Liam Duckstein
On 13 May 2026, the Chang Arena in Buriram will stage an ASEAN Club Championship Semifinals clash between Buriram and Johor DT. The stakes rise with both teams meeting for the third time this season. Buriram triumphed 3-1 in the previous leg, but bookies now give Johor DT a 41% win probability. This shift comes as Buriram’s consistency has come under scrutiny recently, while Johor DT’s firepower can’t be overlooked. Eyes will be on Buriram’s Guilherme Bissoli, who has five goals in his last six outings, and Johor DT’s midfielder Ager Aketxe, whose creative output shapes Johor’s attack. The key duel in midfield could tip the balance either way.
Buriram’s remarkable “hot stat” is their 11 goals in their last five matches—double Johor DT’s output in the same span. This attacking edge stands out heading into the rematch.
| 🏆 Tournament: | ASEAN Club Championship 2025/26 Semifinals |
| 🏟 Venue: | Chang Arena, Buriram |
| 🗓️ Date: | 13.05.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 14:00 CEST |
Buriram vs Johor DT prediction
We predict Buriram will edge this contest. The Thais deliver more goals, more shots, and hold a psychological advantage after their recent 3-1 win over Johor DT. Their home form remains solid, and their tactical 4-2-3-1 setup gives room for Bissoli to shine as the focal point. Johor DT’s away win rate stands at a strong 76% this year, but the step up in opposition quality and a leaky defense exposed in Buriram last week makes them vulnerable.
Both teams rack up fouls—Buriram with 72, Johor DT with 43 over the last five games—which will disrupt rhythm and create set-piece chances. Buriram’s higher yellow card count (12 vs 13) signals aggressive play, but it’s Johor DT’s lower pass accuracy (Johor 83.6%, Buriram 82.7%) and interception numbers (21 vs 46) that should tilt possession and transitional play towards the home side. Expect a tense, physical battle with plenty of midfield scraps.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Buriram to score first and over 9.5 corners |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 9.5 |
Team Analysis
Buriram’s last five matches show mixed results—three wins, one draw, one loss. Their most recent game ended 1-1 against Lamphun Warrior, a frustrating result as Buriram controlled the tempo but lacked finishing precision. Prior to that, the 3-1 win over Johor DT marked their most impressive showing, where Bissoli’s movement unsettled the Johor defense. Defensive lapses, as seen in the 1-3 loss to Port FC, still pose questions, yet their overall structure remains solid at home.
Johor DT arrive off a 14-1 demolition of Kelantan DNFC, a match that barely resembled a competitive fixture given the gulf in class. Against Buriram last week, Johor DT struggled to keep up with the Thai side’s intensity, losing 1-3. Their defense was often caught out by Buriram’s sharp transitions. Their other recent results—a 2-1 win over Melaka and a 1-1 draw with Terengganu—show resilience but also a tendency to concede against sharper attacks.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Buriram | Johor DT |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 11 | 5 |
| Total shots | 82 | 61 |
| Free kicks | 13 | 6 |
| Corner kicks | 24 | 29 |
| Total fouls | 72 | 43 |
| Pass accuracy (%) | 82.7 | 83.6 |
| Interceptions | 46 | 21 |
| Offsides | 13 | 2 |
🚨Check out our dedicated Buriram vs Johor DT stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Johor DT the favourite
- Moneyline Buriram 2.90 | Johor DT 2.20
- Draw 3.40
- Over/Under Over 2.5 1.85 | Under 2.5 1.85
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.70 | No 2.10
Bookmakers now price Johor DT as slight favorites despite Buriram’s home advantage and recent head-to-head dominance. This likely reflects Johor’s higher win rate across the year and their reputation in the region. The draw is priced attractively, signaling an expected tight contest. Over 2.5 goals sits at near even odds, fitting the attacking trends from both squads. We see BTTS as likely—both defenses have vulnerabilities when pressed.
Possible Starting Lineups
Buriram possible starting eleven
- GK: Neil Etheridge
- DF: Sasalak Haiprakhon, Theerathon Bunmathan, Pansa Hemviboon, Narubadin Weerawatnodom
- MF: Kenneth William Dougall, Goran Čaušić, Peter Žulj, Ratthanakorn Maikami, Phitiwat Sookjitthammakul
- FW: Guilherme Bissoli
This starting eleven prioritizes Buriram’s recent core, with Etheridge between the posts and a defense anchored by Hemviboon and Bunmathan. In midfield, Dougall and Čaušić offer stability, while Žulj and Maikami add creative spark. Bissoli’s current goal streak makes him a clear threat up top. The team will likely use the familiar 4-2-3-1 shape, maximizing width and set-piece potential.
Johor DT possible starting eleven
- GK: Syihan Hazmi
- DF: Cristian Glauder, Eddy Silvestre, La’Vere Corbin-Ong, Jonathan Silva
- MF: Afiq Fazail, Nacho Méndez, Rui Filipe da Cunha Correia, Natxo Insa, Ager Aketxe
- FW: Jairo de Macedo da Silva
Johor DT’s most used lineup features Hazmi in goal, with a backline combining experience and pace. Midfield has depth and variety, with Aketxe offering creativity and Rui Filipe defensive coverage. Insa controls tempo, while Fazail and Méndez support transitions. Jairo leads the line, looking to exploit any gaps behind Buriram’s defense. The 4-2-3-1 formation offers flexibility but leaves them open to quick counters.
🏅Tips.GG premium subscription brings you even closer to WIN!🏅
- Gain access to the most profitable bets by using our analysis of over 60,000 monthly predictions from 1000+ sources.
- Premium users enjoy predictions from tipsters with the highest win rate while also gaining access to favorable odds, outcome calculation, and quick filter to favorable odds.
- Unlock the “Golden Bet” – our unique formula for the best high-odd betting opportunities! Get detailed reports on our system’s performance, including Winrate, ROI, and Yield.
Johor DT. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo
TipsGG Match Prediction
We predict Buriram will narrowly secure a spot in the final. Their recent win over Johor DT, attacking stats, and home support give them the edge. Johor DT will create chances and should get on the scoresheet, but Buriram’s sharper finishing and set-piece threat tip the balance. Expect a lively contest with goals at both ends, but the hosts to progress.
