Liam Duckstein
CF Montreal host Inter Miami at Saputo Stadium on July 26, with the home side sitting at the very bottom half of the MLS standings, currently 27th with just 15 points from 16 games. Inter Miami arrive in Montreal as one of the league’s stronger sides, sitting second on 34 points and having scored an eye-catching 42 goals in 16 matches. The gap between these two teams is significant, and the bookmakers reflect that clearly.
One player to watch closely is Luis Suárez, who scored twice in Inter Miami’s last outing against Chicago Fire and brings a level of finishing quality that Montreal’s backline will struggle to contain. On the home side, Daniel Rios has been one of the few bright spots for CF Montreal, contributing a goal across the recent run of games and offering direct movement in the final third that could test Miami’s defense on the break.
A stat that stands out from Montreal’s last five matches: the team registered 52 total shots but scored only 4 goals, pointing to a serious problem with finishing efficiency. That kind of volume without output suggests their attack creates chances but wastes them at an alarming rate.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Major League Soccer 2026, Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | Saputo Stadium, Montreal |
| 🗓️ Date: | 26.07.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 01:30 CEST |
CF Montreal vs Inter Miami Prediction
Inter Miami are the clear pick here. They have won 10 of 16 league games, scored 42 goals, and their recent form shows four wins in their last five matches. Montreal, by contrast, have dropped nine league games and carry a goal difference of -10. The head-to-head record from 2025 shows Inter Miami winning both meetings 4-1 and 4-2, and there is little reason to expect a different outcome this time around.
Miami’s style under Ángel Guillermo Hoyos leans on a 4-3-3 structure that presses high and transitions quickly. Their pass accuracy and interception numbers from their last match reflect a disciplined, organized unit. Montreal under Philippe Eullaffroy have been more disorganized, accumulating 48 fouls and 6 yellow cards across their last five games, which signals a team that is often chasing the game and losing the ball in dangerous positions. Miami, with just 8 fouls and 1 yellow card in the same period, play with far more composure.
Montreal’s high foul count and low pass accuracy (1471 completed passes out of 1740 attempts) suggest they struggle to control tempo. Miami will likely benefit from set-piece opportunities created by Montreal’s aggression. Given Miami’s goal output this season and Montreal’s defensive fragility, goals are expected.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Inter Miami to score in both halves |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 8.5 |
Team Analysis
CF Montreal’s last 30 days tell a mixed story: two wins, one draw, and one loss from four matches. Their season overall has been poor, with a 38% win rate from 24 games. Looking at their most recent matches, they drew 0-0 with Toronto FC and then fell 0-1 to Nashville, who are the league leaders. Before that, they picked up back-to-back wins against Vancouver FC, which temporarily lifted spirits. The 4-4 draw against DC United earlier in the year highlighted their tendency to concede in bunches, a pattern that has not been resolved.
Inter Miami’s recent form is the stronger of the two by a considerable margin. In their last five matches they have shown consistent attacking output: a 3-2 win over Chicago Fire most recently, followed by a 6-4 win over Philadelphia Union, a 2-0 win over Portland Timbers, a 5-3 win over FC Cincinnati, and a 4-2 win over Toronto FC. That is 20 goals scored across five games. Their only match in the last 30 days ended in a win, giving them a 100% win rate in that window. Their form across the last 15 results has been heavily positive, with only one loss in that stretch.
🚨Check out our dedicated CF Montreal vs Inter Miami stats page for more info.
Pre-game Odds and Win Probability: Inter Miami the Favourite
- Moneyline CF Montreal 3.40 | Inter Miami 1.92
- Draw 4.00
Inter Miami at around 1.92 to 2.18 across most books represents reasonable value given their form and the quality gap between the two sides. CF Montreal at 3.15 to 3.40 reflects a realistic outsider price for a team that has been inconsistent all season. The draw at 4.00 looks unattractive given Miami’s dominance in recent head-to-head meetings. We predict Inter Miami to win, and the odds available at bet365 and stake offer the best return on that call.
Possible Starting Lineups
CF Montreal Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: Sebastian Breza
- DF: Dawid Bugaj, Jalen Neal, Luca Petrasso, Brayan Vera
- MF: Samuel Piette, Victor Loturi, Matthew Longstaff, Frankie Amaya
- FW: Daniel Rios, Gennadiy Synchuk
CF Montreal have been operating in a 4-2-3-1 shape, and this lineup reflects that setup with Piette and Loturi holding the midfield and Longstaff offering range in possession. Sebastian Breza starts in goal based on his consistent appearances. Daniel Rios leads the line and is the most likely source of any goal threat for the hosts. Dawid Bugaj has picked up a yellow card recently and could be at risk if Montreal get into a scrappy game, which is a real possibility given their foul numbers.
Inter Miami Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: Rocco Rios Novo
- DF: Sergio Reguilón, Micael dos Santos Silva, Ian Fray, Facundo Mura
- MF: Telasco Segovia, Yannick Bright, David Ruiz
- FW: Luis Suárez, Germán Berterame, Mateo Silvetti
Inter Miami’s 4-3-3 is built around pace and pressing. Rocco Rios Novo starts in goal, having appeared in the most recent match. Sergio Reguilón brings experience at left back and was one of the more active defenders in the last game with 4 shots and 3 interceptions. Luis Suárez is the standout name, and his two-goal performance against Chicago Fire makes him the most dangerous attacking threat in this fixture. Telasco Segovia provides creativity and pressing intensity from midfield, and Germán Berterame adds a physical presence up front alongside Suárez.
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Inter Miami. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo
The Verdict
Inter Miami are the stronger team on every measurable front. They sit second in the league, have scored 42 goals in 16 games, and have beaten CF Montreal in both meetings in 2025, conceding just three goals across those two games while scoring eight. Montreal’s defensive record this season, 32 goals conceded in 16 games, makes them vulnerable against a team with Miami’s attacking depth.
We predict an Inter Miami win, with goals likely on both sides given Montreal’s tendency to score despite their inconsistency. The best value play is Inter Miami to win and both teams to score. Montreal have scored in recent games and will push forward at home, but Miami’s quality in transition and their set-piece threat, created partly by Montreal’s foul-heavy defending, should see them pull clear. To be honest, this is one of the clearer calls on the MLS slate this week.
