Arjun Menon
Manchester United travel to Trondheim to face Rosenborg in what is a genuinely interesting pre-season fixture, not least because these two sides met in the same competition back in July 2024, when Rosenborg claimed a surprise 1-0 win. That result is more than just a footnote. It gives the hosts real belief heading into this rematch, and it puts pressure on Michael Carrick’s United side to perform in front of what will be a passionate Norwegian crowd at Lerkendal Stadion.
Rosenborg’s attackers are the ones to watch. Amin Chiakha has been in excellent form across the last two matches, scoring three goals and contributing the kind of direct, incisive play that will cause problems for any defence. Emil Konradsen Ceide has also caught the eye, registering two assists while completing a high volume of passes. For United, Bryan Mbeumo is the player to track. He was active in his last appearance and brings pace and creativity to a side that has otherwise looked short on attacking output this pre-season.
Hot stat: Rosenborg have registered 27 total shots across their last five matches, compared to just 5 for Manchester United. That gap is significant, particularly when United’s lone recent match ended in a 0-1 defeat to Wrexham.
| 🏆 Tournament: | International Club Friendly 2026, July Phase |
| 🏟 Venue: | Lerkendal Stadion, Trondheim |
| 🗓️ Date: | 24.07.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 18:00 CEST |
Rosenborg vs Manchester United Prediction
The bookmakers make Manchester United clear favourites at around 1.65-1.68, but the data tells a different story. Rosenborg have won all three of their matches in the last 30 days, while United have played just once, losing to Wrexham. The Norwegians are sharp, well-drilled, and playing with genuine momentum under Freyr Alexandersson. United, by contrast, are early in their pre-season build and are still finding their legs.
The head-to-head record from this exact fixture two years ago favours Rosenborg, and their current form is objectively better. A Rosenborg win at 4.00-4.10 represents strong value given the circumstances.
In terms of style, Rosenborg’s numbers reveal an active, aggressive approach. They average significantly more fouls and free kicks than United across recent matches, which suggests they press high and compete physically. Their 11 corners in five games versus United’s 3 shows they generate far more attacking momentum. United’s low pass volume and pass accuracy in their last match points to a side that has not yet clicked into gear. Their 4 fouls and 8 free kicks conceded in that single outing suggest a cautious, low-intensity performance, which is fine for a first pre-season run-out but does not inspire confidence ahead of a competitive friendly.
- We predict Rosenborg to win at odds of around 4.00 as the headline bet, given their form advantage and the head-to-head precedent.
- For a safer angle, Under 2.5 goals looks appealing. United have scored zero in their only pre-season outing, and Rosenborg, despite winning their games, have been involved in low-scoring contests against stronger sides.
- Both Teams to Score: No is worth considering given United’s attacking output has been minimal.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Rosenborg to Win & Under 3.5 Goals |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Under 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 6.5 |
Team Analysis
Rosenborg have been in fine form throughout July. Their three most recent matches all ended in wins: a 3-0 defeat of Kristiansand, a 3-0 win over Kristiansund, and a 2-1 victory against Molde. The Molde result is the most telling, as Molde are a strong Norwegian top-flight side. Before that run, Rosenborg did suffer two defeats, losing to Aalesund 2-3 and going down 0-2 to KFUM Oslo, which shows they are not without vulnerability. But the trajectory heading into this match is clearly upward, and Alexandersson has his side playing with confidence and cohesion. Their last outing against Kristiansand was a dominant performance, and the squad looks fresh and motivated.
Manchester United’s pre-season has only just begun, and the signs from their single match have not been encouraging. They fell 0-1 to Wrexham in what was a low-intensity, rotational outing. Michael Carrick used a large squad in that match, with many players clocking just 45 minutes. The lineup included a mix of fringe players and youngsters such as Tom Heaton, Ethan Wheatley, and Dan Gore, which tells you this was very much a fitness exercise rather than a competitive performance. Prior to the Wrexham loss, United’s last competitive results were mixed: wins over Brighton, Nottingham Forest, and Liverpool were offset by draws and defeats in other fixtures. The squad has quality, but they are well behind Rosenborg in terms of match sharpness right now.
Most Recent Head-to-Head Matches
These two sides met once before in this same competition, with Rosenborg claiming a narrow but deserved victory.
| Statistic | Rosenborg | Manchester United |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 0 |
🚨Check out our dedicated Rosenborg vs Manchester United stats page for more info.
Pre-game Odds and Win Probability: Manchester United the Favourite
- Moneyline Rosenborg 4.00 | Manchester United 1.68
- Draw 4.10
- Over/Under Over 2.5 N/A | Under 2.5 N/A
The bookmakers price Manchester United as heavy favourites at around 1.65-1.68, which reflects their global reputation rather than their current pre-season form. Rosenborg at 4.00 is genuinely generous given they have won three straight matches and already beaten United in this fixture two years ago. The draw price of 4.10 is also worth noting. To be honest, the market feels like it has underestimated just how early United are in their preparation. We see value on Rosenborg and would not dismiss the draw at that price either.
Rosenborg. Source: Official Facebook
Possible Starting Lineups
Rosenborg Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: Leopold Wahlstedt
- DF: Nemcik Tomas, Mikkel Konradsen Ceide, Adrian Nilsen Pereira, Jonas Svensson
- MF: Iver Fossum, Ole Selnaes, Mads Bomholt
- FW: Amin Chiakha, Emil Konradsen Ceide, David Duris
Rosenborg have leaned on a 4-2-3-1 shape across their last five matches. Leopold Wahlstedt has been the first-choice goalkeeper, and Nemcik Tomas is the most active defender in terms of pass volume. The midfield trio of Fossum, Selnaes, and Bomholt provides both energy and passing range. Up front, Amin Chiakha is the standout name after his three goals in two games, and Emil Konradsen Ceide’s two assists make him a constant creative threat. David Duris adds a physical presence and has contributed a goal as well. This is a settled, confident group.
Manchester United Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: Radek Vitek
- DF: Leny Yoro, Ayden Heaven, Patrick Dorgu, Harry Amass
- MF: Andrey Santos, Jacob Devaney, Toby Collyer, Mason Mount
- FW: Bryan Mbeumo, Joshua Zirkzee
United have been using a 3-4-2-1 setup in pre-season, but with heavy rotation it is difficult to predict a settled XI. Based on recent appearances, Radek Vitek is likely to start in goal. Leny Yoro showed promise defensively against Wrexham with two interceptions. Andrey Santos was active in midfield with two interceptions and solid pass accuracy. Bryan Mbeumo is the most recognisable attacking name available and will likely lead the line or play off a striker. Joshua Zirkzee adds a focal point up top. The squad is still finding rhythm, and Carrick will perhaps use this match to give more minutes to players who did not feature against Wrexham.
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Manchester United . Source: Official Facebook
TipsGG Match Prediction
This match sets up as a genuine upset opportunity. Rosenborg are playing their best football of the summer, with three consecutive wins and a squad that is physically sharp and tactically organised. Manchester United are at the other end of the pre-season spectrum: one match played, a loss to Wrexham, and a rotating squad still building fitness. The precedent from 2024 shows Rosenborg can and will compete against Premier League opposition in this format.
We predict a Rosenborg win. Their shot volume, corner count, and goal-scoring form across five matches dwarfs what United have shown so far. At 4.00, backing the hosts is the best value on the board. Under 2.5 goals also makes sense given United’s lack of attacking output, and both teams to score landing as No is a real possibility if United continue to struggle to create chances.
