknessund and Landa among the breakaway specialists, plus Onley and Omrzel, whose day is likely to be defined by the white jersey rather than the stage victory.

Prediction

The prediction is Gall to win ahead of Roglič, with Mas third. The finishing climb suits Gall’s characteristics more closely than any other terrain remaining in the race, and with second place 1:24 away rather than the red jersey, Decathlon CMA CGM have a clear reason to race aggressively on El Duque and again on the Alguacil. Roglič is expected to attack early and repeatedly on the final climb because following wheels will no longer close a deficit of 1:37, which should carry him to time gains over the leader without necessarily producing the stage win. Mas is the rider under least pressure to force the pace: he does not need to beat anyone to the summit, only to keep the damage within the margin he already holds, and Movistar retain the option of leaving the chasing to teams with more to gain. The presence of Carapaz at 5:17 and the Onley-Omrzel contest lower down adds further accelerations that make a controlled finale harder to guarantee, but the most probable outcome remains a leading GC group splitting on the steepest slopes with Gall first across the line.

Whatever happens on the Alguacil, the 2026 Vuelta will effectively be settled there. Sunday’s 112km finale around Granada is officially a flat stage, albeit one with laps of a short, steep city-centre climb, and the organisers have pushed the traditional winner’s press conference back by 24 hours as a precaution. With the tarmac running out at the summit and no significant general classification terrain left behind it, Collado del Alguacil is the last realistic opportunity for Roglič, Gall or Carapaz to rewrite a race that Mas has controlled for three weeks, and the final chance for the breakaway specialists to convert three weeks of aggression into a result.

Summary

  • Stage distance: 186.8km, La Calahorra to Collado del Alguacil
  • Terrain type: Mountain stage with an hors catégorie summit finish
  • Elevation gain: Approximately 4,849 metres (some previews list above 5,000 metres)
  • Key climbs: Puerto de Los Blancares (cat. 3, 7.7km at 3.7%), Puerto de El Purche twice (cat. 1, 8.2km at 8.1%), Puerto de El Duque (cat. 1, 7.4km at 8.3%, 31.4km to go), Collado del Alguacil (HC, 8.3km at 9.8%, summit finish)
  • Conditions: Temperatures forecast in the mid-30s, with an exposed and potentially windy upper section on the final climb
  • Favourite for the win: Felix Gall (preview pick); no betting market odds were provided in the source material
  • Predicted podium: 1. Felix Gall, 2. Primož Roglič, 3. Enric Mas
We use cookie files to provide users personalized content, additional functions, and to perform the website traffic analysis. When using tips.gg, you agree with our cookie policy. Got It!