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Sion vs BATE Prediction: 30.07.2026 UEFA Conference League Preview

29.07.2026, 20:31

Sion and BATE meet again at the Tourbillon in Sion for the second leg of their UEFA Conference League 2026/27 Second Qualifying Round tie. The first leg ended 1-1 in Belarus, meaning Sion carry a slight advantage as the home side but nothing is sealed. With Swiss football’s physical style expected to press hard from the first whistle, this return leg sets up as a tense and direct affair. One thing worth noting: Sion have been in far stronger domestic form over the last 30 days, winning four of their last six, while BATE have gone three matches without a win, drawing all three.

Keep an eye on Winsley Boteli Mokango for Sion. He scored three goals across his last three appearances and leads the Swiss side’s attack with real conviction. For BATE, Vladislav Varaksa is the man to watch. He has two goals in four recent matches and represents the most consistent attacking threat Vitaliy Rogozhkin’s side can offer.

Hot stat: Sion registered 65 total shots across their last five matches compared to just 37 for BATE, reflecting a significant difference in attacking output between these two sides.

14:15Finished30.07.2026
4SionSwitzerland
0BATEBelarus
🏆 Tournament: UEFA Conference League 2026/27, Second Qualifying Round
🏟 Venue: Tourbillon, Sion
🗓️ Date: 30.07.2026
⏰ Time: 20:15 CEST

Sion vs BATE Prediction

Sion are heavy favourites here, and the odds reflect that clearly. With the tie level at 1-1 from the first leg, Didier Tholot’s side will push for a home win to advance. Their superior form, home advantage, and stronger attacking numbers all point toward a Sion victory.

BATE have drawn all three of their most recent matches. That run of draws suggests a team that struggles to win but also knows how to absorb pressure. The concern for punters is whether Sion can actually break them down at home rather than be drawn into another tight game. Given Sion’s shot volume and Mokango’s recent scoring run, we predict they will find a way through.

Sion average 29 fouls across their last five matches and have collected four yellow cards, showing they are willing to be physical. BATE commit fewer fouls on average (22) but their players have accumulated eight yellow cards, suggesting they pick up bookings in more dangerous areas. BATE’s pass accuracy sits at 508 out of 652 attempted passes, well below Sion’s 1,474 out of 1,655, which points to Sion dominating possession and dictating the tempo. That possession advantage should create enough chances to win this tie at home.

🔥Hot Tip: Sion to win both halves
⚽Total Goals: Over 2.5
💥Both Teams To Score: Yes
🎯Total Corners: Over 7.5

Team Analysis

Sion have been one of the more consistent Swiss sides in recent weeks. Their last 30-day record shows four wins, one draw, and one loss from six matches. Their most recent outing was a 2-4 defeat to Young Boys, which was the one blemish in an otherwise strong run. Before that, they drew 1-1 with BATE in the first leg, and before that came a dominant 4-0 win over Annecy. A 3-1 win over Yverdon and a 4-2 victory against Xamax rounded out a productive recent spell. The defeat to Young Boys may have come against a significantly stronger opponent, so it should not weigh too heavily on their confidence heading into this second leg at home.

08:00Finished26.07.2026
4Young BoysSwitzerland
2SionSwitzerland

BATE’s recent form tells a different story. Their last three competitive matches have all ended in draws: 1-1 against Sion in the first leg, 0-0 against AF Elbasani, and 1-1 in a previous meeting with AF Elbasani. Going back further, they beat Belshina 2-1 and drew 1-1 with FC Minsk. That is just one win from their last five matches, and it came against Belarusian domestic opposition. They have not managed a win since early in that five-match run, and their inability to push on for victories will be a real problem at the Tourbillon against a Sion side playing with momentum and home support.

13:00Finished23.07.2026
1BATEBelarus
1SionSwitzerland

🚨Check out our dedicated Sion vs BATE stats page for more info.

Pre-game Odds and Win Probability: Sion the Favourite

  • Moneyline Sion 1.08 | BATE 22.00
  • Draw 12.00
  • Over/Under Over 2.5 N/A | Under 2.5 N/A
  • BTTS (both teams to score) Yes N/A | No N/A

The odds here are about as lopsided as they come in European qualifying. Sion at around 1.08 offers almost no value on the moneyline, and BATE at 22.00 reflects just how little faith the market has in the Belarusian side. The draw at 12.00 is the only market with any real payout, but given the way Sion have been playing at home and BATE’s inability to win in recent weeks, backing the draw feels like a stretch. If you are looking for value, the BTTS market or a Sion win with goals would be the more interesting angle, given both sides scored in the first leg and Sion’s attack has been firing consistently.

Possible Starting Lineups

Sion Possible Starting Eleven

  • GK: Anthony Racioppi
  • DF: Numa Lavanchy, Jan Kronig, Noé Sow, Nias Hefti
  • MF: Ali Kabacalman, Baltazar Costa Rodrigues de Oliveira, Fodé Sylla
  • FW: Winsley Boteli Mokango, Rilind Nivokazi, Franck Surdez

Sion have been operating in a 5-3-2 shape across their last five matches, though the data suggests a slightly more attack-minded setup for this home leg is likely. Anthony Racioppi starts in goal, having featured across three recent matches. The back line is built around the experienced Noé Sow and Jan Kronig, the latter having scored once in recent outings. Winsley Boteli Mokango leads the line and is the standout name to watch. His three goals in three games make him the most dangerous player on the pitch. Rilind Nivokazi, who contributed two assists recently, provides the link between midfield and attack.

BATE Possible Starting Eleven

  • GK: Danila Sokol
  • DF: Artem Rakhmanov, Nikita Neskoromny, Ivan Mikhniuk, Andrey Zhurin
  • MF: Kirill Kaplenko, Egor Kress, Victorien Angban, Yuriy Kovalev
  • FW: Vladislav Varaksa, Vladislav Yatskevich

BATE have been lining up in a 4-2-3-1 across their recent matches. Danila Sokol starts in goal and has been one of the more active players in the squad, recording 14 saves across four appearances. The defensive unit is anchored by Artem Rakhmanov, who leads the team in interceptions. In attack, Vladislav Varaksa is the primary scoring option with two goals in four matches. Kirill Kaplenko provides defensive cover in midfield with four interceptions, which will be key if Sion’s attack fires from the start. Yatskevich is a yellow card risk, having picked up three bookings in just three appearances.

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Sion. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo

Sion. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo

TipsGG Match Prediction

We predict a Sion win in this second leg. The Swiss side have the home crowd, the better recent form, and a clear edge in attacking output. BATE have shown they can draw matches, and their defensive discipline should not be underestimated after that 1-1 first leg result. To be honest, the most likely scenario is a 2-1 or 2-0 win for Sion, enough to see them through to the next round.

BATE’s three consecutive draws without a win, combined with their low shot volume and poor pass accuracy in recent games, suggest they will struggle to contain Sion for 90 minutes at the Tourbillon. Mokango and Nivokazi offer enough threat to break down a defence that has not kept a clean sheet in their last two outings. We predict Sion to win and both teams to score, making the BTTS Yes market the best supporting bet alongside a Sion home victory.

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