Arjun Menon
Rizespor hosts Besiktas in Rize on May 15th, 2026, as the Süper Lig season edges toward its end. A clash with real stakes for both, but especially for Besiktas, sitting fourth and clinging to European ambitions. Rizespor, at eighth, have their own pride and local energy to channel, especially after a humiliating 0-4 home loss in their last outing. Form? Patchy on both sides, but Besiktas look the more stable force, if recent history counts for anything. Midfield battle draws the eye: Orkun Kökçü for Besiktas—direct, sharp, never far from the action. For Rizespor, Qazim Laci, quietly consistent, pulls the strings when allowed.
Hot stat: Besiktas have fired a massive 83 shots across their last five league matches, more than 60% above Rizespor’s total in the same span. If shot volume means anything, the visitors are not coming to sit back.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Süper Lig 2025/26 Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | Çaykur Didi Stadyumu, Rize |
| 🗓️ Date: | 15.05.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 19:00 CEST |
Rizespor vs Besiktas prediction
Best value? Away win for Besiktas. The win probability sits at 47% from bookmakers, and our own reading of the data aligns with the favorite. Besiktas have a higher win rate this year (59%) versus Rizespor’s 33%, have scored more goals, and allow fewer shots inside their own box. Sergen Yalçın’s team take risks—evident in their 83 shots and 34 corners in five matches—while Rizespor’s shot total and creative output lag. Rizespor’s fouls and yellow cards (54 and 9 in five games) signal a physical, maybe desperate approach, but that aggression hasn’t translated into control. Their pass accuracy drops below 83% over the same stretch, compared to Besiktas’s 87%.
We think Besiktas’s superior midfield control, pressing, and directness will create more chances, while Rizespor’s high foul count and defensive errors could prove costly.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Besiktas to win & Over 2.5 goals |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 10.5 |
Team Analysis
Rizespor’s latest match—a bruising 0-4 home defeat to Eyupspor—screams warning signs. Outmuscled, outshot, outclassed. Not even a single goal at home, and only 9 shots in the match, struggling for any coherent attacking threat. Their earlier 3-2 win over Konyaspor was more spirited, but the pattern is a team that can’t string consistent results together. Defensive lapses and midfield gaps leave them exposed, especially when chasing the game.
Besiktas come in off a 1-2 home loss to Trabzonspor, but their run before that—three wins in five—shows they bounce back fast. Their 3-0 demolition of Alanyaspor, for instance, was all about midfield power and clinical finishing. They maintain higher possession numbers, circulate the ball with confidence (over 2,700 passes in five games), and press high. The one weakness? Occasional lapses at the back, leading to goals against, but their attack usually covers that up.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Rizespor | Besiktas |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2 (last 2 matches) | 5 (last 2 matches) |
| Total shots | 14 | 22 |
| Free kicks | 14 | 13 |
| Corner kicks | 7 | 13 |
| Total fouls | 27 | 23 |
| Pass accuracy (%) | 80% | 85% |
| Interceptions | 9 | 11 |
| Offsides | 3 | 5 |
🚨Check out our dedicated Rizespor vs Besiktas stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Besiktas the favourite
- Moneyline Rizespor 3.35 | Besiktas 1.95
- Draw 4.00
- Over/Under Over 2.5 1.85 | Under 2.5 1.95
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.70 | No 2.10
Bookies mark Besiktas as clear favorites and it’s not just hype. Their away odds hang around 1.95 to 2.06, showing confidence despite being on the road. Rizespor’s price floats above 3.30 everywhere you look, and it’s justified; their form wobbles, especially at home after recent setbacks. Over 2.5 goals at 1.85 feels low, but with both sides shaky at the back, it’s not crazy. Both teams to score is a strong lean. Not much value in the home side unless you’re betting on a wild upset.
Rizespor. Source: Official Facebook
Possible Starting Lineups
Rizespor possible starting eleven
- GK: Yahia Fofana
- DF: Mithat Pala, Attila Mocsi, Casper Hojer, Modibo Sagnan
- MF: Qazim Laci, Taylan Antalyalı, Ibrahim Olawoyin, Giannis Papanikolaou, Valentin Mihăilă
- FW: Ali Sowe
Fofana remains the obvious pick in goal—he’s played four of the last five. Defense likely lines up with Pala, Mocsi, Hojer, Sagnan, with Sagnan and Hojer offering physicality and occasional set-piece threat. Laci pulls the strings in midfield, supported by Antalyalı and Olawoyin for pressing and distribution, Mihăilă adds width and directness. Sowe up top, holds up play and drags defenders. Formation? 4-1-4-1 as per recent trend. Laci and Mihăilă, watch them—everything good runs through their feet.
Besiktas possible starting eleven
- GK: Ersin Destanoglu
- DF: Ridvan Yilmaz, Emmanuel Agbadou, Felix Uduokhai, Emirhan Topçu
- MF: Wilfred Ndidi, Orkun Kökçü, Kristjan Asllani, Junior Olaitan Ishola, Václav Černý
- FW: El Bilal Toure
Besiktas’s defensive line picks itself: Yilmaz and Topçu offer pace and recovery, Agbadou and Uduokhai anchor centrally. Ndidi cleans up and transitions, Kökçü (two goals in five) creates and presses, Asllani is tidy, Ishola and Černý stretch play. El Bilal Toure leads the line, his movement keeps center backs busy. Formation likely stays at 4-2-3-1, favoring fast transitions and wide overloads. Kökçü is the danger man, but Toure’s scoring knack could decide things.
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Besiktas. Source: Official Facebook
TipsGG Match Prediction
Besiktas to win. The edge is clear—better attack, more shots, higher pass accuracy, and a recent history of dispatching teams like Rizespor. Defensive worries exist, but Rizespor lack the cutting edge to punish them consistently. If Besiktas show even a fraction of the attacking volume they’ve produced lately, this match bends their way. Both sides have flaws, but only one looks ready to capitalize.
