Alex MacQuoid
The EFL Championship closes its regular season with Hull City facing Norwich City at the MKM Stadium. It’s not just another league game; both sides have something left to prove. Hull, currently seventh and clinging to playoff hopes, have stumbled in the run-in and failed to win any of their last six matches. Norwich, ninth, hold a mathematical chance for a late surge, but they’d need chaos above them. Hull’s recent form is a concern. Norwich, on the other hand, are sharper, taking three wins from their last six. Sergej Jakirovic and Philippe Clement, two coaches under pressure for different reasons, will be banking on their talismans.
Eyes turn to Oliver McBurnie for Hull – a forward who, despite his team’s winless run, netted twice in five, putting defenders on edge. On Norwich’s side, Mohamed Toure has been lighting up the pitch, scoring four in five, his movement and aggression a nightmare for markers.
Hot stat: Norwich have scored nine goals in their last five, almost double Hull’s five. That’s not just a quirk; it’s a pattern with teeth.
| 🏆 Tournament: | EFL Championship 2025/26 Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | MKM Stadium, Hull |
| 🗓️ Date: | 02.05.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 13:30 CEST |
Hull vs Norwich prediction
We think the best value is backing “Both Teams to Score” (BTTS – Yes). Hull’s defense has been porous lately, conceding at least one in each of their last five. Norwich have found their attacking rhythm, hitting the net nine times in the same span. Both teams have more to offer in attack than defense right now, and with nothing to lose, expect an open contest.
Hull average 11 fouls and nearly 3 yellow cards per match in their last five – they play with edge but sometimes lose discipline. Norwich aren’t far behind on the rough side, with a similar yellow card count but slightly fewer fouls. Passing stats tell a story too; Norwich’s ball retention stands out (1,634 accurate passes in five matches versus Hull’s 1,167), suggesting they’ll try to control midfield. Yet Hull’s physical style could disrupt. This clash of styles, one patient and technical, the other raw and urgent, is ripe for goals and drama.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Over 10.5 Corners |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | 11+ |
Team Analysis
Hull’s recent games have been heavy on frustration, light on celebration. Last time out, they lost 1-2 at home to Charlton. Defensive lapses, wasted possession, and a lack of creative spark haunted them. It’s a pattern – across their last six, draws and narrow losses, rarely outplayed but often unable to finish opponents. McBurnie stands out up front, but service to him often dries up. The midfield looks static under pressure, struggling to maintain tempo.
Norwich, in contrast, come off a 1-1 draw with Swansea but showed more punch. Mohamed Toure’s finishing is ruthless right now, and the midfield, with Kenny McLean pulling strings, looked composed. Norwich have won three of their last six, including a 4-2 over Bristol City and a gritty 2-1 against Derby. Their only recent blip, a 0-2 home loss to Ipswich, showed some defensive fragility, but overall, this side has momentum and confidence.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Hull | Norwich |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 5 (last 5 matches) | 9 (last 5 matches) |
| Total shots | 72 | 76 |
| Free kicks | 12 | 5 |
| Corner kicks | 27 | 36 |
| Total fouls | 55 | 57 |
| Pass accuracy (%) | 70.3 | 78.8 |
| Interceptions | 45 | 40 |
| Offsides | 12 | 5 |
🚨Check out our dedicated Hull vs Norwich stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Hull the favourite
- Moneyline Hull 1.74 | Norwich 4.37
- Draw 4.12
- Over/Under Over 2.5 2.05 | Under 2.5 1.78
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.80 | No 2.00
Hull’s status as favorites leans more on bookmakers’ faith in their home advantage and higher league standing than on actual recent performances. The odds on Norwich are long—maybe too long given their recent form. Over 2.5 goals offers value, both defenses leak chances and forwards are in form. BTTS at 1.80 is tempting; too many attacking threats, too little defensive consistency.
Norwich. Source: Official Facebook
Possible Starting Lineups
Hull possible starting eleven
- GK: Ivor Pandur
- DF: Lewie Coyle, John Egan, Semi Ajayi, Ryan Giles
- MF: Matt Crooks, John Lundstram, Paddy McNair, Liam Millar
- FW: Oliver McBurnie, Joe Gelhardt
Pandur is the clear choice in goal. Coyle, Egan, Ajayi, and Giles have all featured regularly and offer a blend of experience and youth at the back. Crooks, Lundstram, and McNair in midfield, with Millar providing width and support to the front two. McBurnie is the target man; Gelhardt brings movement and link-up play. Expect Hull to stick with their 4-2-3-1, but it often morphs into a more direct approach when chasing the game. Millar’s pace and McBurnie’s finishing are keys.
Norwich possible starting eleven
- GK: Vladan Kovačević
- DF: Kellen Fisher, Jose Cordoba, Harry Darling, Jack Stacey
- MF: Kenny McLean, Liam Gibbs, Pelle Mattsson, Paris Maghoma
- FW: Mohamed Toure, Oscar Schwartau
Kovačević in goal is nailed on. Fisher, Cordoba, Darling, and Stacey form the defensive unit – they’ve been the backbone during Norwich’s improved run. McLean orchestrates from deep, with Gibbs and Mattsson adding dynamism. Maghoma pushes forward to support the attack. Toure and Schwartau are the obvious picks up top – the former in red-hot form, the latter capable of popping up with important goals. Norwich are set to line up in a 4-2-3-1 that becomes fluid in attack. Toure’s pace is a problem for any defense, and McLean’s vision is worth watching.
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Hull. Source: Official Facebook
TipsGG Match Prediction
We think this match swings on fine margins. Hull will want to end their winless run at home but look vulnerable defensively, especially against the pace and aggression of Toure. Norwich’s recent goal tally suggests they’ll create—and likely take—chances. Expect both sides to score, the tempo to be high, and plenty of action in the penalty areas. If you’re after a single outcome, BTTS – Yes is the call, with Over 2.5 goals close behind. Norwich look a bit overpriced in the market; don’t be shocked if they snatch at least a point.
