Sofia Quijada
Pachuca host Queretaro in the Liga MX 2026 Apertura on Monday morning, and Benjamín Mora’s side arrive with real momentum after a perfect two-game start to the tournament. What makes this fixture particularly telling is the contrast in goalkeeping: Pachuca have kept a clean sheet in their opening Apertura match, while Queretaro’s Guillermo Allison made four saves in their last outing and still finished on the losing side against Club America. Salomón Rondón leads the attacking line for Pachuca and scored twice in the most recent match, making him the key threat, while Santiago Homenchenko pulls the strings in Queretaro’s midfield and carries a yellow card risk that could affect their shape.
Hot stat: Pachuca scored three goals in each of their last two competitive matches, netting six times across those games without conceding once.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Liga MX 2026 Apertura, Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | Estadio Hidalgo, Pachuca de Soto |
| 🗓️ Date: | 27.07.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 03:06 CEST |
Pachuca vs Queretaro Prediction
Pachuca are the clear pick here. They have won 14 of 23 matches this year, carry a 100% win rate over the last 30 days, and have been dominant at home this season. Queretaro have won just five of 20 matches in 2026 and lost their Apertura opener 0-1 to Club America. The gap in quality is significant, and the stats back a home win with confidence.
Pachuca’s style reinforces this. In their last tracked match they committed only five fouls, earned ten free kicks in their favor, and completed passes at a far higher volume than Queretaro, who managed just 263 passes to Pachuca’s 362. Queretaro picked up six yellow cards in that same fixture, suggesting they get stretched and foul their way into trouble when pressed. That disciplinary pressure could open up space for Pachuca’s attackers early, and Rondón and Idrissi are well-placed to exploit it.
- Main prediction: Pachuca to win
- Value pick: Pachuca to win to nil
- Goals: Over 2.5
- Both Teams to Score: No
- Corners: Over 7.5
Team Analysis
Pachuca have been in excellent form heading into this fixture. They have won their last five recorded matches, with two of those coming in the past 30 days. Their most recent game, a 3-0 win over Pumas U.N.A.M. on July 22, was a controlled performance: 15 shots, 362 passes, 13 interceptions, and only five fouls committed. Rondón scored twice, Montiel added a goal and an assist, and the team did not concede. Before that, they beat Puebla 3-1 in what was a tighter affair but still showed their attacking quality. The overall 2026 record of 14 wins from 23 matches places them among the more consistent sides in Liga MX this year.
Queretaro’s form has been less settled. They have taken one win, one draw, and one loss across their last three matches, and their Apertura campaign opened with a 0-1 defeat to Club America on July 22. In that game, Allison made four saves but the team registered only ten shots, four interceptions, and 263 passes, giving a clear picture of a side that struggles to control matches. Their yellow card count of six in that single game is alarming. Their best result in recent weeks was a 2-1 win over Puebla in late April, but inconsistency has defined their 2026 season, with just five wins from 20 games at a 25% win rate.
🚨 Check out our dedicated Pachuca vs Queretaro stats page for more info.
Pre-game Odds and Win Probability: Pachuca the Favourite
- Moneyline Pachuca 1.50 | Queretaro 5.50
- Draw 3.82
The market gives Pachuca roughly 59% implied probability, which aligns well with their form and home advantage. The draw at 3.82 looks overpriced given Queretaro’s lack of firepower, and Queretaro at 5.50 reflects their weak season record accurately. Pachuca’s odds in the 1.49 to 1.58 range across most books represent fair value for a side that has conceded nothing in their last two matches and scored six goals in that span.
Possible Starting Lineups
Pachuca Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: Carlos Moreno
- DF: Sergio Barreto, Eduardo Dos Santos, Alan Mozo, Francisco Venegas
- MF: Christian Rivera, Elías Montiel, Rodolfo Pizarro
- FW: Oussama Idrissi, Salomón Rondón, Robert Nunes
Pachuca line up in a 4-2-3-1 shape under Mora, with Carlos Moreno in goal after logging 90 minutes recently. Francisco Venegas is a solid defensive contributor with five interceptions in the last match. Christian Rivera anchors the midfield with 46 passes and two interceptions. Rondón is the clear focal point up front, and Idrissi provides creativity and set-piece involvement from the right channel.
Queretaro Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: Guillermo Allison
- DF: Diego Reyes, Daniel Parra, Lucas Abascia, Paulo Victor
- MF: Santiago Homenchenko, Carlo Garcia, Jean Unjanque, Juan Pablo Cázares
- FW: Ali Ávila, Mateo Coronel
Queretaro also deploy a 4-2-3-1. Allison is the first-choice goalkeeper and will be busy. Homenchenko is the creative hub in midfield with 45 passes in the last game, though he already carries a yellow card. Parra, Reyes, and Abascia all picked up bookings in the last match, meaning the backline is under disciplinary pressure. Coronel leads the attack but managed only one shot in the last fixture. Esteban González will need a disciplined setup to keep the score manageable.
🏅Tips.GG premium subscription brings you even closer to WIN!🏅
- Gain access to the most profitable bets by using our analysis of over 60,000 monthly predictions from 1,000+ sources.
- Premium users enjoy predictions from tipsters with the highest win rate while also gaining access to favorable odds, outcome calculation, and quick filter to favorable odds.
- Unlock the “Golden Bet” – our unique formula for the best high-odd betting opportunities! Get detailed reports on our system’s performance, including Winrate, ROI, and Yield.
Pachuca. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo
The Verdict
We predict a comfortable Pachuca home win. Their attacking output, defensive solidity, and passing dominance all point in one direction. Queretaro arrive with a losing record in the Apertura, a tendency to accumulate fouls and yellow cards under pressure, and a forward line that has not scored in their last league outing. The head-to-head record is mixed, but current form strongly favors Pachuca. The best value lies in Pachuca to win to nil, given their back-to-back clean sheets and Queretaro’s inability to create consistent chances. Over 2.5 goals also makes sense given Pachuca’s recent scoring rate, with the away side unlikely to add much at the other end.
