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Kansas City vs FC Dallas Prediction: 15.06.2025 Major League Soccer

13.06.2025, 17:52

Children’s Mercy Park sets the stage for a compelling Major League Soccer showdown as Kansas City hosts FC Dallas on June 15, 2025. Both sides find themselves in the lower half of the table, desperate for three points to jumpstart their campaigns. With neither team showing consistency in recent matches, this is a critical fixture for coaches Kerry Zavagnin and Eric Quill. A noteworthy subplot is the striking similarity in recent forms and formations: expect both teams to field a 4-2-3-1 system, adding tactical intrigue to an otherwise tense mid-season clash.

Key players to watch include Kansas City’s in-form striker Dejan Joveljić, who has netted 5 goals in his last 4 appearances, as well as FC Dallas midfielder Luciano Acosta, whose creativity and ball retention remain pivotal for Dallas’ attack. These individuals are likely to influence pivotal moments in what could be a cagey affair.

Hot stat: Despite Kansas City’s struggles, they have scored at least two goals in three of their last five home games, underlining their latent attacking threat at Children’s Mercy Park.

00:40Finished15.06.2025
2Kansas CityUnited States
4FC DallasUnited States
🏆 Tournament: Major League Soccer 2025, Regular Season
🏟 Venue: Children’s Mercy Park, Kansas City
🗓️ Date: 15 June 2025
⏰ Time: 03:30 CEST

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Kansas City vs FC Dallas prediction

Given both teams’ recent forms and the statistical nuances, the best value prediction is backing Kansas City on the Draw No Bet market. Here’s why: Kansas City have a marginally stronger home record and a knack for scoring multiple goals at Children’s Mercy Park, while FC Dallas have struggled on the road—registering just one win in their last eight away fixtures. However, defensive frailty on both sides suggests this will be a competitive and open contest, where either side could capitalize on mistakes.

Disciplinary records are also worth noting: FC Dallas have received 18 yellow cards in their last five outings, indicating a potential vulnerability if the match becomes heated. Kansas City, while less aggressive, have generally conceded possession more frequently (pass accuracy 65% vs Dallas’ 77%), which could influence their ability to control the midfield. Expect both sides to threaten from set pieces given their high corner counts, but also to be susceptible to giving away free kicks in dangerous areas.

🔥Hot Tip: Kansas City Draw No Bet
⚽Total Goals: Over 2.5
💥Both Teams To Score: Yes
🎯Total Corners: Over 9.5

Team Analysis

Kansas City Recent Games:
Kansas City have struggled to string together positive results, recording a solitary win, two losses, and three draws from their last six matches. Notably, they suffered a 1-3 home defeat against Los Angeles, exposing defensive fragility. However, the 3-1 victory over Houston Dynamo showcased their offensive prowess, with Dejan Joveljić finding the net. Their 3-3 draw with New England Revolution highlighted both their scoring ability and defensive lapses, as they squandered a lead late in the game. This inconsistency has left them 25th in the standings but with enough attacking spark to remain a threat.

01:00Finished09.06.2025
3Los AngelesUnited States
1Kansas CityUnited States

FC Dallas Recent Games:
FC Dallas arrive in similar shape: winless in their last five matches, with two draws (notably a 3-3 against FC Cincinnati and a goalless stalemate versus Philadelphia Union). Their 1-0 home defeat to Seattle Sounders and a 0-2 loss away to Houston Dynamo point to attacking inefficiency and an occasional lack of creativity. Defensively, Dallas have been erratic, conceding five goals in their last three matches. Yet, with Luciano Acosta pulling the strings in midfield, Dallas always carry latent potential to spring a surprise.

00:30Finished01.06.2025
0FC DallasUnited States
0Philadelphia UnionUnited States

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

Statistic Kansas City FC Dallas
Goals 7 7
Total shots 42 38
Free kicks 24 22
Corner kicks 25 23
Total fouls 39 47
Pass accuracy (%) 69 72
Interceptions 31 32
Offsides 10 8

🚨Read our full Kansas City vs FC Dallas stats for more analysis.

FC Dallas. Source: Official Website

FC Dallas. Source: Official Website

Pre-game odds and win probability: Kansas City the favourite

  • Moneyline Kansas City 2.02 | FC Dallas 3.58
  • Draw 3.60
  • Over/Under Over 2.5 1.97 | Under 2.5 1.81
  • BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.73 | No 2.00

The bookmakers’ odds position Kansas City as slight favourites, reflecting their stronger home performances and slightly better form. The high probability for both teams to score and a low line for over 2.5 goals further signifies bettors’ expectations of an open, attacking contest—supported by both teams’ defensive lapses and decent scoring tallies in recent games.

You can find all our predictions for today’s games on our football betting tips page.

Possible Starting Lineups

Kansas City possible starting eleven

  • GK: John Pulskamp
  • DF: Tim Leibold, Zorhan Bassong, Robert Voloder, Andrew Brody
  • MF: Erik Thommy, Manu García, Memo Rodríguez
  • FW: Dániel Sallói, Dejan Joveljić, Shapi Suleymanov

Reasoning: Kansas City have leaned on a 4-2-3-1 system, maximizing the movement of Dániel Sallói and the scoring instinct of Dejan Joveljić. Tim Leibold and Zorhan Bassong provide defensive cover and width, while Manu García’s playmaking continues to be crucial. Expect Joveljić, the league’s in-form man, to be Kansas City’s primary threat. Maintaining shape and transitions will be key against Dallas’ midfield press.

FC Dallas possible starting eleven

  • GK: Maarten Paes
  • DF: Marco Farfan, Sebastien Ibeagha, nolan norris, Shaquell Moore
  • MF: Ramiro, Luciano Acosta, Patrickson Delgado
  • FW: Anderson Julio, Bernard Kamungo, Petar Musa

Reasoning: Dallas’ 4-2-3-1 offers stability in midfield, with Luciano Acosta orchestrating play and Bernard Kamungo supplying pace out wide. Defensive reliability is boosted by Maarten Paes in goal and Ibeagha at the back. Petar Musa will seek to capitalize on any Kansas City defensive errors, but the midfield’s ability to absorb pressure and supply the frontline will determine Dallas’ attacking output.

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Kansas City. Source: Official Website

Kansas City. Source: Official Website


My take on the Match

While both teams are struggling for form, Kansas City’s marginally superior home record, recent attacking improvements, and the scoring run of Dejan Joveljić make them worthy of support in the Draw No Bet market. Expect an open game with goals at both ends, as neither side has looked secure defensively. Still, Kansas City’s attacking pieces and greater urgency at home should tilt the balance their way, albeit narrowly. If you are considering a side bet, look at the total corners market: both teams have won more than nine corners combined in four of their last five matches, supporting an Over 9.5 bet as well.

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