Liam Duckstein
Liverpool and Sunderland meet at Geodis Park in Nashville on July 26 as part of the Premier League Summer Series 2026. On paper this looks like a comfortable assignment for Andoni Iraola’s side, but Régis Le Bris has quietly assembled a Sunderland squad that has shown real teeth this pre-season. The Black Cats beat Chelsea 2-1 in their most recent competitive outing against top-flight opposition, which is the kind of result that demands attention regardless of the context.
Keep an eye on whoever Iraola deploys in the No. 10 role for Liverpool, as the Reds have struggled to control midfield territory in recent outings, losing to both Aston Villa (2-4) and Manchester United (2-3) in their last five matches. For Sunderland, their attacking unit has looked sharp throughout pre-season, and the forward tasked with leading the line after that five-goal showing against York City will be worth watching closely.
Hot stat: Sunderland have scored in every single one of their last five matches, including a 5-1 demolition of York City and victories over Chelsea and Everton, making them far more dangerous going forward than their ranking suggests.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Premier League Summer Series 2026 |
| 🏟 Venue: | Geodis Park, Nashville |
| 🗓️ Date: | 26.07.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 00:00 CEST |
Liverpool vs Sunderland Prediction
Liverpool enter this match with a mixed recent record. They drew with Brentford and Chelsea, lost to Aston Villa and Manchester United, and only managed one convincing win against Crystal Palace (3-1). That inconsistency across their last five matches makes a straightforward Liverpool win less certain than the 65% bookmaker probability implies.
Sunderland arrive with genuine momentum. Three wins from their last five, including that eye-catching result against Chelsea, show Le Bris has his team well-organized and motivated. Backing Liverpool to win but expecting Sunderland to find the net at least once feels like the most honest read of the situation.
We predict Liverpool to win, but this will not be a clean sheet. Sunderland’s attack has been too productive this pre-season to be shut out completely, and Liverpool’s defensive record in their last five games, conceding in four of them, supports that view. Both teams to score looks like the sharpest angle here.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Both Teams to Score – Yes |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 8.5 |
Team Analysis
Liverpool’s last five matches paint a picture of a team still searching for consistency under Iraola. The 3-1 win over Crystal Palace was encouraging, but losses to Aston Villa (2-4) and Manchester United (2-3) revealed defensive vulnerabilities that better sides have been able to exploit. The draws against Brentford and Chelsea suggest that even against mid-table opposition, Liverpool can struggle to impose themselves and close games out. Their attack clearly has the firepower to score in most matches, but the defensive structure has been porous throughout this run of fixtures.
Sunderland’s pre-season form has been genuinely impressive. The 5-1 win over York City provided a confidence boost heading into tougher tests, and the 2-1 win over Chelsea proved that result was no fluke. A 3-1 victory over Everton further underlines their attacking intent under Le Bris. The 0-0 draw against Manchester United and a 1-1 result against Wolves show they can also organize defensively when needed. Their only blemish in the last five was failing to score against United, but in every other match they found the net at least once.
🚨Check out our dedicated Liverpool vs Sunderland stats page for more info.
Pre-game Odds and Win Probability: Liverpool the Favourite
- Moneyline Liverpool 1.42 | Sunderland 6.00
- Draw 4.60
Liverpool at 1.42 reflects their status as the stronger club, and that price is fair given the gap in squad quality. Sunderland at 6.00 looks generous, though, given their recent form. The draw at 4.60 feels slightly overpriced given Liverpool’s inconsistency in their last five matches. To be honest, the best value in this market is not the match result itself but rather the Both Teams to Score market, which is supported by both teams’ tendency to concede during this pre-season period.
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Liverpool. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo
The Verdict
Liverpool should have enough quality to take three points in Nashville, but Sunderland’s attacking output this pre-season makes a clean sheet for the Reds unlikely. Liverpool have conceded in four of their last five matches, and Sunderland have scored in all five of theirs. That combination points firmly toward goals at both ends.
We predict a Liverpool win with both teams scoring, something in the region of 2-1 or 3-2. The Over 2.5 goals market and Both Teams to Score provide the best value for this fixture. Sunderland are not here to park the bus, and Liverpool, for all their quality, have not been defensively watertight this summer.
