Rafael Nogueira
Londrina PR host CRB at Estadio Vitorino Goncalves Dias on July 4 in a Série B clash that carries real weight for both sides. Londrina sit 17th with just 9 points from 10 games and are running out of room to maneuver, while CRB occupy 9th place on 17 points and have a genuine push for the promotion zone still within reach. The bookmakers call this one a coin flip, with both sides assigned a 35% win probability, yet CRB’s recent form and superior league position tell a clearer story. Bruno Santos de Oliveira is the man to watch for Londrina after scoring both goals in their last outing, while CRB striker Dadá Belmonte grabbed the winner against Botafogo SP and will be the focal point of Eduardo Barroca’s attack.
Hot stat: CRB have scored 18 goals in 12 league games this season, making them one of the higher-scoring sides in the division despite their inconsistency, yet their last five matches produced just 1 goal and 8 shots, suggesting a team that is tightening up defensively at the cost of attacking output.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Campeonato Brasileiro Série B 2026, Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | Estadio Vitorino Goncalves Dias, Londrina |
| 🗓️ Date: | 04.07.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 21:00 CEST |
Londrina PR vs CRB Prediction
CRB arrive as the more settled side in the table and their recent win over Botafogo SP shows they can grind out results. Londrina’s last five matches produced just 2 goals and 7 total shots, and their pass accuracy of 195 out of 273 passes reflects a team that struggles to build attacks consistently. CRB averaged 341 passes with 262 accurate in their last match, showing far better ball retention. With Londrina in relegation trouble and CRB looking to push into the top eight, we predict CRB to take the three points, though not comfortably.
Londrina commit fewer fouls on average in recent matches (10 per game) compared to CRB (16), which suggests CRB press aggressively and disrupt play frequently. That pressing style earns free kicks for opponents, but it also generates momentum. CRB’s 6 corner kicks in their last match versus Londrina’s 0 underlines who controls the tempo. CRB’s yellow card discipline is better too, with 3 bookings to Londrina’s 5 in comparable recent samples. Londrina’s 3-4-2-1 formation gives them defensive compactness, but CRB’s 4-3-3 offers width and pressing intensity that Londrina’s backline has struggled to handle this season.
| 🔥 Hot Tip: | CRB to win and under 3.5 goals |
| ⚽ Total Goals: | Under 2.5 |
| 💥 Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯 Total Corners: | Over 7.5 |
Team Analysis
Londrina PR have managed just 2 wins from 10 Série B games and their last 30-day record reads: 0 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss. Rogério Micale’s side drew 2-2 with Cuiabá on June 25, a result that flattered them given Cuiabá’s form. Before that draw, they lost 1-0 to Vila Nova, fell 3-0 to Operário PR, and were beaten 1-0 by Juventude. The 4-1 win over Ponte Preta in late May remains their only dominant result in recent weeks, and Ponte Preta are the division’s second-worst side. The underlying numbers reinforce the concern: 7 shots and 0 corners in their last match are not numbers that suggest a team capable of controlling a game at home.
CRB come into this fixture on the back of a 1-0 win over Botafogo SP on June 30, their second win from their last five matches. Eduardo Barroca’s team beat Ponte Preta 4-2, defeated Sport Recife 2-1, and held Fortaleza to a 0-0 draw in that same run. The 0-2 defeat to Cuiabá was the low point, but the overall picture is of a team that competes hard, scores goals when in rhythm, and has the squad depth to rotate. Their 33 matches played this year with a 36% win rate shows a busy schedule, and fatigue could be a factor, but CRB have shown more resilience than Londrina across the board.
Most Recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Londrina PR | CRB |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2 | 1 |
| Total shots | 7 | 8 |
| Free kicks | 13 | 16 |
| Total fouls | 10 | 16 |
| Pass accuracy (%) | 71.4% | 76.8% |
| Interceptions | 7 | 1 |
🚨 Check out our dedicated Londrina PR vs CRB stats page for more info.
Pre-Game Odds and Win Probability: Even Match With CRB Edge
- Moneyline Londrina PR 2.70 | CRB 2.70
- Draw 3.10
- Over/Under Over 2.5 2.10 | Under 2.5 1.75
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 2.00 | No 1.80
The near-identical moneyline prices reflect the bookmakers’ genuine uncertainty, but the 35/30/35 probability split does not account well enough for CRB’s table position advantage and better recent form. At roughly 2.70, CRB to win offers real value given Londrina’s dire home record of 2 wins from their last 10. The draw at 3.10 is tempting on paper, but both teams have shown they can find a goal when it matters. Under 2.5 goals looks like a solid play given the low shot counts and defensive trends in both teams’ last matches.
Possible Starting Lineups
Londrina PR Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: Mauricio Kozlinski
- DF: Gabriel Santos Cordeiro Lacerda, Kaue Leonardo De Souza Prado, Yago Lincoln Rocha Santos, Kevyn Lucas Ramos da Costa
- MF: Paulo Roberto Moccelin, Lucas Marques, Thalis Henrique Cantanhede, Paulo Roberto Moccelin
- FW: Bruno Santos de Oliveira, Gilberto
Rogério Micale has leaned on a 3-4-2-1 shape, and Mauricio Kozlinski is the established starter in goal after making 4 saves in the last match. The backline of Lacerda, Kaue, and Yago Lincoln gives Londrina a physical three-man defense. Bruno Santos de Oliveira is the standout name in attack after his brace against Cuiabá and will carry Londrina’s goal threat almost single-handedly. The midfield lacks creativity based on pass numbers, so the team will likely defend deep and look to hit on the counter.
CRB Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: Vitor Caetano
- DF: Diogo Hereda da Silva, Fabio Alemão, Henri Marinho dos Santos, Lucas Lovat
- MF: Pedro Castro, Daniel Sampaio Simões, Patrick de Lucca
- FW: Thiago Fernandes Rodrigues, Dadá Belmonte, Mikael
Eduardo Barroca’s preferred 4-3-3 puts Dadá Belmonte centrally as the target striker, flanked by Mikael and Thiago Fernandes Rodrigues. Vitor Caetano is the first-choice keeper with 6 saves in the last game. Fabio Alemão and Lucas Lovat provide stability at the back, with Lovat contributing an assist in the last match. Pedro Castro controls the midfield tempo with 23 passes and 4 free kicks earned in the last game. CRB’s width and pressing intensity should cause problems for Londrina’s compact but limited defensive block.
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CRB. Source: Official Instagram. Edited photo
TipsGG Match Prediction
We predict CRB to win this match. Londrina’s attacking output has been minimal across recent fixtures, their corner count hit zero in the last game, and they have scored just 2 goals in their last five league matches. CRB are the better-placed, better-organized side and have the personnel to control this game through Pedro Castro’s midfield work and Dadá Belmonte’s finishing. To be honest, the even odds do not reflect that gap in quality and form. We back CRB to win to nil, with under 2.5 goals as the total goals market pick. The corner total going over 7.5 also looks strong given CRB’s 6-corner last match and Londrina’s tendency to sit deep and invite pressure.
