Levi Rothermund
Johor DT and Buriram meet at Sultan Ibrahim Stadium in Iskandar Puteri for the first leg of the ASEAN Club Championship semifinals. Both clubs arrive with contrasting recent results and plenty of tactical intrigue. Johor DT, led by Xisco Muñoz, put together a strong domestic run and just obliterated Kuala Lumpur City 7-0, while Buriram under Emerson Pereira Da Silva had to navigate a patchy spell but remains a dangerous cup side. One storyline: can Johor DT’s formidable home form overcome Buriram’s higher international pedigree?
Watch for Johor DT’s creative midfielder Ager Aketxe to pull the strings in central areas, and Buriram’s versatile forward Peter Žulj, who contributes both goals and assists, could tilt the attacking balance. Both players have shown an ability to make decisive contributions in crunch moments.
Hot stat: Johor DT scored 11 goals in their last five matches while only collecting 9 yellow cards, a ratio that highlights their efficiency in attack and relative discipline despite the stakes.
| 🏆 Tournament: | ASEAN Club Championship 2025/26, Semifinals |
| 🏟 Venue: | Sultan Ibrahim Stadium, Iskandar Puteri |
| 🗓️ Date: | 06.05.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 15:00 CEST |
Johor DT vs Buriram prediction
We think the best value in this match is backing Johor DT to win at home. Bookmakers rate them 51% likely to claim victory, and their recent goal-scoring explosion adds confidence. Buriram’s form dipped lately with a 29% win rate over the last month and a 1-3 home defeat to Port FC fresh in memory. Johor DT’s ball control and relatively low foul count (15 in last five games) suggest a side capable of dictating tempo and limiting chaos. Their 4-2-3-1 setup brings a steady balance and options going forward, while Buriram’s same formation often looks more fragile defensively under pressure. The home advantage at Sultan Ibrahim Stadium also plays a significant part, given Johor DT’s comfort on their own pitch.
Both teams play a controlled style, but Buriram have shown more indiscipline lately, racking up 12 yellow cards and 63 fouls in their last five games compared to Johor’s 9 yellows and 15 fouls. This could lead to dangerous set piece situations against them. Johor DT’s higher pass accuracy (267 passes at 338 attempts) also hints at more cohesive possession, while Buriram’s game often gets broken up by fouls and defensive recoveries (29 interceptions, indicating more time spent without the ball).
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Johor DT to score 2+ goals |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 8.5 |
Team Analysis
Johor DT’s last five matches underline their clinical nature, with an 11:4 goal ratio. The 7-0 demolition of Kuala Lumpur City stands out for its attacking ruthlessness and efficient pressing, allowing few chances at the back. Against Melaka, Johor DT controlled the game but needed late resilience to secure a 2-1 win. Their only recent loss came against Al Ahli SC (1-2), a match where their midfield looked overrun at times but still produced moments of quality in attack. In the 1-1 draw with Terengganu, Johor DT dictated most of the play but struggled to break down a compact defense. The repeated wins over Kuala Lumpur City suggest a side comfortable beating teams below their level, and the seven-goal haul demonstrates their ability to exploit defensive lapses ruthlessly.
Buriram’s recent run reads less impressive. They lost 1-3 to Port FC at home, a game where defensive errors and lack of composure in midfield proved costly. The 0-3 defeat to Rayong FC exposed issues with organization at the back and an inability to recover after conceding. Their 3-1 win against Kanchanaburi and 2-0 victory over Ayutthaya United were more controlled, but both came against much weaker opposition. Against Shabab Al-Ahli, they lost 2-3 in a high-tempo clash, showing that their defense gets pulled apart by sharper attacks. Buriram’s form line, with four losses in the last seven, reflects a team searching for stability in key moments.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Johor DT | Buriram |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 (last 4 meetings) | 3 (last 4 meetings) |
| Total shots | 65 (last 5) | 97 (last 5) |
| Free kicks | 2 (last 5) | 2 (last 5) |
| Corner kicks | 33 (last 5) | 35 (last 5) |
| Total fouls | 15 (last 5) | 63 (last 5) |
| Pass accuracy (%) | 267/338 | 1988/2303 |
| Interceptions | 5 (last 5) | 29 (last 5) |
| Offsides | 0 (last 5) | 12 (last 5) |
🚨Check out our dedicated Johor DT vs Buriram stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Johor DT the favourite
- Moneyline Johor DT 1.76 | Buriram 4.00
- Draw 3.50
- Over/Under Over 2.5 1.93 | Under 2.5 1.85
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.80 | No 2.00
Bookies have Johor DT as clear favorites, with the home side at 1.76 on the moneyline. This price reflects both their recent scoring run and Buriram’s leaky defense. Draw sits at 3.50, which looks slightly generous considering Johor’s home strength. Over 2.5 goals at 1.93 feels justified given both teams’ recent attacking output. The BTTS “Yes” at 1.80 also aligns with both defenses showing vulnerability, especially as Buriram’s matches often feature goals at both ends. We think these odds are fair, though the away side’s potential for a surprise can’t be completely ruled out with their individual talent.
Buriram. Source: Official Facebook
Possible Starting Lineups
Johor DT possible starting eleven
- GK: Andoni Zubiaurre
- DF: Cristian Glauder, Jonathan Silva, Eddy Silvestre, Raúl Parra
- MF: Nacho Méndez, Natxo Insa, Ager Aketxe, Rui Filipe Correia
- FW: Oscar Arribas, Marcos Guilherme
This lineup is based on the highest recent appearances and key roles. Andoni Zubiaurre brings reliability in goal, while defenders like Glauder and Silva form a solid base. The midfield mix of Méndez and Insa provides control, with Aketxe adding the creative spark. Oscar Arribas and Marcos Guilherme offer pace and movement up front. We think this squad is well-suited for Johor’s preferred 4-2-3-1, which worked efficiently in their latest wins. Watch for Ager Aketxe to provide attacking impetus and Marcos Guilherme to exploit space behind Buriram’s back line.
Buriram possible starting eleven
- GK: Neil Etheridge
- DF: Theerathon Bunmathan, Pansa Hemviboon, Go Myeong-Seok, Narubadin Weerawatnodom
- MF: Kenneth Dougall, Goran Čaušić, Phitiwat Sookjitthammakul
- FW: Peter Žulj, Supachai Chaided, Guilherme Bissoli
Neil Etheridge has started consistently and will marshal the defense. Bunmathan and Hemviboon anchor the back four, Go Myeong-Seok provides additional steel, while Narubadin adds width. Dougall, Čaušić, and Phitiwat bring graft and passing range to the midfield. Peter Žulj, with goals and assists in recent games, lines up alongside Supachai and Bissoli, who can trouble any defense. The likely 4-2-3-1 formation gives Buriram attacking flexibility, but their midfield needs to maintain discipline to limit Johor’s creative freedom. Watch for Peter Žulj’s impact both as a scorer and provider.
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Johor DT. Source: Official Facebook
TipsGG Match Prediction
Our TipsGG team backs Johor DT to edge out Buriram in this semifinal clash. The hosts’ combination of recent attacking form, disciplined midfield, and home advantage weighs heavily in their favor. Buriram’s inconsistency and defensive frailty in recent games raise doubts, though their attacking trio can keep the game close. We think Johor DT will control possession, limit Buriram’s space, and capitalize on set pieces or turnovers to secure a home win. Over 2.5 goals and both teams to score are likely, given the defensive trends on both sides. Johor DT to win 2-1 looks a sensible prediction.
