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UFC 334 Gane vs Hokit Odds: Betting Lines and Prediction

09.11.2026, 04:37
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The heavyweight division finally has a settled champion, and Ciryl Gane doesn’t plan on sitting still. On Saturday, November 14, the Frenchman makes his first defense of the undisputed title at UFC 334, facing Josh Hokit, a 10-0 former Fresno State All-American and ex-NFL practice-squad fullback who has gone from Octagon debutant to title challenger in roughly a year. BC.Game has Gane as a clear favorite at 1.41, but the matchup carries one glaring question mark: wrestling. Below we break down the full set of Gane vs Hokit odds, the key stylistic battle, and our picks for both title fights at the Garden.

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UFC 334 Fight Card: Key Details at Madison Square Garden

UFC 334 is a stacked night in New York, with two championship bouts and a farewell for one of the sport’s most popular veterans.

Detail Info
Date Saturday, November 14, 2026
Venue Madison Square Garden, New York City
Main event Ciryl Gane vs Josh Hokit (undisputed heavyweight title)
Co-main event Kayla Harrison vs Amanda Nunes (women’s bantamweight title)
Featured prelim Stephen Thompson vs Charles Radtke (Thompson’s final fight)
Broadcast Paramount+

How Ciryl Gane Became Champion and Josh Hokit Earned His Title Shot

The heavyweight title has been in flux for years. Francis Ngannou left the promotion, Jon Jones retired, and Tom Aspinall‘s eye injury left the belt in limbo again. Gane, who had previously challenged all three men for the title, finally broke through in June when he stopped Alex Pereira at UFC Freedom 250 on the White House lawn to claim the interim strap. Roughly a week later, Aspinall vacated the title and Gane was elevated to undisputed champion.

Hokit’s rise has been just as rapid. He went 4-0 inside the Octagon across about seven months, beating Max Gimenis, Denzel Freeman, Curtis Blaydes and Derrick Lewis. If he wins on Saturday, his first 12 months in the UFC will rank alongside the breakout runs of Pereira, Israel Adesanya and Brock Lesnar.

There’s a fair argument that Alexander Volkov had the stronger claim to this title shot. Hokit’s loud persona has also rubbed plenty of fans the wrong way. But his three-round decision win over Blaydes at UFC 327, an early Fight of the Year frontrunner, showed there’s genuine substance behind the noise.

Gane vs Hokit Odds at BC.Game: Moneyline and Implied Probability

BC.Game prices Gane as roughly a 70% favorite, with Hokit given just over a one-in-three chance once you strip out the bookmaker margin.

Fighter Moneyline (Winner) 1×2 Market Implied Probability (Moneyline)
Ciryl Gane 1.41 1.43 70.9%
Josh Hokit 2.75 2.82 36.4%
Draw — 55.0 —

The 1×2 market pays slightly more on both fighters because a draw is included as a third outcome, priced as a long shot at 55.0.

Gane vs Hokit Method of Victory Odds

This is where the market tells its real story. BC.Game sees a Gane knockout as the single most likely result, while a Hokit submission is treated as the least likely way for either man to win.

Method Ciryl Gane Josh Hokit
KO/TKO 2.33 6.0
Submission 9.5 10.0
Points (Decision) 3.6 7.0
Draw 55.0 55.0

Method of Victory Double Chance Odds

For bettors who want to cover two outcomes, BC.Game offers these combinations:

  • Gane KO/TKO or Points: 1.5
  • Gane KO/TKO or Submission: 1.91
  • Gane Submission or Points: 2.8
  • Hokit KO/TKO or Points: 3.5
  • Hokit KO/TKO or Submission: 4.2
  • Hokit Submission or Points: 4.5
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Gane vs Hokit Round Betting: Totals, Distance and Exact Round Odds

As a championship fight, Gane vs Hokit is scheduled for five rounds. The round markets lean firmly toward a finish.

Total Rounds and Will the Fight Go the Distance?

Line Over Under
2.5 rounds 1.66 2.12
3.5 rounds 2.03 1.72
4.5 rounds 2.4 1.52
  • Fight goes the distance – Yes: 2.6
  • Fight goes the distance – No: 1.45

The over 2.5 rounds sits shorter than the under, which suggests BC.Game expects both men to survive the opening stretch before the damage starts piling up.

What Round Will the Fight End In?

Round Odds
Round 1 4.5
Round 2 5.0
Round 3 6.5
Round 4 8.5
Round 5 10.0

Winner and Exact Round Odds

Outcome Ciryl Gane Josh Hokit
Round 1 6.0 12.0
Round 2 7.0 14.0
Round 3 9.0 19.0
Round 4 11.0 23.0
Round 5 14.0 26.0
Points 3.6 7.0

Method and Round Odds: KO/TKO Markets

Round Gane KO/TKO Hokit KO/TKO
Round 1 7.0 17.0
Round 2 8.0 21.0
Round 3 10.0 26.0
Round 4 13.0 34.0
Round 5 17.0 41.0

Submission-and-round prices are long across the board, ranging from 26.0 (Gane, Round 1) to 81.0 (Hokit, Round 5).

Why Ciryl Gane Is the Clear Favorite at UFC 334

Gane is the more complete fighter, and it isn’t especially close on the feet. He has the longer reach, the cleaner technique and footwork that looks borrowed from a middleweight. Since arriving in the UFC in 2019, his only defeats have come against Ngannou and Jones, two of the greatest heavyweights the promotion has ever had.

Hokit hits hard and has shown he can absorb punishment. But he hasn’t yet shared the cage with a striker this elusive, and Gane’s ability to manage distance should keep him out of the clinch exchanges where Hokit does his best work.

The Jon Jones Blueprint: Can Josh Hokit’s Wrestling Upset the Odds?

Gane’s vulnerability is well documented. At UFC 285 in March 2023, Jones put him on the mat early and finished him with a guillotine choke in the opening round. Gane never found his rhythm that night.

That’s the path for Hokit, and his credentials are real. He finished third in the nation as a high school senior, then earned All-American honors at Fresno State while also playing college football. His decision win over Blaydes, one of the best wrestlers heavyweight has produced, proves he can hold his own in grappling exchanges against elite opposition.

The counterargument is just as clear. Hokit isn’t Jones. Jones wasn’t a decorated collegiate wrestler either, but his athleticism and timing are generational. Landing a takedown on a moving 6-foot-4 striker who punishes every entry is a far harder assignment than wrestling a heavyweight who stands in front of you. At 10.0 for a Hokit submission and 7.0 for a Hokit decision, BC.Game is pricing exactly that doubt.

The Eye Poke Storyline Fuelling Gane vs Hokit

The build-up has carried an unusual subplot. Gane’s last outing against Aspinall at UFC 321 ended in a no contest after an eye poke, and the incident has dogged him since. Hokit’s response was to have his team hit him with pepper spray before sparring sessions so he could practise fighting with impaired vision.

It’s absurd, and it’s also effective promotion. Hokit understands that noise sells, and the UFC understands it too.

Gane vs Hokit Prediction and Best Bet

Gane should win this fight. His movement and range control are built to frustrate a pressure wrestler, and Hokit has never had to track someone this slippery across a championship distance. The longer it goes, the more Gane’s volume and accuracy should take over, with a stoppage arriving once Hokit’s entries start to slow.

Our pick: Ciryl Gane by KO/TKO in Round 3 at 10.0. For a lower-risk angle, Gane by KO/TKO pays 2.33, while the fight not going the distance sits at 1.45.

Where could this go wrong? If Hokit lands an early takedown and Gane panics the way he did against Jones, the fight could flip in a hurry. And if Hokit pulls it off, expect the UFC to lean hard into a brash, unbeaten heavyweight champion. That’s precisely the kind of story the promotion loves to sell.

Market Selection BC.Game Odds Confidence
Method & Round Gane KO/TKO, Round 3 10.0 Medium
Method of Victory Gane KO/TKO 2.33 Medium-high
Go the Distance No 1.45 Medium-high

For more fight-by-fight breakdowns and betting angles across the full UFC 334 card, Tips.gg has you covered.

Harrison vs Nunes: UFC 334 Co-Main Event Preview and Pick

The co-main could easily headline any card. Kayla Harrison is one of the most decorated women in combat sports: a two-time Olympic judo gold medalist (2012 and 2016), a two-time PFL champion and the current UFC bantamweight titleholder. Amanda Nunes is the greatest female MMA fighter of all time, with wins over Ronda Rousey (48 seconds at UFC 207), Cris Cyborg (51 seconds at UFC 232), Valentina Shevchenko twice, Holly Holm, Germaine de Randamie twice and Miesha Tate.

Both women arrive with serious questions:

  • Harrison, 36, won the belt from Julianna Peña at UFC 316 in June 2025, then withdrew from the original January date at UFC 324 after career-threatening neck surgery. This is her first fight back.
  • Nunes, 38, hasn’t competed since beating Irene Aldana at UFC 289 in June 2023, after which she retired. She returns from three years away.
  • Nunes enters as the underdog, the first time she has been in that position since her 2018 demolition of Cyborg.

Nunes has the deeper MMA resume and the most dangerous hands in the history of the women’s divisions. Harrison has been more active and her grappling pressure smothers opponents. Our pick: Kayla Harrison by decision, held with low confidence. A surgically repaired neck against Nunes’ power is a risk nobody should ignore.


UFC 334 Gane vs Hokit: Frequently Asked Questions

When is UFC 334?

UFC 334 takes place on Saturday, November 14, 2026, at Madison Square Garden in New York City and streams on Paramount+.

What are the Gane vs Hokit odds at BC.Game?

BC.Game lists Ciryl Gane at 1.41 and Josh Hokit at 2.75 to win the fight.

What is the most likely method of victory?

According to BC.Game’s prices, a Gane KO/TKO at 2.33 is the most likely outcome, followed by a Gane decision at 3.6.

Will Gane vs Hokit go the distance?

BC.Game favors a finish, pricing “No” at 1.45 against “Yes” at 2.6.

Why was Harrison vs Nunes postponed?

The bout was originally booked for UFC 324 in January 2026, but Kayla Harrison withdrew after neck surgery. It was rebooked for UFC 334.

When did Amanda Nunes last fight?

Nunes last competed at UFC 289 in June 2023, defeating Irene Aldana before retiring. UFC 334 marks her comeback.

Is UFC 334 Stephen Thompson’s last fight?

Yes. Thompson faces Charles Radtke in what is billed as his final UFC appearance.

What UFC 334 Means for the Heavyweight Division

Both title fights come with major asterisks. One challenger got his shot on momentum and hype as much as resume, and the co-main pairs a champion coming off neck surgery with a 38-year-old returning after three years out. It could be one of the great nights at the Garden, or a costly lesson in booking on star power. If Gane delivers the performance the BC.Game odds expect, he finally gets the chance to build a reign in a division that has lacked stability for years. If Hokit pulls off the upset, heavyweight becomes the loudest show in the sport overnight.

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