CA Estudiantes vs CA Mitre Prediction: July 11, 2026 Primera Nacional

CA Estudiantes host CA Mitre at Estadio Ciudad de Caseros in what is a mid-table clash in the 2026 Primera Nacional Regular Season. Both sides sit in the lower half of a congested standings table, with Estudiantes on 16 points from 13 games and Mitre trailing on 13 from 12. The most recent head-to-head, played earlier in this same season, ended 1-0 to Mitre, giving the visitors a psychological edge heading into Caseros.

Forward Jorge Correa is the focal point of Estudiantes’ attack in their 5-3-2 shape, and his ability to hold the line and link play will be critical against a Mitre side that has conceded only 12 goals in 12 games. For Mitre, forward E. Avaro logged 90 minutes in the last match and carries a yellow card from that game, making him both a threat and a disciplinary concern in an away fixture.

Hot stat: CA Mitre generated 11 corner kicks in their most recent match, nearly double Estudiantes’ 7, pointing to a side that pushes wide and forces set-piece situations even when results are tight.

CA Estudiantes vs CA Mitre Prediction

Estudiantes have won 4 of 14 league matches this year (29% win rate), but their recent form is the more interesting story. After a poor run of losses, they strung together wins and draws across their last several matches before landing on their current 16-point tally. Mitre’s win rate sits at just 17% from 12 games, and they have drawn seven of those, underlining a side that is hard to beat but equally hard to back for a win.

The draw is the most logical outcome on paper. Both teams drew their most recent league game, Estudiantes 1-1 with Racing Córdoba and Mitre 1-1 with All Boys. The head-to-head record shows two draws and one Mitre win in the last three meetings, with no Estudiantes victory in that span. Backing the draw at odds around 2.90-3.00 represents genuine value given the pattern.

Estudiantes operate in a 5-3-2, prioritising defensive solidity and hitting on the counter. Mitre’s 4-3-3 is more expansive but their low foul count and disciplined structure means they rarely gift opponents easy chances. The combination of both teams’ conservative tendencies, low shot volumes (5 and 4 respectively in the last match), and a history of tight scorelines points firmly to a low-scoring affair where a goal each is the ceiling.

• We predict a Draw at odds of ~2.93 (Pinnacle)
• We predict Under 2.5 Goals
• We predict Both Teams To Score: No

Team Analysis

Estudiantes have found some stability after a turbulent early run. Their last five results show four draws and one win, a sequence that began after a string of defeats earlier in the campaign. The most recent outing, a 1-1 draw with Racing Córdoba on July 2, continued that pattern. Before that, they drew 1-1 with San Miguel, 1-1 with San Telmo, beat Acassuso 1-0, and drew 0-0 with Chaco For Ever. The goals column is thin, with just 8 scored in 13 league games, and coach Alfredo Grelak’s 5-3-2 reflects a side built to stay compact rather than dominate possession.

CA Mitre arrive off a 1-1 draw with All Boys in their last match. Their five-game sequence reads: 1-1 vs All Boys, 2-0 win over Acassuso, 1-1 vs Chaco For Ever, a 0-1 loss to Ferro Carril Oeste, and 1-1 vs Central Norte Salta. The 2-0 win over Acassuso stands out as their clearest statement in recent weeks, though the loss to Ferro showed vulnerability when facing organised sides. Coach Cristian Mazzón’s 4-3-3 gives Mitre width and pressing capacity, but with only 2 wins from 12 league games, converting pressure into goals remains their persistent problem.

🚨Check out our dedicated CA Estudiantes vs CA Mitre stats page for more info.

Pre-game Odds and Win Probability: CA Estudiantes the Favourite

• Moneyline CA Estudiantes 1.83 | CA Mitre 5.20
• Draw 2.95
• Over/Under Over 2.5 N/A | Under 2.5 N/A
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes N/A | No N/A

The market prices Estudiantes as clear home favourites at around 1.83, which feels slightly short given their 29% win rate and the fact they have not beaten Mitre in their last three meetings. Mitre at 5.20 is long but not unreasonable for a side with a 17% win rate on the road. The draw at 2.93-3.00 is where the value sits, and the head-to-head record backs that view. Backing Estudiantes at sub-1.85 requires more confidence in their home form than the data currently supports.

Possible Starting Lineups

CA Estudiantes Possible Starting Eleven

Grelak has leaned on a 5-3-2 across recent matches, but the available data covers one confirmed fixture with full minutes. Facundo Ardiles and Jorge Benitez both completed 90 minutes in the last game, anchoring a back line that has kept opponents reasonably quiet. Enzo Acosta provides the engine in midfield. Jorge Correa leads the line and, as the most advanced player with confirmed playing time, is the one to watch for any Estudiantes goal threat.

CA Mitre Possible Starting Eleven

Mazzón lines Mitre up in a 4-3-3. Joaquin Ledesma is the confirmed starter in goal, having played all 90 minutes in the last match. Franco Ferrari and Pablo Minissale both went the full game in defence. E. Avaro started and completed 90 minutes up front, picking up a yellow card, so his discipline will be tested in a competitive away fixture. Daniel Abello also carries a booking from that game. Santiago Rosales provides pace on the right flank and is Mitre’s most direct attacking outlet.

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TipsGG Match Prediction

The numbers point in one direction: a tight, low-scoring draw. Estudiantes have drawn four of their last five, Mitre have drawn seven of their last twelve, and the head-to-head shows only one decisive result in three meetings this season and last. Both teams generate few shots, concede few goals, and play in systems designed to absorb rather than attack. Mitre’s corner count is notably high, so set pieces are a genuine source of danger for Mazzón’s side, and that backs the over 8.5 corners call. We predict a 1-1 draw, with the full-time draw at ~2.93 as the headline bet and the corner line as the secondary play.

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