Celta Vigo vs Levante Prediction: 12.05.2026 La Liga 2025/26

Celta Vigo host Levante at Municipal de Balaídos as both sides enter the closing stages of the La Liga campaign, with one fighting for a top-half finish and the other battling relegation. The meeting gains intrigue as Celta’s disciplined home form faces a Levante side showing improvement but with a concerning defensive record. Up front, Borja Iglesias has become a consistent threat for Celta, scoring 3 goals in his last 5, while Levante’s Carlos Espí, with 2 goals and 20 shots over the same period, stands out for his activity in attack. Hot stat: Levante have racked up an impressive 33 corner kicks in their last 5 matches, signaling a team that creates plenty of set-piece opportunities.

Celta Vigo vs Levante prediction

We predict Celta Vigo to win. Their home advantage, significantly better league position, and sharper form in front of goal give them the edge. Levante’s recent run features three wins in five but includes a damaging 1-5 defeat and a defensive frailty that Celta’s direct style can exploit. Celta’s approach involves balanced midfield pressing and a willingness to concede possession in exchange for high-quality chances, while Levante push for corners and shots but often lose control in transitions.

Celta average 15 yellow cards over their last 5 games, signaling a physical approach, but also maintain a higher pass accuracy (74%) compared to Levante (62%). Levante’s foul count is slightly lower (33 to Celta’s 37), but their inability to convert territory into goals consistently costs them. Expect a match with plenty of set-piece action and sporadic fast breaks, especially from Celta’s frontline.

Team Analysis

Celta Vigo’s recent fixtures highlight resilience, especially in their latest 1-0 win over Atletico Madrid, a side ranked much higher. That victory came off a disciplined defensive display, where Celta limited errors and made the most of their few clear opportunities. Previously, they beat Elche 3-1 and ran Villarreal close. Borja Iglesias continues to offer an outlet, supported by Williot Swedberg’s creative link-up play. Still, their defeats to stronger teams like Barcelona show that they can be stifled by organized, high-pressing opponents.

Levante’s last five show inconsistency: a chaotic 3-2 victory over Osasuna, a heavy 1-5 loss to Villarreal, and a strong 2-0 result against Sevilla. The team generates plenty of chances—85 shots across five games, spearheaded by Carlos Espí and Iván Romero—but often wasteful finishing and defensive lapses undermine them. The 0-0 draw with Espanyol demonstrates their inability to break down compact defenses, while their away record remains poor, with a -16 goal difference signaling real struggles on the road.

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

🚨Check out our dedicated Celta Vigo vs Levante stats page for more info.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Celta Vigo the favourite

• Moneyline Celta Vigo 1.84 | Levante 4.51
• Draw 4.00
• Over/Under Over 2.5 1.95 | Under 2.5 1.85
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.82 | No 2.05

Bookmakers put Celta Vigo as clear favorites. Their home advantage, higher win percentage, and Levante’s defensive record justify the odds. The over/under line at 2.5 goals is balanced, but both sides’ recent matches suggest value on the over. BTTS odds reflect Levante’s sporadic attacking output. Value sits with Celta Vigo on the moneyline and corners markets, as Levante’s high number of set-pieces may inflate total corners.

Possible Starting Lineups

Celta Vigo possible starting eleven

Radu anchors the defense, with Galiano and Alonso providing stability and experience. Mingueza and Moriba marshal the midfield, supporting Swedberg’s creativity. Up front, Iglesias leads the line, supported by the energetic Alvarez Antunez. Celta will likely use their familiar 4-4-2, maximizing central control and quick transitions to their forwards. Iglesias remains the primary threat, while Swedberg’s ability to break lines makes him a secondary danger.

Levante possible starting eleven

Ryan’s reliability in goal is crucial. The back four mixes experience and youth. Midfield features Olasagasti’s passing and Pablo Martínez’s engine. Up top, Espí and Romero carry the scoring burden. Levante should stick to a 3-4-2-1 or a slightly more defensive 4-4-2, depending on Celta’s approach. Espí’s shot volume and Romero’s movement will be pivotal against a sturdy Celta backline.

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TipsGG Match Prediction

We predict Celta Vigo to secure all three points, propelled by a sharper attack, better defensive structure, and home-field advantage. Levante’s attacking output remains dangerous, but their leaky defense and tendency to concede from set-pieces should prove costly. Over 2.5 goals and a high number of corners look likely, with both teams finding the net at least once.

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