Levante vs Mallorca Prediction: 17.05.2026 La Liga

Levante and Mallorca, both hovering just above the relegation zone with identical points, face off in Valencia in a high-stakes clash. Each side has 39 points after 36 games, and this match could well decide survival. Levante arrives with better recent form, winning four of their last six, while Mallorca struggles with just one victory in five. Two players likely to influence proceedings: Levante’s Iván Romero, who netted twice in his last three games, and Mallorca’s Samuel Costa, the main recent goal threat from midfield. A hot stat—Levante have scored exactly three goals in back-to-back home matches, showing a sharp uptick in attacking production.

Levante vs Mallorca prediction

We predict Levante to take all three points. Bookmakers give Levante a 45% win probability, with the home side displaying a stronger win rate and goal scoring output recently. Mallorca have managed just one win in their last five, and their attack produced only five goals in that span, compared to Levante’s nine. Levante’s aggressive approach at home, reflected in their 29 corners and 77 shots over five games, suggests they can keep Mallorca’s leaky defense under pressure.

Levante average 12 fouls and 2.2 yellow cards per match recently, indicating a physical style that can disrupt Mallorca’s buildup. Mallorca’s 83 fouls in five games point to defensive desperation rather than midfield control. Both sides lack discipline, but Levante’s improved passing accuracy (up to 83%) and higher shot count give them a creative edge. Expect a match with plenty of set pieces and a high tempo, but also the risk of cards halting rhythm.

Team Analysis

Levante’s resurgence centers on recent home wins. Last match, they edged Celta Vigo 3-2—clinical finishing made the difference. Their last five: three wins (including 3-2 vs Osasuna, 2-0 vs Sevilla), a 0-0 draw (Espanyol), and one heavy loss to Villarreal. The attack has found consistency, while the defense remains a weak point, conceding in most games. Pablo Martínez Andrés is driving midfield transitions, with Iván Romero and Carlos Espí adding mobility up front.

Mallorca, meanwhile, come off a 1-3 home loss to Getafe, marking their second defeat in three. Their five-game run: one win (1-0 Girona), two draws (1-1 Valencia, 1-1 Villarreal), and two losses (Getafe, Alavés). Samuel Costa stands out with two goals, while Vedat Muriqi has struggled to convert chances. The team’s midfield, led by Omar Mascarell, sees plenty of the ball but lacks the incisiveness to break stubborn lines.

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

🚨Check out our dedicated Levante vs Mallorca stats page for more info.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Levante the favourite

• Moneyline Levante 2.23 | Mallorca 3.58
• Draw 3.47
• Over/Under Over 2.5 2.25 | Under 2.5 1.60
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.85 | No 1.90

Levante’s 2.23 odds reflect their recent momentum and home advantage. Mallorca’s 3.58 shows the lack of faith in their away form and scoring. The draw at 3.47 is less attractive, given both sides’ tendency to concede late. Over 2.5 goals at 2.25 looks valuable, with Levante’s recent high-scoring home matches. Both teams to score at 1.85 is reasonable—Levante’s defense isn’t watertight, and Mallorca always have a chance through set pieces or late attacks.

Possible Starting Lineups

Levante possible starting eleven

Ryan starts between the posts, with Toljan, Moreno, García, and Sánchez forming a stable back four. Martínez Andrés and Arriaga bring vision and energy to midfield, supported by Olasagasti and Rey’s passing. Up front, Romero and Espí combine recent scoring touch with pressing work. Expect Levante to stick with 4-2-3-1, maximizing midfield control and quick transitions. Romero’s form makes him the man to watch for a potential match-winner.

Mallorca possible starting eleven

Román Riquelme anchors Mallorca’s defense. Valjent, López Guijarro, Maffeo, and Mojica likely compose the backline, balancing experience and athleticism. Mascarell, Morlanes, and Darder form the midfield base, with Torre and Costa expected to push higher. Muriqi stays as the focal striker, relying on service from the flanks and set pieces. Mallorca use a 4-1-4-1 system, betting on midfield numbers but lacking a secondary scoring outlet if Muriqi gets isolated.

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TipsGG Match Prediction

Levante enter as the more dangerous side, sharper in front of goal, and more confident at home. Their current trajectory and ability to generate chances—especially from wide positions and set pieces—should break Mallorca’s resistance. Mallorca’s lack of firepower and discipline away from home increases their risk. We predict a 2-1 win for Levante, with both teams finding the net but the hosts’ recent offensive push proving decisive.

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