Club Atletico Guemes vs Gimnasia Jujuy Prediction: 21.06.2026 Primera Nacional

Gimnasia Jujuy arrive at the Arturo Miranda Stadium in Santiago del Estero as the in-form side, sitting third in the Primera Nacional table with 33 points from 17 games and a 53% win rate in 2026. Guemes, by contrast, occupy 28th place with just 19 points and a -10 goal difference, making this a meeting of teams moving in very different directions. One telling detail: Guemes have conceded 27 goals in 17 league games, and their last home outing saw them put four past Temperley, only to ship four themselves. The defensive fragility on both ends of that fixture sets the tone for what this match could produce.

Francisco Molina is the standout creative force for Gimnasia Jujuy, recording 3 assists and 1 goal in the last five matches while leading the team in shot volume with 5 total attempts. For Guemes, Milton Gerez has featured in four of the last five games as the midfield anchor, picking up an assist and showing the most consistent involvement, making him the player most likely to influence any Guemes counter-attacking moment.

Hot stat: Gimnasia Jujuy scored 4 goals in their most recent match against Nueva Chicago and have recorded 4 goals total across their last five league games, but their defensive record tells a different story, having conceded 6 in a single game against Belgrano just weeks ago.

Club Atletico Guemes vs Gimnasia Jujuy Prediction

Gimnasia Jujuy are the clear pick here. They hold a superior league position, a much better win rate in 2026 (53% vs 29%), and their recent form across the last 30 days is more consistent than Guemes, who have lost three of their last five. Pellerano’s side also demonstrated they can turn on the attacking pressure when needed, netting four goals in their last outing. Guemes have gone winless in three of their last four home matches and carry the worst defensive record among the clubs in the bottom half of the table.

Guemes tend to sit in a 4-2-3-1 shape, which can leave the wide areas exposed when pressed high, and Gimnasia’s 4-4-2 is built to exploit exactly that. Guemes have accumulated 10 yellow cards across the last five matches with 0 recorded fouls in the detailed stats, suggesting disciplinary inconsistency. Gimnasia, with 13 fouls and 9 yellow cards in the same period, are the more physically assertive side but within manageable limits. Gimnasia’s pass accuracy data (251 out of 333 passes) shows they are the side that controls the ball and dictates tempo, which against a low-block Guemes team could lead to sustained pressure and corner opportunities.

Team Analysis

Guemes have been inconsistent at best under Pablo Guiñazú in 2026. Their form string reads as a sequence of scattered wins and heavy losses, and the recent five-match run (W, L, L, W, L) confirms that pattern. Their most recent result was a 1-4 home defeat to Temperley, a team ranked around mid-table, which is damaging both for morale and for defensive confidence. The 1-0 win over Deportivo Maipu in between showed they can grind out results against weaker or disorganized opposition, but Gimnasia Jujuy are a significantly stronger test.

Gimnasia Jujuy are in much better shape. Their last five results include a 4-0 demolition of Nueva Chicago and a 2-1 win over San Martin SJ, with the only blemish being a 0-3 loss to Atletico Atlanta, who sit second in the table. The 4-6 defeat to Belgrano was a high-scoring anomaly against a top-flight opponent and should not be read as a defensive collapse against typical Primera Nacional competition. Pellerano’s side have scored 4 goals in each of their last two wins, and Octavio Bianchi leads the attack with 2 goals in 5 appearances, supported well by Mauro Cachi and David Gallardo.

The only available head-to-head data is from the 2024 Primera Nacional season, where Gimnasia Jujuy won 1-0. The bookmakers at that time gave Guemes a 50% win probability, yet Jujuy still came out on top. This time, the market already favors Gimnasia at 38% vs Guemes at 30%, reflecting the current form gap between the two clubs.

🚨 Check out our dedicated Club Atletico Guemes vs Gimnasia Jujuy stats page for more info.

Pre-game Odds and Win Probability: Gimnasia Jujuy the Favourite

• Moneyline Club Atletico Guemes 3.10 | Gimnasia Jujuy 2.37
• Draw 2.61

The odds across Bovada, Rocketplay, and Everygame are closely aligned, placing Gimnasia Jujuy as the slight favourite at around 2.37 to 2.40. Guemes at 3.10 reflects genuine uncertainty about their home advantage, given how poorly they have defended at home recently. The draw at 2.60 to 2.70 is overpriced in our view. Guemes have zero draws in their last five matches and Gimnasia’s recent form leans toward decisive results. We see value in backing Gimnasia Jujuy at 2.37 to 2.40, a price that reflects the current table gap without fully pricing in Guemes’ defensive vulnerability.

Possible Starting Lineups

Club Atletico Guemes Possible Starting Eleven

Guiñazú will likely set up in his preferred 4-2-3-1, with Leandro Finochietto as first-choice goalkeeper after featuring in four of the last five games. Walter Juárez is a regular starter at the back despite accumulating three yellow cards, and Milton Gerez remains the most important midfield presence. David Veliz and Gianluca Pugliese provide the forward options, though neither has scored in recent outings. Guemes lack a reliable goalscorer at this stage of the season, which is a significant concern against a well-organized Jujuy defense.

Gimnasia Jujuy Possible Starting Eleven

Pellerano will deploy his 4-4-2, with Milton Álvarez as an ever-present in goal across all five recent matches. The defensive line of Cosaro, Dematei, Endrizzi, and López has been consistent. In midfield, Francisco Molina is the key player to watch, with 3 assists and 1 goal in five appearances, and Francisco Maidana provides strong support with 2 assists. Up front, Octavio Bianchi leads with 2 goals and has shown good movement in tight spaces. Mauro Cachi offers an additional goal threat from a deeper forward position, having scored once and assisted once in the last five games.

🏅Tips.GG Premium Subscription Brings You Even Closer to WIN!🏅

• Gain access to the most profitable bets by using our analysis of over 60,000 monthly predictions from 1000+ sources.
• Premium users enjoy predictions from tipsters with the highest win rate while also gaining access to favorable odds, outcome calculation, and quick filter to favorable odds.
• Unlock the “Golden Bet” – our unique formula for the best high-odd betting opportunities! Get detailed reports on our system’s performance, including Winrate, ROI, and Yield.

The Verdict

Gimnasia Jujuy are the stronger side on paper and in form. Third place in the Primera Nacional table, a 53% win rate across 2026, and a settled attacking unit built around Molina, Bianchi, and Gallardo, Jujuy have too many advantages over a Guemes side that has conceded 27 league goals and lost three of their last five. The 4-0 win over Nueva Chicago in Jujuy’s last outing signals that Pellerano’s team can put games away when facing weaker opposition, and Guemes currently fit that description.

We predict a Gimnasia Jujuy win, with goals on both sides given Guemes’ tendency to score at least once even in defeats (they scored in four of their last five). The corner market is also worth targeting given Gimnasia’s high attacking volume, 25 corners in the last five matches compared to Guemes’ 10, making over 8.5 corners a strong secondary selection.

• Primary pick: Gimnasia Jujuy to win
• Goals: Over 2.5
• Both Teams to Score: Yes
• Corners: Over 8.5
• Hot Tip: Gimnasia Jujuy to score in both halves

More Useful Links for Football Fans

• Gamble Responsibly
• Best Football Betting Websites
• How to Bet On Sports
• Sports Betting Glossary
• Daily Football Predictions
• Football Teams Rankings
• Football Matches Today
• Current Football Tournaments
• Football Betting Guide by Tips.GG