When Lazio and Juventus clash at the mighty Stadio Olimpico on 10 May 2025, it’s more than just another Serie A fixture—it’s a contest loaded with implications for both teams’ Champions League fates and the reputation of their managers. With both clubs locked on 63 points and separated only by goal difference in the standings, the hunger for three points will be palpable, not only among the players but echoing through the passionate terraces of Rome.
An intriguing layer to this match lies in the managers’ recent appointments—Marco Baroni at Lazio and Igor Tudor at Juventus—both seeking to stamp their identities on two sides with contrasting footballing traditions. For fans and keen observers alike, the tactical chess between these two coaches will prove just as spellbinding as any dazzling piece of attacking play or crunching interception.
Amongst the galaxy of talent on display, Boulaye Dia for Lazio has been in electric form, netting three goals in his last five matches, while Juventus’s Nicolás González offers a creative spark, recently registering both goals and assists with his vision and movement. With both teams known for technical finesse in midfield and two defensive lines that can be as stubborn as an old pub landlord, the margins for error will be razor-thin.
Hot stat: Lazio have unleashed a remarkable 83 total shots in their last five games, nearly doubling Juventus’s 54 during the same spell—a clear marker of their attacking intent under Baroni’s stewardship.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Serie A 2024/25 Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | Stadio Olimpico, Rome |
| 🗓️ Date: | 10.05.2025 |
| ⏰ Time: | 19:00 CEST |
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Lazio vs Juventus prediction
Given Lazio’s formidable attacking numbers of late—buoyed by a high volume of shots and a confident home form—the value backs them to edge out Juventus in what promises to be a tightly-contested duel. The Biancocelesti have struck eight times in their last five matches, a testament to their ability to carve out chances, while also balancing defensive duties with timely interceptions (32, compared to Juventus’s 15).
However, caution is advised: both sides are accustomed to midfield tussles and tactical fouls, reflected in Lazio’s 56 fouls (13 yellow cards) over their last five matches, and Juventus landing on 53 fouls (9 yellow cards). Expect a physical contest, with both teams occasionally pushing the envelope on discipline in their battle for midfield supremacy. Both lineups prefer the 4-2-3-1, likely leading to a congested centre where control of possession could ebb and flow rapidly.
Juventus, while trailing in recent shot output, are adept at frustrating opponents—leaning on experienced midfield anchors and tactical patience, especially away from home. Yet their relatively lower pass accuracy (Juventus: 1469 passes, 53 percent; Lazio: 2235 passes, 56 percent) suggests Lazio may out-manoeuvre them in possession phases.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Lazio (Draw No Bet) |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Under 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 8.5 |
Team Analysis
Lazio recent games: Coming off a gritty 1-0 win over Empoli, Lazio managed the game with discipline, mustering 14 shots and flexing their defensive muscles with 6 interceptions and a clean sheet. Resilience was also evident in their prior 2-2 draw with Parma and an efficient 2-0 dispatching of Genoa. Under Baroni, Lazio have grown in confidence—mixing high-volume forward play (average of 16.6 shots in last five matches) with tactical flexibility, and key contributions from frontman Boulaye Dia and the creative exploits of Mattia Zaccagni and Pedro.
Juventus recent games: The Bianconeri held Bologna to a 1-1 draw most recently, curbing one of Serie A’s most in-form teams. Prior to that, Juventus edged Monza with a 2-0 victory, though sandwiched between was a frustrating 0-1 home defeat to Parma. Juventus continue to rely on their defensive acumen and midfield balance, but a lack of cutting edge—just five goals in five matches—has raised questions about their end product. Nonetheless, their back line, bolstered by Pierre Kalulu and the leadership of Locatelli, remains a daunting prospect.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Lazio | Juventus |
|---|---|---|
| Total shots | 12 | 10 |
| Free kicks | 16 | 14 |
| Corner kicks | 4 | 2 |
| Total fouls | 14 | 12 |
| Pass accuracy (%) | 56 | 53 |
| Interceptions | 7 | 5 |
🚨Read our full Lazio vs Juventus stats for more analysis.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Lazio the favourite
| Moneyline | Lazio 2.45 | Juventus 3.05 | |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 3.20 | |
| Over/Under | Over 2.5 2.41 | Under 2.5 1.6 | |
| BTTS (both teams to score) | Yes 1.91 | No 1.82 | |
The bookies edge towards Lazio, reflecting not only their home form but also their recent shot creation and greater goal threat. Odds hovering around 2.45 for Lazio signal value, particularly as Juventus have been less prolific in recent outings. That’s not to discount the visitors’ quality, though—Tudor’s sides have a knack for organization, typically keeping things cagey, which is why the unders and BTTS ‘No’ also command respectable odds. In this clash, detail and discipline may prove decisive, and a marginal home win looks the pick of the bunch.
You can find all our predictions for today’s games on our football betting tips page.
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Possible Starting Lineups
Lazio possible starting eleven
- GK: Christos Mandas
- DF: Adam Marušić, Alessio Romagnoli, Mario Gila, Luca Pellegrini
- MF: Mattéo Guendouzi, Nicolò Rovella
- MF: Mattia Zaccagni, Pedro, Gustav Isaksen
- FW: Boulaye Dia
Lazio’s recent consistency in deploying a 4-2-3-1 signals trust in their defensive structure and midfield hinge. Romagnoli marshals the line, supported by the ever-reliable Marušić and the progressive runs from Pellegrini. Further up, Guendouzi partners Rovella for balance, while Zaccagni and Pedro provide width and intelligence—expect interplay between these two to ask real questions of Juventus’s backline. Boulaye Dia, on current form, is poised to be the focal point; his movement both on and off the ball has proven difficult to contain.
Juventus possible starting eleven
- GK: Michele Di Gregorio
- DF: Pierre Kalulu, Renato De Palma Veiga, Andrea Cambiaso, Lloyd Kelly
- MF: Manuel Locatelli, Khépren Thuram
- MF: Randal Kolo Muani, Kenan Yıldız, Nicolás González
- FW: Dušan Vlahović
Juventus are expected to deploy their familiar 4-2-3-1 system, prized for defensive discipline and ability to spring on transitions. Kalulu continues to develop as a leader at the back, with De Palma Veiga and Kelly offering flexibility. Locatelli anchors the midfield, with Thuram ably pressing and advancing the ball. The trio of Kolo Muani, Yıldız and González will look to combine creatively behind Vlahović, who, despite a recent goal drought, remains their biggest threat if given service in the box.
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Juventus. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo
The Verdict
With top-four ambitions on the line for both sides and tactical nous on each bench, this clash looks set to be a cagey affair decided by moments of individual quality or set-piece ingenuity. Given Lazio’s greater recent penetration in the final third and higher shot volume, I see the capital club just shading it in a tightly-fought contest. Expect Baroni to trust in his dynamic frontline and midfield disruptors, while Juventus look to hit back with structure and the hope that Vlahović can rediscover his scoring boots.
A 1-0 or 2-1 win for Lazio would not surprise, leaving the Roman faithful dreaming of Champions League nights returning to their fortress.

