Alex MacQuoid
Austria Vienna already hold a 2-0 advantage from the first leg played in Latvia, so this second leg at Generali Arena is essentially a formality on paper. Stephan Helm’s side have been the dominant force across both legs, and Liepaja arrive in Vienna having lost that opening encounter without registering a single shot on target worth mentioning. The interesting wrinkle here is that Liepaja are not a pushover in their domestic setting — Vladimir Vassiljev’s men have won four of their last seven matches — but the step up to facing an Austrian Bundesliga side at home is a different challenge entirely.
Johannes Eggestein has been the standout name in attack for Austria Vienna, scoring three goals across his last five appearances with composure that suggests he will be a constant problem for Liepaja’s backline tonight. On the other side, abiodun ogunniyi is the most active attacking threat Liepaja can call on, accumulating nine total shots across five recent games, and if Liepaja are to cause any kind of upset, he needs to find space behind Austria’s defensive shape.
Hot stat: Liepaja have committed 32 fouls across their last five matches compared to Austria Vienna’s 24, and they have already picked up 12 yellow cards in that same stretch — more than four times Austria Vienna’s three. That disciplinary record in a pressure second leg, needing to chase the tie, could become a real problem.
| 🏆 Tournament: | UEFA Conference League 2026/27, Second Qualifying Round |
| 🏟 Venue: | Generali Arena, Vienna |
| 🗓️ Date: | 30.07.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 20:30 CEST |
Austria Vienna vs Liepaja Prediction
Austria Vienna winning this tie was never really in doubt after the first leg. A 2-0 away result gives them every comfort, and at home in Vienna they should manage the game without breaking a sweat. The best value prediction here is an Austria Vienna win with goals — the hosts have scored nine goals across five recent matches and their 4-2-3-1 system creates consistent overloads in wide areas that Liepaja’s 3-4-2-1 will struggle to contain. Liepaja need to score twice just to level the aggregate, and their away record in competitive European football does not inspire confidence.
Austria Vienna’s pass accuracy across five matches sits at 712 completed passes from 926 attempts, which reflects a direct, transition-heavy style rather than possession dominance — they move the ball quickly and get into attacking positions fast. Liepaja actually attempt more passes (1,174 over five matches, 931 accurate), suggesting they try to build from the back, but that approach has been punished in this tie already. With 34 free kicks conceded and a red card already in recent memory, Liepaja’s discipline under pressure is a genuine concern. Austria Vienna will be patient, professional, and clinical.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Austria Vienna to win to nil |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 8.5 |
Team Analysis
Austria Vienna have been in strong shape heading into this second leg. Their last 30 days show three wins and two draws from five matches — no defeats — and the confidence in the squad is visible. The most recent outing was a 5-0 demolition of Wiener SC, which is exactly the kind of performance you want to see before a home European night. Before that, the first leg win over Liepaja (2-0) showed defensive discipline and clinical finishing. The 4-1 win over Paksi and the two draws against Dunajska Streda and Debrecen earlier in the run show a team that can sometimes drop points against lower-ranked opposition but raises its level when the occasion demands. Eggestein’s three goals and Wustinger’s two across this five-match stretch are the clearest indicators of where the danger comes from going forward. Samuel Sahin-Radlinger in goal has made four saves in recent matches and looked composed.
Liepaja’s recent run is more turbulent. Four wins and three losses from seven matches in the last 30 days, with no draws at all — a pattern that suggests a team that commits fully but lacks the consistency to grind out results. The first leg loss to Austria Vienna (0-2) was sandwiched between a 2-1 win over Decic and a 2-0 win over Jelgava in their domestic league, so they have been picking up results at home. The 0-1 loss to Auda was a domestic setback that highlighted their vulnerability to organized defensive sides. Davis Oss has been their first-choice goalkeeper across all five recent matches and has made one save of note, but the defensive unit in front of him — particularly Vladislavs Sorokins and Ilja Korotkovs — will need a near-perfect performance to keep Austria Vienna off the scoresheet at Generali Arena.
🚨Check out our dedicated Austria Vienna vs Liepaja stats page for more info.
Pre-game Odds and Win Probability: Austria Vienna the Favourite
- Moneyline Austria Vienna 1.18 | Liepaja 14.50
- Draw 7.10
- Over/Under Over 2.5 N/A | Under 2.5 N/A
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes N/A | No N/A
The odds are about as compressed as they get for a European tie. Austria Vienna at 1.18 reflects the near-certainty of the aggregate outcome rather than just the single-match result, and honestly it is hard to argue with that pricing. Liepaja at 14.50 is purely speculative territory. The draw at 7.10 is interesting only in a scenario where Austria Vienna rotate heavily and Liepaja somehow find their footing, but even then the hosts have enough quality to avoid dropping points at home. We think the best approach here is to look at markets beyond the simple win — Austria Vienna to win to nil carries real value given Liepaja’s attacking output in the first leg was minimal.
Possible Starting Lineups
Austria Vienna Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: Samuel Sahin-Radlinger
- DF: ibrahim buhari, Aleksandar Dragović, Lee Tae-seok, Reinhold Ranftl
- MF: Vasilije Markovic, Manfred Fischer, Matteo Schablas, Florian Wustinger
- FW: Johannes Eggestein, Moritz Wels
A 4-2-3-1 is the expected shape, with Sahin-Radlinger the established first choice in goal across the recent run. Dragović brings experience at the heart of defence and has been consistent in the previous matches. Ranftl’s work rate at right back — 112 passes and six free kicks across three matches — makes him a key outlet in transition. In midfield, Fischer’s two assists and Wustinger’s two goals highlight the creativity this unit carries. Eggestein is the name to watch in attack; three goals in three appearances, always making intelligent runs off the shoulder of the last defender. Stephan Helm may rotate one or two positions given the comfortable aggregate lead, but the core of this XI should be recognizable.
Liepaja Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: Davis Oss
- DF: Vjačeslavs Isajevs, Ilja Korotkovs, Vladislavs Sorokins, Bart Straalman
- MF: Leonel Strumia, Andriy Korobenko, Marvin Martins
- FW: Kyvon Leidsman, abiodun ogunniyi, djibril gueye
Liepaja’s 3-4-2-1 may shift to a more attacking shape given the aggregate deficit, and Vladimir Vassiljev will likely push his front players higher. Davis Oss has been the clear first choice between the posts across five recent matches. Leonel Strumia is the most active midfielder in terms of interceptions (11) and passes (159), making him the engine of their build-up play. Ogunniyi, with nine total shots across five matches, is their most dangerous forward and the player most likely to test Sahin-Radlinger if Liepaja can find any space in behind. Straalman at right back has contributed an assist and 130 passes, showing he can carry the ball forward when needed. Honestly, this Liepaja side needs everything to go right simultaneously — and that rarely happens in a second leg away from home when you are already two goals down.
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Austria Vienna. Source: Official X/Twitter. Edited photo
TipsGG Match Prediction
Austria Vienna should progress to the next round without serious difficulty. The first leg 2-0 win, the 5-0 form result against Wiener SC, Eggestein’s goals, and Liepaja’s disciplinary problems — 12 yellow cards and a red card across five recent matches — all point in the same direction. We think Austria Vienna win this comfortably, maybe 2-0 or 3-0, keeping a clean sheet as Liepaja chase the tie and leave space at the back. The home crowd at Generali Arena will expect a professional performance and the squad has the quality to deliver exactly that. Liepaja have shown moments of quality in their domestic league, but this step up in class, combined with the aggregate deficit, makes the task almost impossible. Austria Vienna to win to nil is the pick we feel most confident about.
