Santos Laguna vs Puebla Predictions: Odds and betting tips for Liga MX Clausura - 23.03.2026

The vibrant Estadio Corona in Torreón is set to host a compelling Liga MX 2026 Clausura clash between Santos Laguna and Puebla in the early hours of 23 March 2026 (kickoff at 01:00 CEST). As the 18th-placed Santos Laguna, guided by Roberto Tapia, aim to revive their season, 13th-placed Puebla, led by Albert Espigares, seek to build on their more promising recent form. This match unfolds amid the regular season’s intensity, with both teams determined to secure precious points on the road to playoff qualification.

Among the lineups, keep an eye on Ezequiel Bullaude for Santos Laguna, whose incisive runs and goal-scoring instincts have kept his team’s hopes alive, and Edgar Guerra for Puebla, a dynamic forward whose productivity could tip the scales in Puebla’s favor. Notably, neither side’s goalkeeper has dominated headlines, suggesting this fixture may be defined by outfield creativity and defensive organization rather than standout saves.

The “hot stat” shaping expectations: Santos Laguna have conceded a league-high 29 goals in just 11 Liga MX matches this campaign, reflecting their persistent defensive vulnerabilities a trend Puebla’s attack will look to exploit.

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Santos Laguna vs Puebla predictions

My best bet: Both Teams to Score – Yes. Both sides have struggled for clean sheets: Santos Laguna’s defense is statistically the weakest in the division, while Puebla’s away form shows defensive lapses despite a recently improved win rate. Historically, recent head-to-heads have been tight, but looking at current attacking trends – including Bullaude’s contributions and Guerra’s creativity – expect both sides to find the net.

Assessing team discipline and style, Santos Laguna and Puebla are both no strangers to aggressive play: 13 yellow cards each across their last five fixtures, and each side averaging more than 12 fouls per game. Santos Laguna attempt to control tempo with possession from the back (1684 passes, 78 percent accuracy in 5 matches), while Puebla’s higher pressing and willingness to shoot (77 shots in last 5) dictate an intense tempo. With both sides eager to break poor defensive habits and accumulate points, we anticipate a dynamic, open contest fouls and tactical interruptions included.

• ⚽Total Goals: Over 2.5
• 💥Both Teams To Score: Yes
• 🎯Total Corners: Over 8.5

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Santos Laguna vs Puebla Most recent H2Hs

In previous matchups, Puebla have enjoyed notable success, winning all three of their recent matches against Santos Laguna and not conceding a goal. The trend points to Puebla’s tactical superiority and greater conversion rate, even though both teams have shown aggressive intent evident from foul counts and competitive midfield battles. Santos hold a slight edge in set-piece creation (corners), but their inability to capitalize has been costly.

🚨Read our full Santos Laguna vs Puebla stats for more analysis.

Key Stats

• Santos Laguna have the league’s lowest win rate (9 percent) and have conceded 29 goals in 11 games.
• Puebla have beaten Santos Laguna 1-0, 2-0, and 1-0 in their last three encounters holding clean sheets each time.
• Bullaude (Santos Laguna) has scored three of his side’s last six goals.
• Puebla average just under 4 shots per shot on target in their most recent fixtures high offensive efficiency.
• Both teams have accumulated 13 yellow cards in their last five matches, underlining a combative approach.

Santos Laguna vs Puebla score prediction: 1-2

Expect Puebla to continue their superior record against a Santos Laguna defense leaking almost three goals per game. With Edgar Guerra’s creativity, Puebla should find avenues to play behind Santos Laguna’s defensive line. However, Bullaude’s attacking instincts give Santos a fighting chance to end their goal drought, likely resulting in a narrow 2-1 win for Puebla. Form, discipline, and history converge to favor the visitors in a closely fought, high-energy encounter.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Santos Laguna the favourite

Despite Puebla’s recent dominance in this pairing, the bookmakers marginally favor Santos Laguna, likely influenced by home advantage. However, the even spread of odds across all outcomes reflects just how finely balanced this fixture is. The edge for “Both Teams to Score” and “Over 2.5 Goals” mirrors both teams’ defensive shortcomings savvy bettors may find value in those lines rather than outright results.

Santos Laguna vs Puebla Over/Under Analysis

• Santos Laguna’s last five matches: Over 2.5 goals occurred three times, with both teams scoring in four.
• Puebla’s last five: Only two Over 2.5 results, and more clean sheets, but have leaked goals away from home.
• Puebla’s last three H2Hs: Under 2.5 each time but with current defensive trends, a break from history is probable.

Santos Laguna Preview

Santos Laguna endured a tough run, losing four of their last six matches, including a 0-3 defeat against leaders Chivas Guadalajara. Their solitary win (2-1 vs Club Tijuana) showed flashes of attacking promise, but their porous rear guard has cost them dearly. Coach Roberto Tapia persistently fields a 4-2-3-1 formation, searching for stability and greater attacking balance. The integration of Bullaude in midfield has been a rare bright spot, while Echeverria and Amione anchor the back line but often find themselves overwhelmed against top opposition.

Santos Laguna possible starting eleven

Puebla Preview

Puebla have demonstrated greater resilience, with a W2-D1-L2 record in their last five. A notable 3-1 win over Tigres showcased their ability to strike quickly on the break, while a goalless draw with Necaxa confirmed defensive improvement. Edgar Guerra has become their attacking fulcrum, while Kevin Velasco organizes midfield transitions. Defensively, Nicolás Díaz and Juan Pablo Vargas offer solid protection in front of Ricardo Gutierrez, as coach Albert Espigares maintains consistency with his own 4-2-3-1 setup.

Puebla possible starting eleven

The Verdict

Our main pick: Puebla to Win (Win Probability: 39 percent, courtesy of our AI prediction engine).

Puebla’s tactical discipline and attacking depth position them as slight favorites despite the bookmaker’s lean toward Santos Laguna. While Santos Laguna’s home support and sporadic attacking flashes could keep this contest tight, the recent form, H2H statistics, and composition of Puebla’s squad suggest they are better placed to capitalize on defensive lapses. Expect a close contest brimming with midfield duels and creative surges from the likes of Guerra and Bullaude.

How to watch Santos Laguna vs Puebla

When? 23 March 2026

Kick-off time: 01:00 CEST

Where? Estadio Corona, Torreón

How to watch: Televisa, TUDN, and official Liga MX streaming services.

Favorite: Santos Laguna (marginally, due to home field)

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