Kuressaare vs Tammeka Prediction: 11.07.2025 Meistriliiga Preview

When Kuressaare and Tammeka cross paths at Kuressaare linnastaadion this July, both are desperate to edge clear of the Meistriliiga relegation dogfight, but with contrasting recent trajectories. Kuressaare, in rather dire straits with just a single win in 19 league outings, will hope the home crowd inspires an unlikely revival. Tammeka, coming off a mixed bag but recently clutching some vital wins, are keenly eyeing the chance to push clear of their rivals. The real intrigue? These two sides served up a five-goal thriller last time out — could we see a repeat of that attacking abandon?

For Kuressaare, creative fulcrum Kevin Anderson has consistently tried to pull strings in midfield, boasting both workrate and vision, while young striker Sander Laht’s knack for finding space in the box makes him one to watch — especially after netting in their last meeting. Tammeka’s attacking engine is turbocharged by the tricky winger Sander Kapper, whose directness unsettles full-backs, and central midfielder Stanislav Platov, a steadying presence who breaks up play and launches rapid transitions. One “hot stat” that jumps off the page: both sides combine for 18 yellow cards in their last five matches — plenty of bite, if not always composure.

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Kuressaare vs Tammeka prediction

The best value prediction here leans narrowly towards Tammeka on the “Draw No Bet” market. Tammeka, with back-to-back league wins and a slightly more clinical edge, enter with tangible confidence compared to Kuressaare’s ongoing struggles. Kuressaare’s tendency to lose concentration late on remains their Achilles heel, while Tammeka have proven a touch less error-prone and more capable in transition — vital in a contest likely defined by pressing and second balls.

Examining discipline and play styles, both sides have been far from model citizens: Kuressaare with 13 and Tammeka with 19 yellow cards in their last five, the latter also receiving three reds. Such a combative edge could see this match punctuated by stoppages and perhaps a rash challenge or two. In terms of ball retention, neither side is a paragon of possession, but Tammeka’s slightly more direct approach pays off with 10 goals from 82 shots in their last five, while Kuressaare’s 58 shots have delivered just 8. Expect another open game with both teams creating — and conceding — plenty. Corners may play their part, too, given both sides’ recent tally: Kuressaare have notched 33 corners in five, with Tammeka close behind on 26. All things considered, the smart money points to goals flying in again.

Team Analysis

Kuressaare Recent Form: It has been a bruising run for Sander Post’s side. Their last outing — a 2-3 defeat at home to Narva — mirrored much of their season: spirited in spells but ultimately porous at the back. Before that, they ground out a 1-1 draw against Harju JK Laagri, but defensive lapses returned in a narrow 2-3 loss to Tammeka during their previous encounter. The story is predictable: low win-rate, a worrying habit of going behind, and struggle to reach the 90-minute mark with focus. Nonetheless, there are glimpses of attacking promise, shown by 8 goals and 33 corners in their past five.

Tammeka Recent Form: Tammeka, under Siim Valtna, have been less volatile, particularly in recent games. Their most recent match, a wild 2-3 defeat to bottom side Tallinna Kalev, saw both defensive frailties and flashes of attacking resilience — a microcosm for their season. However, their victory over Kuressaare (3-2) in the last head-to-head and a steady 2-1 win against Harju JK Laagri point to an improving side that’s more likely to keep its nerve under pressure, despite an occasionally fiery temperament (19 yellows, 3 reds in 5 games says it all).

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

🚨Read our full Kuressaare vs Tammeka stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Kuressaare the favourite

• Moneyline Kuressaare 2.10 | Tammeka 2.95
• Draw 3.60
• Over/Under Over 2.5 1.85 | Under 2.5 1.91
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.70 | No 2.05

Despite Kuressaare’s disastrous run, the bookmakers ever-so-slightly favour the hosts, likely based on marginal home advantage rather than recent performance. The gap, however, is small, and Tammeka’s improvement plus their success in the reverse fixture makes them genuine value, especially in the “Draw No Bet” market. With both teams conceding at an alarming rate and scoring freely against each other, the odds are rightly tight — but the smart money edges toward goals and a Tammeka result.

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Possible Starting Lineups

Kuressaare possible starting eleven

• GK: Ken Kallaste
• DF: Karl Lomp, Rauno Tutk, Tõnis Vahter, Henrico Grete
• MF: Kevin Anderson, Rasmus Saar, Mark Mälberg, Robin Lomp
• FW: Sander Laht, Henry Anier

With the 4-2-3-1 their favoured approach, Kuressaare are expected to anchor themselves around Kallaste in goal and centre-backs Lomp and Tutk. Anderson will look to dictate from midfield with Saar providing some dig, while the front line of Laht and Anier promises verve and occasional inspiration. Eyes will be on Anderson for creativity and Laht for his movement and poaching ability — if Kuressaare are to break their rut, it is likely to run through these two.

Tammeka possible starting eleven

• GK: Marten Pajunurm
• DF: Kaspar Paur, Joosep Kallaste, Markus Jurtšenko, Daniil Kasemets
• MF: Stanislav Platov, Tristan Koskor, Sander Kapper, Gregor Lehtmets
• FW: Kaimar Saag, Martin Vetkal

Tammeka have also favoured a 4-2-3-1, but offer more dynamism in wide positions — look for Kapper and Lehtmets to exploit flanks, while Platov controls the middle. The strike partnership of Saag and Vetkal, supported by Koskor’s industry, gives them a greater goal threat than their adversaries. Pajunurm in net inspires confidence, though discipline will be critical for a backline prone to bookings.

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My take on the Match

As much as a dramatic Kuressaare revival would quicken the pulse of the home faithful, all evidence points to a narrow advantage for Tammeka — especially with the extra attacking threat, momentum from their last head-to-head win, and greater composure in transitional moments. My main pick? Tammeka Draw No Bet, with over 2.5 goals a tantalising option given both teams’ recent defensive record and attacking output. In short, expect entertainment, some cards, and plenty of moments at both ends!

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