Levante vs Alavés Predictions: Odds and betting tips for La Liga 2025/26 Match - 27.02.2026

The Ciutat de València stadium in Valencia is set to be the crucible for an intriguing La Liga regular season clash as Levante hosts Alavés on 27 February 2026, with kick-off scheduled at 22:00 CEST. Both teams enter this encounter eager to improve their league position, with Levante desperately seeking points to escape the relegation zone and Alavés intent on consolidating mid-table security. The tactical contest pits Luís Castro and his 4-4-2 discipline against Eduardo Coudet’s similarly structured side, promising a battle that transcends mere survival and ambition.

Among the players to watch, Levante’s dynamic midfielder Jon Ander Olasagasti, who has recently found the net, stands out as a potential catalyst for creativity, while for Alavés, the in-form forward Lucas Boyé, with 3 goals in his last 5 appearances, provides a direct threat to any defense he faces. The performances of these pivotal figures could decisively tilt the balance.

A “hot stat” emerges from Alavés, whose 7 goals across their previous five outings sharply contrast with Levante’s 2, highlighting a current attacking edge for the visitors.

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Levante vs Alavés predictions

Me best bet: Draw (X). Given the bookmakers’ marginal difference in pre-match probabilities—Levante 36 percent, Draw 31 percent, Alavés 33 percent—this fixture stands as a true toss-up. Both teams have shown inconsistency, with Levante struggling for wins and Alavés only slightly more effective. Neither outfit has established a clear pattern of dominance in their recent head-to-heads. Fatigue and the pressure of league context may favor caution, further increasing the appeal of a closely-contested draw as the best value, combining risk mitigation with reasonable return.

Tactically, both sides average high numbers of fouls—Levante with 55 and Alavés with 83 across their last five games—indicating a likelihood of a scrappy, hard-fought midfield duel. Alavés’ pass accuracy and volume (1701 passes at 79 percent) slightly outpace Levante’s (1597 at 73 percent), revealing more composure under pressure. However, Levante compensates with resilience despite recent losses. With both squads averaging over 8 yellow cards in their last 5 games and a combined 41 total fouls per match, interruptions are inevitable, and set-pieces may prove decisive. This disruption-heavy style suggests limited rhythm—ideal breeding ground for draws.

• ⚽Total Goals: Under 2.5
• 💥Both Teams To Score: No
• 🎯Total Corners: Over 9.5

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Levante vs Alavés Most recent H2Hs

In recent encounters, Alavés has edged Levante both in results and offensive production. Their 2-1 La Liga victory earlier this season, combined with the razor-close 1-1 outcome in a summer friendly, underscore narrow margins and high physicality—factors mirrored in the heavy foul count and moderate shot totals. Momentum from these matches suggests minimal separation between the teams, amplifying the potential for another tightly-fought contest.

🚨Read our full Levante vs Alavés stats for more analysis.

Key Stats

• Alavés has scored in all but one of their last five La Liga fixtures.
• Levante has failed to score in four of the last five matches.
• Levante’s defense has conceded 12 goals in 5 games—the highest in the league’s bottom five over this period.
• Combined yellow cards average: 3.2 per match.
• Both sides favor the 4-4-2 formation, emphasizing structural parity.

Levante vs Alavés score prediction: 0-1

Anticipate a low-scoring, tense affair, with Alavés’ slightly sharper attack—spearheaded by Lucas Boyé and supported in midfield by Antonio Blanco—likely to find the game’s decisive moment. Levante’s defensive frailties, coupled with their lack of recent attacking productivity, indicate slim prospects for home fans. Expect Alavés’ organized midfield to control the game’s tempo, leveraging set-pieces and opportune counter-attacks. The presence of Antonio Sivera in goal is also a reassuring factor if Levante presses late.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Levante the favourite

The odds align with the statistical and tactical trends: a marginal edge to Levante at home but not convincing enough to call them clear favourites. The market pricing suggests awareness of Alavés’ form and Levante’s attacking struggles. High odds for a draw and under 2.5 goals are notably attractive for value seekers, particularly in a matchup with limited offensive output.

Levante vs Alavés Over/Under Analysis

• Both sides have played four of last five matches under 2.5 total goals.
• Levante has been shut out in three straight home fixtures.
• Alavés has won only once away this season but holds firm defensively against lower-half teams.
• High foul counts suggest rhythm disruption and fewer clear chances.

Levante Preview

Levante’s recent form has left much to be desired. A run of four losses in their last six, including defeats against Barcelona (0-3), Villarreal (0-1), and Valencia (0-2), highlights serious limitations both in defense and attack. The solitary bright spot—a 2-4 shootout with Athletic Bilbao and a clean draw against Atletico Madrid—shows occasional resilience, but consistency remains absent. Recent matches have exposed vulnerabilities in transition and a lack of clinical finishing, with just two goals scored in the last five outings.

Levante possible starting eleven

Alavés Preview

Alavés comes into this fixture with a more balanced recent record. While they have only two wins from their last six, their attacking output—seven goals in five games—demonstrates greater threat. Notably, their 2-1 victory over RCD Espanyol and hard-fought draws against Girona (2-2) and Sevilla (1-1) reflect a squad capable of adapting to varied match scenarios. Defensive organization under Eduardo Coudet remains a strength, while key forwards like Lucas Boyé and Toni Martínez provide vertical presence. However, discipline continues to be an issue, as evidenced by frequent bookings and a continued need for composure on the road.

Alavés possible starting eleven

Our prediction: Who Wins?

While Levante’s need for points is desperate, the TipsGG expert assessment, drawing on tactical trends and recent data, tips the balance towards an Alavés victory with a 40 percent estimated probability per our AI-driven model. Expect a closely-contested ninety minutes, with Alavés’ cohesive structure and superior offense tipping the scales, particularly if they can capitalize on Levante’s defensive lapses and maintain discipline in midfield duels.

How to watch Levante vs Alavés

• When? Thursday, 27 February 2026
• Kick-off time: 22:00 CEST
• Where? Ciutat de València Stadium, Valencia
• How to watch: Via regional sports broadcasters and select online streaming services (check La Liga official listings for your country)
• Favorite: Levante (per bookmakers)

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