Anthony Joshua stands as the overwhelming favorite at 1/16 to defeat Jake Paul in their upcoming professional boxing match on December 19. The fight, set for the Kaseya Center in Miami, will be streamed live on Netflix and features eight three-minute rounds.
Joshua, a two-time unified heavyweight champion, faces Paul, a YouTube star turned fighter, in a bout initially planned as an exhibition against Gervonta Davis. Legal issues involving Davis led to this unexpected matchup, now dubbed ‘Judgment Day.’
Fight Winner Odds
| Fighter | Odds | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Joshua | 1/16 | 94.1% |
| Jake Paul | 12/1 | 7.7% |
The odds clearly favor Joshua, with bookmakers predicting a decisive victory. The real intrigue lies in the round betting markets, where a first-round stoppage is the favorite.
Round Betting Odds
| Round Ends In… | Odds |
|---|---|
| Round 1 | 4/6 |
| Round 2 | 6/4 |
| Round 3 | 3/1 |
| Round 4 or later | 4/1 |
Bookmakers heavily back Joshua to assert dominance early, with the first-round stoppage being the odds-on favorite. However, some bettors may find value in longer rounds options, given Paul’s durability in past fights.
Expert Opinion
The odds tell the story. Joshua should be levels above Jake Paul, and the betting market reflects that. But with a short-format fight and high-profile platform, punters might find better value in round betting or knockout props rather than backing the outright.
Jake Ashton – Boxing Betting Expert
Fight Night Details
Date: Thursday, December 19, 2025
Location: Kaseya Center, Miami
Rounds: 8 x 3 minutes
Streaming: Netflix (Global)
Sanctioned: Yes – professional bout