Crystal Palace vs Everton Prediction: 10.05.2026 English Premier League

Two teams separated by just five points in the Premier League table, yet their recent moods could hardly be more different. Crystal Palace, steady under Oliver Glasner, face an Everton side grappling with inconsistency and a winless April. This match at Selhurst Park looks loaded, not with fireworks, but with tension. Palace have quietly rebuilt themselves into a side that can surprise, while Everton under David Moyes oscillate between resilience and bluntness.

Watch for Ismaila Sarr of Palace—lately, he’s been sharp, direct, and always threatening down the right. On the other side, Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall is Everton’s pulse in midfield, and if the Toffees create anything, it usually starts at his boots.

Hot stat: In their last five matches, Palace have committed just 55 fouls compared to Everton’s 41, but Everton have racked up 12 yellow cards to Palace’s 9. Discipline could tilt the contest, especially late on.

Crystal Palace vs Everton prediction

TipsGG punters rate this as a razor-tight clash, but the best value leans toward a draw. Bookmakers put Palace’s home win at about 35% and Everton’s away chances just above that, but neither side convinces enough to warrant a strong favorite tag. Both teams are stumbling through inconsistent spells—Palace’s 50% win rate in the last 30 days meets Everton’s alarming 0% over the same period. These are not numbers that inspire bold backing for either side.

Palace’s 4-2-3-1 system pushes numbers forward, but struggles in transition and leaves their backline exposed. Everton’s similar shape mirrors Palace, but Moyes’s men are more direct, sometimes recklessly so. Palace see more of the ball, stringing over 1,370 passes in their last five matches with a 79% accuracy rate, while Everton, at 1,122 passes and 79%, are less elaborate and press harder. Both sides are quick to break, but neither is clinical in front of goal.

Fouls and cards pile up, especially for Everton, who walk a tightrope with discipline. This game screams late drama—a red card, a controversial penalty, a tired mistake. We think the best bet is the draw, with under 2.5 goals lurking as another strong angle.

Team Analysis

Crystal Palace’s recent outings don’t ooze confidence, but show sparks. Last match? A 2-1 win over Shakhtar Donetsk, a friendly, but a needed bounce after a 0-3 home thrashing by Bournemouth. Glasner’s side play with energy but lack punch in the final third—six goals in five matches reflects as much. Ismaila Sarr’s pace and Daniel Muñoz’s marauding runs at full-back are their main outlets, but finishing remains inconsistent. The home crowd expects, sometimes groans, but Palace grind.

Everton are stuck in a rut. Their 3-3 draw with Manchester City, while impressive, came with a price—overexertion and a draining chase. Moyes’s midfield shuffles often, Dewsbury-Hall leads by example, and Beto poaches up front, but Everton’s 0 wins in the last 30 days scream malaise. Defensive lapses haunt them, and their discipline (twelve yellows in five games) hints at frustration more than tenacity. Still, on their day, they can fight—just not for ninety minutes straight.

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

🚨Check out our dedicated Crystal Palace vs Everton stats page for more info.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Everton the favourite

• Moneyline Crystal Palace 2.91 | Everton 2.68
• Draw 3.35
• Over/Under Over 2.5 2.30 | Under 2.5 1.62
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.98 | No 1.83

Odds suggest a coin toss, but Everton get a marginal nod. Not because they inspire, but Palace at home have been unreliable. The market rates under 2.5 goals as likeliest, which tracks with the teams’ recent bluntness and both managers’ cautious streaks. BTTS is close to even, but with both sides able to carve out—then squander—chances, we think both nets should ripple at least once.

Possible Starting Lineups

Crystal Palace possible starting eleven

Henderson’s form cements his spot. Defensively, Mitchell and Muñoz will push up, Lacroix anchors with Richards for muscle. In midfield, Lerma breaks play, Wharton links, Hughes offers control, Kamada creativity, and Sarr is the runner. Strand Larsen leads the line—he’s inconsistent but the most likely to finish off a counter. Palace should stick with 4-2-3-1, but Sarr’s form could tempt a tweak if goals are needed.

Everton possible starting eleven

Pickford’s leadership is vital, Tarkowski and Keane organize a sometimes chaotic back four, Mykolenko and O’Brien cover the flanks. In midfield, Garner and Gueye do the dirty work, Dewsbury-Hall brings ball-carrying and vision, McNeil adds width. Up front, Beto and Barry look for scraps. Expect Everton to line up 4-2-3-1 but morph to 4-4-2 out of possession, chasing turnovers.

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TipsGG Match Prediction

Draw, low-scoring, nervous—this is where the stats point. Palace’s slight home edge is blunted by Everton’s tendency to frustrate and nick goals on the break, but Moyes’ men can’t put teams away lately. Both sides rack up fouls and cards, both pass at a decent clip but lack real incision. If there’s a winner, it’s by a single goal, likely late. We think 1-1 is the likeliest result, and the punters team won’t be surprised if both keepers finish as their teams’ standout performers.

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