Konyaspor vs Fenerbahce Prediction: 21.04.2026 Turkish Cup Quarterfinals Preview

A compelling clash awaits as Konyaspor host Fenerbahce in the Turkish Cup 2025/26 Quarterfinals at the Konya Büyükşehir Belediye Stadyumu. Both teams have maintained strong form in recent weeks, with each posting a 67% win rate from their last three matches. Notably, Fenerbahce have enjoyed a significantly superior season overall, carrying a 64% win rate compared to Konyaspor’s 47% so far in 2026, highlighting the favourite’s status among bookmakers. However, Konyaspor’s defensive discipline at home poses a challenge and will be a critical aspect to monitor.

For Konyaspor, forward Blaž Kramer’s recent scoring touch and midfielder Enis Bardhi’s creative influence could trouble the visitors. On the Fenerbahce side, watch for Anderson Talisca, whose three goals in his last three appearances underline his threat and ability to decide matches single-handedly.

An outstanding stat from recent form: Fenerbahce have registered an impressive 22 corner kicks in their last five matches, reflecting their high attacking volume and width.

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Konyaspor vs Fenerbahce prediction

Given Fenerbahce’s superior squad depth, attacking numbers (46 shots in 5 games versus Konyaspor’s 28), and historical dominance in this matchup, the away side enters as deserved favourites. The most valuable betting angle lies with Fenerbahce to win, or using the Asian Handicap to reduce risk (Fenerbahce -0.75). This is supported by their dynamic, fluid attack against a Konyaspor side who, while defensively disciplined at home, have only managed a +1 goal difference from their last five.

Both teams average over a goal per game with recent matches showing average ball possession in the high 50s for Fenerbahce, while Konyaspor’s patient approach has resulted in lower shot volume but efficient transitions. Notably, Konyaspor pick up frequent yellow cards (8 in 5 matches) and commit more fouls, indicating a combative midfield battle that may disrupt Fenerbahce’s rhythm, though their stronger passing accuracy (82%) should see them through. Both sides’ willingness to press and counter means chances at both ends, but Fenerbahce’s superior individual quality and control in midfield lend weight to their edge.

Team Analysis

Konyaspor Recent Games:
Konyaspor have enjoyed a promising spell, unbeaten in their last three, highlighted by a 3-0 home win against Karagumruk and a disciplined 2-0 victory over Antalyaspor. Their defensive structure has limited opposition shot totals, but attacking output remains modest, with only two players (Blaž Kramer and Diogo Gonçalves) finding the net twice in this stretch. Their last match, a 2-0 win, showcased tactical discipline and swift transitions, but they relied on set pieces and opposition errors to create high-quality chances.

Fenerbahce Recent Games:
Fenerbahce’s unbeaten streak remains intact (W2 D1 in last 3), with a 4-0 destruction of Kayserispor and gritty 2-2 stalemate vs Rizespor. Anderson Talisca’s individual brilliance (scoring in 3 consecutive matches) and the team’s depth in midfield have fueled their dominance. They have consistently outshot and out-passed their opponents, with a notable 1460 passes in 5 matches and a high pass accuracy of 84%. Their 22 corners in 5 matches signal relentless attacking play down the flanks, though some defensive lapses were evident in draws against mid-table opposition.

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

🚨Read our full Konyaspor vs Fenerbahce stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Fenerbahce the favourite

• Moneyline Konyaspor 4.40 | Fenerbahce 1.70
• Draw 3.75
• Over/Under Over 2.5 1.96 | Under 2.5 1.88
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.82 | No 1.98

Bookmakers rightly back Fenerbahce with a shortest price of 1.66, suggesting a 54 percent win probability. Konyaspor’s longer odds (4.40) reflect both the gulf in squad value and recent head-to-head record, where Fenerbahce have won the last three meetings, scoring nine goals. The relatively even draw odds (3.70-3.82) signal a possible tight contest if Konyaspor maintain defensive resilience. With both teams likely to score and Fenerbahce commanding attacking metrics, the over 2.5 goals and BTTS both look solid value as well.

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Possible Starting Lineups

Konyaspor possible starting eleven

• GK: Bahadir Han Gungordu
• DF: Yasir Subaşı, Adil Demirbağ, Yhoan Andzouana, Rayyan Baniya
• MF: Marko Jevtović, Enis Bardhi, Morten Bjorlo, Melih Ibrahimoglu, Diogo Gonçalves
• FW: Blaž Kramer

Expect manager İlhan Palut to stick with the trusted 4-2-3-1 setup that’s underpinned their recent successes. Blaž Kramer’s presence up front as the lone striker makes him a focal point—his movement and finishing will be crucial, while creative support will come from Enis Bardhi’s passing range and Diogo Gonçalves cutting in from wide. The midfield offers steel and distribution (Jevtović, Bjorlo), while the defense’s physicality will anchor their transitions. Konyaspor’s lineup emphasizes balance and disciplined, collective effort.

Fenerbahce possible starting eleven

• GK: Ederson
• DF: Milan Škriniar, Çağlar Söyüncü, Jayden Oosterwolde, Nelson Semedo
• MF: N’Golo Kanté, Mattéo Guendouzi, Anderson Talisca
• FW: Kerem Aktürkoğlu, Sidiki Cherif, Nene Dorgeles

Coach Domenico Tedesco is likely to field a dynamic 4-2-3-1, maximizing his attacking options. Anderson Talisca is the standout as an advanced midfielder; his goal threat and vision are unmatched. Support from Kanté and Guendouzi adds both defensive coverage and distribution, while Kerem Aktürkoğlu’s recent form out wide will stretch Konyaspor’s defense. Škriniar marshals the backline with experience, and Ederson’s ball-playing skills offer Fener’s defense-to-attack transitions another dimension. This starting XI means business, blending physicality and technical skill.

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My take on the Match

With momentum and quality on their side, Fenerbahce should have the edge, particularly given their superiority in attacking metrics and historical record against Konyaspor. While Konyaspor will aim to contain and counter, I see Fenerbahce eventually breaking through, backed by Talisca’s invention and Aktürkoğlu’s pace. My main pick: Fenerbahce to win, with both teams likely getting on the scoresheet. The energy and organization Konyaspor bring should ensure a competitive, tactical contest, but Fenerbahce’s depth and efficiency in transition should seal their place in the semifinals.

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