Merab Dvalishvili walks into UFC 323 as an 80% favorite—because apparently the first fight wasn’t enough. He meets Petr Yan again on December 6, 2025, this time with the bantamweight strap on the line at T-Mobile Arena. The Georgian’s grappling and pace broke Yan before. Oddsmakers don’t think much has changed.
The rematch odds sit at 6/25 (80.6%) for Dvalishvili, while Yan’s revenge tour starts at 13/4 (23.5%). A longshot, sure, but Yan’s knockout power is the kind of thing that keeps bettors up at night.
Flyweight Fireworks: Pantoja’s Reign on the Line
Alexandre Pantoja isn’t just defending his title—he’s facing the kind of prospect who makes champions nervous. Joshua Van, undefeated and hungry, gets his shot at 2/1 (33.3%) odds. Pantoja, the 2/5 (71.4%) favorite, has the experience edge, but Van’s speed could rewrite the script.
This isn’t a tune-up. It’s a statement fight for both.
The Rest of the Card: Underdogs, Veterans, and a Retiring Legend
Brandon Moreno vs. Tatsuro Taira is the swing bout of the night. Moreno’s 11/10 (47.6%) to Taira’s 3/4 (57.1%) makes this a coin flip—except Taira’s youth and momentum might tip the scales.
Then there’s Henry Cejudo, the former double champ, stepping in as a 11/5 (31.3%) underdog against Payton Talbott (4/11, 73.3%). A retirement fight, sure, but Cejudo’s never been one for easy exits. Talbott’s the heavy favorite, yet Cejudo’s wrestling could still spoil the party.
And Jan Błachowicz—the Polish powerhouse—gets a 3/4 (57.1%) nod over Bogdan Guskov (11/10, 47.6%). Light heavyweight wars don’t get cleaner than this.
| Fight | Fighter 1 (Odds / %) | Fighter 2 (Odds / %) |
|---|---|---|
| Bantamweight Title | Merab Dvalishvili – 6/25 (80.6%) | Petr Yan – 13/4 (23.5%) |
| Flyweight Title | Alexandre Pantoja – 2/5 (71.4%) | Joshua Van – 2/1 (33.3%) |
| Moreno vs. Taira | Brandon Moreno – 11/10 (47.6%) | Tatsuro Taira – 3/4 (57.1%) |
| Cejudo vs. Talbott | Henry Cejudo – 11/5 (31.3%) | Payton Talbott – 4/11 (73.3%) |
| Błachowicz vs. Guskov | Jan Błachowicz – 3/4 (57.1%) | Bogdan Guskov – 11/10 (47.6%) |
Where to Bet: TIPSGG Exclusive for UFC 323
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