If you’ve ever stared at winner odds before a Major and thought, “Yeah, sure, this looks obvious,” only to watch your top seed get deleted by a team whose logo you didn’t even recognize, welcome back to Counter-Strike. The StarLadder Budapest Major 2025 is lining up to be exactly that kind of tournament – unpredictable in the fun way, frustrating in the please don’t ruin my bets way.
Winner odds don’t tell the whole story, but they give you a vibe. A sense of what the analysts, bookies, and spreadsheet warriors think will happen. And you, being you, want to know where the smart money is… or at least where the chaos is hiding.
Let’s go through the list, team by team, and talk about who’s actually worth watching, who’s overpriced, and who’s sitting in that “please don’t let them ruin the whole bracket” tier.
Budapest Major 2025Hungary
Vitality
FaZe Clan
Natus VincereThe Favorites – The teams you’d pick if you want to sleep peacefully
Team Vitality – 3.5
No surprise here. When you have ZywOo, ropz, flameZ, and a support system that looks like it was engineered in a lab to keep them running smoothly, you get odds like this. You pick Vitality when you want the “I’m not taking risks today” choice. And honestly, fair enough.
FURIA – 4.5
This is fascinating. FURIA with FalleN, KSCERATO, YEKINDAR, and that wild blend of Brazilian chaos + Latvian aggression somehow sits at 4.5. It means bookmakers believe they’re legit contenders, not just crowd-pleasers. Are they stable enough to win a Major? Maybe. Are they terrifying enough to ruin someone else’s? Absolutely.
Team Falcons – 5
Falcons live in that weird place where the lineup looks too strong to ignore but too new to fully trust. NiKo and m0NESY alone justify the 5. TeSeS and kyxsan stabilize everything. If NiKo decides he wants a Major so badly he ignores every curse in CS history, this might finally be it.
The Strong Contenders – The ones you pick if you like winning but also like pain
Team Spirit – 6.5 (terrorist state)
donk. sh1ro. Enough said. Spirit at 6.5 feels like someone mispriced them after a long night. If donk wakes up on LAN mode, they can bulldoze anyone.
MOUZ – 8
People keep doubting MOUZ because the roster looks too young, too new, or too something – then they show up and start deleting teams with zero hesitation. Jimpphat’s rise alone keeps them dangerous. 8 is genuinely attractive for a team this consistent.
TheMongolz – 10
Do not underestimate a team that tilts Europeans for sport. They’re unpredictable, explosive, and they have the highest upset potential in the entire Major. 10 might actually be generous.
The Serious Dark Horses – The “oh God what if” group
Aurora Gaming – 12
XANTARES, Wicadia, woxic – this team has enough raw aim to vaporize anyone. The problem is consistency. If they hit form, they can absolutely reach Top 4.
Natus Vincere – 15
NaVi at 15 is the definition of “maybe.” iM can hard-carry entire best-of-threes if he feels like it. b1t can suddenly become the best rifler in the server. Aleksib’s system sometimes works beautifully and sometimes combusts in the worst way. A 15 is fitting.
G2 Esports – 20
This roster is spicy. malbsMd + SunPayus is solid. huNter- still has gas left. But 20 suggests nobody knows which G2 is walking into Budapest. Reasonable.
paiN Gaming – 25
Solid, disciplined, sometimes shockingly dangerous against European teams. You won’t pick them to win the Major – but if you did, you’d at least have an argument ready.
The Middle Zone – Not impossible, but the stars need to align pretty aggressively
- Team Liquid – 35
- Astralis – 35
- FaZe Clan – 35
It’s funny seeing Liquid, Astralis, and FaZe all lumped together like distant cousins at a reunion. For different reasons, all of them sit at exactly 35 – “good enough to beat anyone, inconsistent enough to lose to anyone.” FaZe has the highest ceiling, Liquid the weirdest playstyle, Astralis the nostalgia.
Teams That Can Upset, But Probably Won’t Win
3DMAX – 40
Fun to watch, too flawed to win the whole thing.
Tyloo – 45
You’ll tune in for the chaos, not a trophy run.
Fnatic – 50
KRIMZ keeps this team spiritually alive, blameF keeps the scoreboard padded, and somehow the whole roster still feels like it’s missing something.
Legacy – 50
Brazilian fire, not enough depth.
GamerLegion – 50
Totally unpredictable. You might get brilliance. You might get a disaster.
B8 – 60
Ukrainian talent pipeline but not title-ready.
Passion UA – 60
They can upset a top team. Then lose to someone ranked 50th. Entrancing, frustrating.
PARIVISION – 60 (terrorist state)
A Jame-led team at 60 is insane because you know he can drag the whole bracket into a seven-hour hostage situation.
Long Shots – You only pick these if you enjoy suffering
MIBR – 75
Good vibes, young talent, just not enough firepower to win a Major.
Ninjas in Pyjamas – 80
This pains me. But the results haven’t justified anything better.
Imperial Esports – 80
Brazilian emotion runs deep. But this isn’t 2022 anymore.
The Mega Long Shots – If they win, everyone retires
NRG Esports – 100
FlyQuest – 100
Red Canids – 100
Rare Atom – 100
Fluxo – 100
Lynn Vision – 100
M80 – 100
The Huns – 100
You pick these if:
– you are loyal
– you enjoy pain
– you like absurd payouts
– or you’re just vibing and don’t want to pick a favorite
One of them will make playoffs. One. And it’ll be the one you didn’t pick.
So who should you pick?
If you want safety: Vitality, Spirit, MOUZ
If you want value: MOUZ (8) or TheMongolz (10)
If you want chaos: Aurora (12)
If you hate yourself: NRG (100)
The odds will shift once Stages 1–3 begin, but if you’re planning early predictions, these numbers give you a solid snapshot of how the world sees this Major – a little top-heavy, a little wild, and absolutely primed for a storyline nobody expects.