Liam Duckstein
Dinamo Tirana and Aluminij meet again in the second leg of their UEFA Conference League Second Qualifying Round tie at the Elbasan Arena. The first leg ended 1-1, meaning everything is still to play for, and Dinamo Tirana will carry home advantage into what should be a tight, low-margin contest. Aluminij have not won a single match in their last six outings across all competitions, which puts serious pressure on Jure Arsic’s side to break that run on Albanian soil.
Hekuran Berisha is the man to watch for Dinamo Tirana. He has scored three goals in his last four matches, making him the clear attacking threat in Ilir Daja’s setup. For Aluminij, midfielder Matic Vrbanec carries the most creative weight, having netted twice in his last three appearances despite the team’s broader struggles in front of goal.
A hot stat worth noting: Aluminij accumulated 11 yellow cards across their last five matches, nearly double Dinamo Tirana’s six. That disciplinary pattern could influence the second leg significantly, particularly in a scrappy tie where both teams run a 3-5-2 shape and press for territory through the flanks.
| 🏆 Tournament: | UEFA Conference League 2026/27, Second Qualifying Round |
| 🏟 Venue: | Elbasan Arena, Elbasan |
| 🗓️ Date: | 30.07.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 21:00 CEST |
Dinamo Tirana vs Aluminij Prediction
Dinamo Tirana are the stronger side on paper here. They won two of their last four matches, drew one and lost one, while Aluminij have gone six games without a win, picking up three draws and suffering three defeats. The aggregate is level at 1-1 after the first leg, so Dinamo Tirana need just a win to advance. Playing at home in front of their own fans, with Berisha in form, we predict Dinamo Tirana to take this one.
The match is unlikely to be a goal fest. Aluminij have scored just two goals across their last five games, and their recent opponents have largely kept them quiet. Dinamo Tirana themselves have managed six goals in five matches, but the defensive nature of this two-legged tie suggests caution from both sides early on. We predict under 2.5 goals as the most probable outcome given the stakes and both teams’ conservative records.
Aluminij’s yellow card volume stands out. Eleven bookings across five matches points to a physical, reactive style of play. Paired with Dinamo Tirana’s tendency to work through midfield and draw fouls, corners and set pieces could be decisive. Dinamo Tirana registered only four corner kicks across five matches while Aluminij racked up 23, suggesting Aluminij push forward more but struggle to convert that pressure into goals. We predict under 10 total corners for this match.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Dinamo Tirana to win to nil |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Under 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Under 10 |
Team Analysis
Dinamo Tirana arrive at this second leg off the back of a 1-1 draw with Aluminij in the first leg, which they will view as a missed opportunity given their home run. Before that, they beat FC Astana 2-1 in a domestic cup match, showing they can grind out results against higher-ranked opposition. The loss to Astana in the match before that was their only defeat in the last four games, and they have generally been the more consistent side in recent weeks.
Their form across the last 30 days reads two wins, one draw, and one loss from four matches. Berisha’s goal contribution has been central to that, and Bruno Dita has chipped in with a goal too. Lorenco Vila adds another attacking option from the front line, giving Daja genuine depth in the forward positions. Goalkeeper Aldo Teqja has started every recent match and brings stability at the back.
Aluminij’s recent run is difficult to look past. Six matches without a win, including a 1-2 loss to Partizan and a 0-1 defeat to Sheriff Tiraspol, tells the story of a team that has been outclassed by stronger European opponents. They did hold Sheriff to a 0-0 draw in the first leg of that tie, and they drew 0-0 with Maribor just days ago, so defensive organisation is not entirely absent. The problem is that scoring goals has become a real issue.
Matic Vrbanec’s two goals in three games make him the one player capable of changing that picture. Without him firing, Aluminij have little else to rely on. Vid Koderman has picked up two yellow cards in three games and hanus Sorensen another two, meaning Aluminij’s defenders are operating close to suspension thresholds. That could restrict how aggressively they defend set pieces late in the match.
🚨Check out our dedicated Dinamo Tirana vs Aluminij stats page for more info.
Pre-game Odds and Win Probability: Dinamo Tirana the Favourite
- Moneyline Dinamo Tirana 1.74 | Aluminij 4.76
- Draw 3.72
- Over/Under Over 2.5 N/A | Under 2.5 N/A
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes N/A | No N/A
The bookmakers have priced Dinamo Tirana as clear favourites at around 1.74, which aligns with the home advantage and Aluminij’s winless run. The draw at 3.72 reflects the tight first leg, and Aluminij at 4.76 represents the market’s honest assessment of a team that has not won in six attempts. To be honest, the value here sits with Dinamo Tirana winning to nil rather than just a straightforward home win, given how rarely Aluminij have scored in recent outings.
Possible Starting Lineups
Dinamo Tirana Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: Aldo Teqja
- DF: Lorran de Oliveira Quintanilha, Naser Aliji, Erjon Hoxhallari
- MF: Klevi Qefalija, Bruno Dita, Eridon Qardaku, Malomo Taofeek Ayodeji, Florenc Ferruku
- FW: Hekuran Berisha, Lorenco Vila
Dinamo Tirana look set to line up in their familiar 3-5-2 shape. Aldo Teqja starts in goal, with a back three built around Lorran de Oliveira Quintanilha and Naser Aliji providing the core defensive cover. The midfield five will need to control the game and limit Aluminij’s counter-attacking opportunities. Hekuran Berisha leads the line and is the most dangerous player on the pitch heading into this match, having scored three goals in four recent appearances.
Aluminij Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: Florijan Raduha
- DF: Matija Boben, Domen Zajsek, Vito Tezak, Vid Koderman
- MF: Tomislav Jagic, Matic Vrbanec, Simon Rogina
- FW: Bamba Susso, Petar Petrisko, Murat Bajraj
Aluminij will also set up in a 3-5-2 formation, with Florijan Raduha in goal and a disciplined defensive block in front of him. Matija Boben and Vito Tezak are the experienced heads at the back, though both carry yellow card risk. Matic Vrbanec is the player Aluminij will look to for something creative in the final third. Without him producing, it is hard to see where their goal comes from in this leg.
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Aluminij. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo
TipsGG Match Prediction
This second leg has the feel of a match that Dinamo Tirana control without ever fully running away with it. Aluminij’s winless streak across six games, their chronic lack of goals, and the away pressure of a knockout European tie all point in one direction. Dinamo Tirana at home, with Berisha in form and a clear motivation to finish the job, should have enough to win this match narrowly.
We predict a 1-0 or 2-0 win for Dinamo Tirana. Aluminij’s defensive organisation may keep it tight for a period, but their attacking limitations make it very hard to see them scoring. The “Dinamo Tirana to win to nil” market offers the best value given everything the numbers suggest about this tie.
