Ipswich vs Leicester Prediction: 07.03.2026 EFL Championship

A clash of contrasting fortunes awaits at Portman Road as third-placed Ipswich welcome a struggling Leicester side in the heart of the EFL Championship race. While Ipswich have enjoyed a productive campaign under Kieran McKenna—having stayed firmly in the hunt for automatic promotion—Gary Rowett’s Leicester are in a tailspin, fighting to keep their name afloat in the second tier. On paper, the points gap in the table and recent form put the hosts firmly in the ascendancy, but Leicester’s pedigree—and their dramatic 3-1 win in the reverse fixture—adds a layer of unpredictability. Will Ipswich’s rampant home form prevail, or can Leicester rediscover their spark?

Eyes will be closely watching Ipswich’s dynamic forward George Hirst, whose recent brace underlined both his confidence and movement in the box, while Leicester’s Divine Mukasa provides a creative spark from midfield, contributing both goals and assists even as results have eluded his side. Both men are capable of those match-defining moments that shape a season’s story.

Ipswich’s recent run of three consecutive clean sheets at Portman Road underpins their defensive resiliency—something not lost on punters looking for value in the markets.

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Ipswich vs Leicester prediction

The numbers, narrative, and current trajectory point squarely toward Ipswich not only winning but likely doing so in relatively controlled fashion. The Tractor Boys boast a 67% win rate in both the last 30 days and the current season, demonstrating consistency against a tough schedule. Contrast that with Leicester’s alarming decline—no victories in seven recent outings, five losses in that spell, and a mere 15 percent win rate stretching back thirteen matches in the new year. Crucially, Ipswich have tightened up at the back, registering three consecutive clean sheets, while only conceding once from open play in their last three home matches.

Discipline and tactical discipline will play a critical role here. Ipswich average just over two yellow cards and 11.6 fouls per match across their recent five-game span, suggesting an aggressive but largely controlled approach under McKenna. Leicester are no angels themselves, but with slightly fewer cautions and similar fouling rates, they’ll have to keep cool heads to avoid costly set pieces close to their own area. Possession stats tip in Ipswich’s favour due to their higher pass accuracy (82% vs 78% for Leicester in their last five), underpinning a style built on ball retention and progressive play—decisive advantages against a Leicester side lacking confidence.

With all this in mind, the best value lies in backing Ipswich to win—protected, perhaps, by an Asian Handicap (-1) or Draw No Bet option for the more cautious. Goals may be at a premium with both sides showing issues in attack and discipline in defence, but Leicester’s need to press for points could lead to counters.

Team Analysis

Ipswich come into this fixture off the back of three wins from their last four outings, most recently a hard-fought 1-0 victory at home to Hull City. Demonstrating a growing maturity, Ipswich’s defence soaked up late pressure while George Hirst provided the difference on the scoresheet. The win followed an emphatic 3-0 display against Swansea—showcasing offensive versatility and a midfield willing to flood the box. Ipswich’s blip came in two high-octane matches against Wrexham (one win, one loss), yet their reaction—a trio of controlled, clean-sheet victories—shows a side learning from adversity.

Leicester, in contrast, are mired in a crisis of confidence. Their most recent appearance, a 0-2 home defeat against Norwich, highlighted their ongoing offensive bluntness and defensive fragility. Prior to that, Rowett’s men claimed hard-fought draws against Middlesbrough and Stoke, but a four-loss streak before those games painted a worrying picture—too many gaps at the back, not enough bite up front. Standout performances from Divine Mukasa and Harry Winks haven’t been enough to stem the tide of defeats, and Leicester’s inability to turn good spells into goals is undermining even their best moments in midfield.

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

🚨Read our full Ipswich vs Leicester stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Ipswich the favourite

• Moneyline Ipswich 1.49 | Leicester 6.20
• Draw 4.40
• Over/Under Over 2.5 2.10 | Under 2.5 1.76
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.92 | No 1.80

The home win odds around 1.49 underscore both bookmakers’ faith in Ipswich’s current run and the growing doubts surrounding Leicester’s fight. Draw odds drift just north of 4.40, reflective of the visitors’ inability to snatch results of late. Leicester’s near-double-digit price shows the bookies’ reluctance to back a team shot of confidence. Over/Under sits fairly balanced, but recent clean sheets and Leicester’s attacking woes nudge Under 2.5 into the realm of value. As for BTTS, the market divides—yet, with Ipswich seldom conceding and Leicester’s attack spluttering, “No” has to be favoured.

You can find all our predictions for today’s games on our football betting tips page.

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Possible Starting Lineups

Ipswich possible starting eleven

McKenna’s tendency towards a 4-2-3-1 formation should see Christian Walton retain his spot in goal, protected by the dependable duo of O’Shea and Greaves. Cedric Kipre brings additional bite, while Leif Davis—despite fewer recent matches—offers balance down the flanks. The midfield will likely be spearheaded by Jack Taylor and Azor Matusiwa’s energy, with Dan Neil supplying control. Up front, George Hirst is the danger man, supplemented by the lively Jack Clarke and Anis Mehmeti. Flexibility in attack has been the hallmark of this Ipswich side, and Hirst’s form should be pivotal.

Leicester possible starting eleven

Rowett is likely to persist with a 4-2-3-1, banking on experience at the back with Pereira and Nelson marshalling a defence that’s seen too much rotation. Caleb Okoli is a set-piece threat, while Luke Thomas’ energy up the left flank will be needed. Winks and Skipp form a pragmatic midfield base, with Divine Mukasa linking play and searching for opportunities to break lines. Patson Daka should lead the line, hoping to rediscover his scoring boots alongside Mavididi’s pace and Abdul Fatawu’s trickery. Mukasa is Leicester’s key man to watch, as all creative threads run through him.

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My take on the Match

For all their wobbles earlier in the season, Ipswich enter this weekend in superb nick—full of belief, defensive organisation, and attacking flair. Leicester, meanwhile, look like a side in desperate need of a reset and fresh ideas. With Hirst and Mehmeti providing the spark and a backline that’s rediscovered its bite, we like Ipswich to keep a clean sheet and nick the three points, perhaps by a 2-0 margin. For punters, an Asian Handicap -1 or a straight home win is the calculated call. The pressure is on Leicester to chase the game—expect space on the break and Ipswich to pounce.

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