Greuther Furth vs Ulm Prediction: 25.04.2025 2. Bundesliga Preview

As the 2. Bundesliga enters a critical phase, Greuther Furth and Ulm face off at Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer on April 25, 2025. While Furth are battling to escape the lower reaches of the table, Ulm finds themselves in a relegation dogfight, making this a true six-pointer. Both sides have shown flashes of attacking intent but have also suffered from incosistency – especially in recent weeks. What adds extra intrigue is that both managers have stuck with the flexible 3-4-1-2 formation, which could lead to an open battle in midfield and wide areas.

For Greuther Furth, keep your eyes on Roberto Massimo, whose dynamic play has contributed both goals and assists recently, lifting team spirits during difficult spells. On the Ulm side, Aaron Keller stands out as a key forward, dangerous both in transition and with his ability to press high up the pitch. With each team striving to turn the tide, decisive moments could come from either of these influential players.

Worth highlighting: Ulm’s noticeable improvement in attack, registering six goals in their last five matches—an uptick that’s kept their survival hopes alive.

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Greuther Furth vs Ulm prediction

Given the stakes and recent trends, the draw emerges as the best value prediction for this clash. Greuther Furth have struggled to find wins—failing to notch a single victory in their last four outings—while Ulm’s away performances have improved but often end up in tightly-contested affairs. Both sides deploy attacking wingbacks but rarely commit too many men forward early, resulting in cagey first halves before the game opens up.

Greuther Furth average 1.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game over their last five, while Ulm have scored a respectable six during the same span but remain vulnerable at the back, especially against set-pieces. Both teams are relatively disciplined, each collecting between six and eight yellow cards in their past five games and rarely venturing into red-card territory, which helps maintain game flow but limits risk-taking in midfield.

In midfield, possession stats point to slight Furth dominance but with efficiency issues in the final third. Expect a midfield battle with intermittent transitions rather than sustained periods of pressure. The predicted outcome reflects both teams’ inability to consistently break down well-organized defenses, combined with a conservative approach owing to their precarious league positions.

Team Analysis

Greuther Furth Recent Games:
Furth’s form has been patchy, with their last five matches featuring two draws, two defeats, and just a single win, that too against relegation-threatened Regensburg. Most recently, they narrowly lost 0-1 to Karlsruher SC—a match that typified their struggles to generate high-quality chances despite controlling possession for long stretches. That game, along with a 1-1 draw with FC Köln, showed the side’s problems: static build-up play and a lack of incisiveness in the final third. Players like Massimo and Consbruch are creative sparks, but the absence of a clinical striker continues to haunt Jan Siewert’s team.

Ulm Recent Games:
Ulm, on the other hand, have been something of a Jekyll and Hyde team, alternating between narrow victories and tight defeats. Their last outing was a hard-fought 2-3 defeat to Hertha Berlin—a match in which Ulm’s backline was at times overwhelmed by pace but their attackers found success by forcing turnovers. The 2-1 win against Darmstadt 98 and the impressive 1-0 scalp of Magdeburg point to a side growing in confidence and capable of upsetting stronger opposition with aggressive pressing and smart set-piece routines. However, defensive lapses remain a problem, especially when opponents ramp up the intensity late on.

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

🚨Read our full Greuther Furth vs Ulm stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Greuther Furth the favourite

Bookmakers marginally favour Greuther Furth, largely due to home advantage and their higher world ranking. However, the odds reflect the reality that neither side is brimming with confidence. With both teams defensively dogged and producing few clear-cut chances per game, the value lies in backing conservative markets—justifying the edge in Draw/Under markets.

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Possible Starting Lineups

Greuther Furth possible starting eleven

This selection reflects the most consistent lineup from Jan Siewert in recent games—anchored by Noll in goal, with the stability of Itter and Quarshie at the back, and versatile midfielders like Massimo and Klaus providing creativity and drive. The team typically lines up in a 3-4-1-2, using Klaus as a playmaker behind Futkeu. Consbruch’s recent form, combined with Futkeu’s energy up front, will be crucial if Furth are to turn draws into wins. The formation prioritizes midfield density, hoping to outnumber Ulm’s engine room.

Ulm possible starting eleven

Coach Thomas Wörle is likely to continue with his trusted 3-4-1-2, putting faith in defensive leaders Reichert and Strompf while Brandt and Batista Meier orchestrate the midfield. Keller provides pace and a pressing threat up top. Telalovic’s movement compliments Keller’s more direct style, and with Dressel chipping in from midfield, Ulm can threaten on the break. Don’t discount Krattenmacher’s creativity in the final third—his vision could unlock Furth’s structured defense.

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My take on the Match

This fixture is likely to be tense and tightly contested, with both teams operating under the pressure of poor form and relegation concerns. My main pick is Draw No Bet – Greuther Furth. Home advantage slightly tilts the scale in Furth’s favor, but Ulm’s recent goal-scoring exploits cannot be dismissed. Expect a tactical contest with moments of brilliance from both midfields but limited open-play chances. Under 2.5 goals is another strong selection, as both defensive lines will look to restrict space, prioritizing structure over flair.

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