Huesca vs Almeria Predictions: Odds and betting tips for La Liga 2 Match - 20.03.2026

When La Liga 2 resumes its regular season on 20 March 2026 at 21:30 CEST, all eyes will turn to El Alcoraz in Huesca, where the hosts welcome promotion contenders Almeria. Set in the foothills of the Pyrenees, the atmospheric stadium adds another layer of intrigue to a meeting crucial for both clubs’ trajectories. Huesca, positioned 19th in the table, seek to stave off relegation worries, while Almeria, riding momentum and standing 2nd, have their sights firmly fixed on automatic promotion. This clash is pivotal not only for the three points but for the psychological contour of the season’s run-in. Under the guidance of Bolo (Huesca) and Rubi (Almeria), expect a tactical chess match in a league famous for its intensity and unpredictability.

For Huesca, the cultured Oscar Sielva and defensive stalwart Jorge Pulido are central figures—Sielva dictating rhythm in transition and Pulido marshalling a backline under perpetual scrutiny. Almeria’s attacking verve will rely on the creativity and goal threat of Sergio Arribas, whose late runs pose persistent danger, while veteran Adrián Embarba’s guile and set-piece delivery could crack open a stubborn Huesca defence. Intriguingly, both clubs’ most recent outings encapsulate their seasons: Huesca’s 3-5 thriller with Malaga was as chaotic as it was concerning, while Almeria dispatched Cultural Leonesa 3-0 with clinical precision.

Hot stat: Across their last five league fixtures, Almeria have averaged 1.2 goals per game and conceded just 0.6—numbers that point to tactical balance and resilience—while Huesca have struggled offensively, scoring only four in the same span.

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Huesca vs Almeria predictions

My best bet: Almeria to win. The Rojiblancos’ superior form (three wins in their last five), tactical consistency (4-2-3-1 deployed in each of those matches), and a markedly higher conversion rate in front of goal give them the edge. Rubi’s side also demonstrate more control in crucial moments, with measured pressing and efficient ball retention in midfield. Conversely, Huesca are learning the hard way about the cost of defensive instability, notably evidenced by 42 goals conceded and a mere 20 percent win rate in their last five games. The narrative momentum, supported by concrete data, tilts convincingly in Almeria’s favor.

Stylistically, Huesca are combative—42 fouls committed in their last five matches underscore an aggressive approach, but at the cost of discipline (nine yellow cards; one red card recently). Their average ball possession lags and transitions often expose the back four. Almeria, while not immune to bookings (eight yellows in five), score higher on passing statistics (1,756 passes at 85 percent accuracy versus Huesca’s 1,494 at 76 percent) and favor structured buildup. These elements set the tone for a contest likely controlled by Almeria’s midfield metronomes, with Huesca’s direct style pushing for quick counters but risking turnovers.

• ⚽Total Goals: Under 2.5
• 💥Both Teams To Score: No
• 🎯Total Corners: Over 8.5

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Huesca vs Almeria Most recent H2Hs

The previous showdowns between these clubs have often been tightly contested, highlighted by a pair of 0-0 draws last season and a spirited 2-2 thriller in the penultimate clash. Rarely separated by more than a goal, these matches often pivot on moments of defensive lapse or individual brilliance. While Huesca have occasionally managed to blunt Almeria’s forward line, they are yet to truly control the midfield battle, regularly relinquishing territorial advantage to Rubi’s orchestrated attacks.

🚨Read our full Huesca vs Almeria stats for more analysis.

Key Stats

• Almeria boast a 60 percent win rate over the last five matches, more than double Huesca’s 20 percent.
• Both teams operate predominantly in a 4-2-3-1 formation, suggesting mirrored tactical blueprints—yet Almeria’s squad executes this system with greater cohesion.
• Set-piece threat: Almeria have scored three goals from corners or indirect free kicks in their last five games.
• Huesca average just 0.8 goals per game at home this season, underscoring problems in attack.
• Disciplinary concerns: Huesca’s nine yellow cards and recent red card indicate mounting pressure and potential for undermanned phases.

Huesca vs Almeria score prediction: 0-2

Expect a disciplined, controlled performance from Almeria, with Sergio Arribas and Miguel De La Fuente providing the cutting edge, and veteran defender Nelson Monte marshaling the backline. Huesca’s best route may come from set-pieces or moments of chaos but, with Pulido and Sielva overextended, the home side are likely to be overwhelmed by Almeria’s midfield quality and counter-pressing. A 2-0 away win reflects both current trajectory and underlying squad strengths.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Almeria the favourite

Bookmakers logically favor Almeria, reflecting their vastly superior record this campaign and pronounced improvement in both offensive and defensive metrics. The narrow spread in odds points to the historically competitive nature of this fixture, but Almeria’s ability to control matches and their recent clean sheets raise the ceiling for another away victory. Huesca’s price is tempting for value hunters but ultimately not supported by form or underlying numbers.

Huesca vs Almeria Over/Under Analysis

• Four of Huesca’s last five matches have gone under 2.5 total goals, suggesting attacking struggles and a conservative approach in most games.
• Almeria have only once surpassed the 2.5-goal threshold in their past four fixtures—indicative of improved defensive solidity balanced with measured attacking risk.
• Given both midfields’ propensity to congest play, recommended approach is under 2.5 goals as the value pick.
• Corners: With both teams averaging nearly five corners per match, expect an active day from set-pieces—potential for over 8.5 corners.

Huesca Preview

Huesca’s recent matches highlight a campaign teetering on the edge. Their latest performance—a frenetic 3-5 loss to Malaga—exposed defensive fractures and an inability to manage game tempo against better-organized opponents. Despite flashes of attacking promise, notably from Oscar Sielva and full-back Jorge Pulido, goals are at a premium and transitions remain perilous.
Drawing 0-0 against Albacete in a match with limited clear-cut chances only reinforced concerns about creativity in the final third. To their credit, Huesca have battled fiercely, evidenced by frequent fouling and a high work rate, but these qualities have seldom translated into consistent points. With just two wins in their last eleven outings and a negative goal difference of -13, substantive improvement is needed to escape the relegation zone.

Huesca possible starting eleven

• GK: Dani Jimenez
• DF: Jorge Pulido, Jorge Martin Camunas, Julio Alonso, Álvaro Carrillo
• MF: Oscar Sielva, Jaime Seoane, Micheal Agbekpornu, Javi Mier
• FW: Jordi Escobar, Francisco Portillo

Almeria Preview

Almeria continue to justify their billing as automatic promotion contenders. Their comprehensive 3-0 win over Cultural Leonesa was a masterclass in balance—defensive resilience paired with incisive final-third play, led by Arribas and De La Fuente. Even in adversity, Almeria have shown the capacity to grind out points, including a disciplined 1-1 draw against Albacete and a narrow 2-1 victory over Cordoba.
Their form line, showing three victories in their last five, reflects not just individual quality but a team ethos curated by Rubi—ball control, smart pressing, and creative adaptability. With 56 goals scored over thirty rounds—one of the division’s best returns—and defensive leaks seemingly addressed in recent weeks, Almeria travel north as justifiable favorites.

Almeria possible starting eleven

• GK: Andrés Fernández
• DF: Álex Centelles, Marcos Luna, Nelson Monte, Federico Bonini
• MF: Iddrisu Baba, Sergio Arribas, Dion Lopy, Arnau Puigmal
• FW: Adrián Embarba, Miguel De La Fuente

Our prediction: Who Wins?

We back Almeria as the TipsGG experts’ main pick for this La Liga 2 clash. The visitors’ probability of victory stands at 42 percent according to our dedicated AI prediction engine. Expect a composed, technically superior display from Rubi’s men—blending Arribas’ creativity, Embarba’s leadership, and Monte’s defensive assurance to neutralize Huesca’s threats. While Huesca may battle valiantly, the gulf in confidence, depth, and recent execution is likely decisive.

How to watch Huesca vs Almeria

When?
20 March 2026, Kick-off at 21:30 CEST

Where?
El Alcoraz Stadium, Huesca, Spain

How to watch: Available via regional broadcast (Movistar LaLiga 2) and streaming via the official La Liga 2 digital platform.

Favorite: Almeria

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