Liam Duckstein
Group A of the Women’s Africa Cup of Nations 2026 kicks off with a West Africa vs North Africa clash as Algeria face Senegal on 26 July. Both sides enter the tournament having split their last two competitive results, so there is genuine uncertainty heading into this opener. The one piece of recent history that stands out is the pair’s only confirmed meeting: Senegal put three past Algeria without reply in an International Friendly in June 2025, which will be fresh in Jeff Strasser’s mind as he prepares his Algeria squad to avoid a repeat.
One player to watch for Senegal is whoever leads the line after that three-goal showing against Algeria last year, while Algeria will need a composed performer in midfield to disrupt Senegal’s attacking patterns and keep the scoreline competitive in the early stages.
Hot stat: Algeria have conceded in four of their last five recorded matches, including back-to-back losses to South Africa where they failed to score. That defensive vulnerability against higher-ranked opposition is a real concern as they enter this tournament.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Women’s Africa Cup of Nations 2026, Group A |
| 🗓️ Date: | 26.07.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 19:00 CEST |
Algeria (w) vs Senegal (w) prediction
Senegal look the stronger side on paper, and the head-to-head record backs that up. Their 3-0 win over Algeria in June 2025 was not a fluke; the bookmakers at the time gave Senegal only a 28% chance of winning that game, yet they won comfortably. Algeria, ranked considerably lower on the world scale, have struggled against quality opposition this year, losing to South Africa twice and managing just a 33% win rate across six matches in 2026 compared to Senegal’s 50% rate.
Senegal’s recent schedule included tough tests against Nigeria and Egypt, and while they lost to Nigeria twice, they showed resilience by beating Egypt 1-0 in their most recent match. Algeria’s best recent result was a narrow 1-0 win over Zambia, which is a decent confidence boost but does not compare to the level Senegal have been tested at.
We predict a Senegal win. Their attacking output and the 3-0 demolition of this exact opponent last month make them the clear pick. Algeria may set up defensively, so a low-scoring Senegal win feels like the most likely outcome rather than another goal fest.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Senegal (w) to win to nil |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Under 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Under 9.5 |
Team Analysis
Algeria go into this tournament on the back of a mixed recent run. In the last 30 days they won once and drew once, both against Zambia, with a 1-0 win followed by a 1-1 draw. Those results are fine against lower-ranked opposition, but their wider 2026 record of three wins from six tells a more honest story. The two-game series against South Africa in the spring was particularly rough: Algeria lost 0-2 and 0-1 without scoring, which exposed real problems in attack against physically and tactically superior teams.
Their last match, the 1-0 win over Zambia, will give them some confidence, but Zambia’s rating is a fraction of Senegal’s. Algeria’s form over a longer stretch shows a side that is inconsistent, mixing wins with draws and losses in no particular pattern. Coach Jeff Strasser will need a disciplined defensive structure from the first whistle here.
Senegal come into this match with a 50% win rate over the last 30 days, though their two-game record against Nigeria was disappointing: a 0-3 loss and a 1-2 defeat. What lifts confidence in them for this fixture is the result that came before that Nigeria series. They beat Burkina Faso 3-3 in a high-energy match, showing they can score freely, and then responded to the Nigeria losses by beating Egypt 1-0 in their most recent outing. Egypt carry a rating of over 18,000, so winning that game is a meaningful result.
The Senegal squad has shown they can both grind out wins and score in bundles. Their 3-0 win over Algeria last month confirms they match up well against this specific opponent. Strasser will know exactly what worked in that game and will likely set up to exploit the same weaknesses again.
🚨Check out our dedicated Algeria (w) vs Senegal (w) stats page for more info.
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Algeria (w). Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo
The Verdict
Senegal are the pick here, and we are not hedging on that. Their 3-0 win over Algeria in June 2025 is the most direct evidence available, and nothing in Algeria’s recent results suggests they have improved enough to reverse that outcome. Algeria have failed to score in three of their last five recorded matches against meaningful opposition, and Senegal have shown they can score against teams rated far above Algeria.
We predict a Senegal win with Algeria kept off the scoresheet. The under 2.5 goals market makes sense too, as Senegal may not need to push hard once they get an early lead, and Algeria are unlikely to produce a high-volume attacking performance. To be honest, this looks like one of the cleaner calls in the opening round of the tournament.
