Donald Trump stands as the clear favorite to win the inaugural FIFA Peace Prize, with betting odds at 1/5. The award will be presented during the 2026 World Cup draw in Washington DC on December 5, 2026.
The prize aims to honor individuals who have made exceptional contributions to peace and unity. The location of the ceremony has sparked speculation, given Trump’s role in securing the 2026 World Cup for North America.
Current Odds
| Candidate | Odds | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Donald Trump | 1/5 | 83.3% |
Why Trump?
Trump’s association with the Peace Prize might seem surprising, but FIFA has a history of political entanglements. The ceremony’s location in Washington DC and Trump’s past actions in global diplomacy make him a likely candidate. His involvement in brokering Middle East peace deals aligns with FIFA’s criteria for the award.
FIFA’s Statement
FIFA President Gianni Infantino stated that the prize recognizes those who work to end conflicts and promote peace. The 2026 World Cup aims to be the most unifying tournament yet, and the Peace Prize ceremony is expected to generate significant attention.
Betting markets for the FIFA Peace Prize are now open, with more bookmakers expected to join as the 2026 World Cup approaches.
FIFA and controversy often go hand-in-hand. The timing and location of the Peace Prize ceremony suggest a political undertone, making Trump’s favoritism a plausible outcome.