Antalyaspor vs Gaziantep Prediction: 13.03.2026 Süper Lig

Set for the Antalya Stadium, the clash between Antalyaspor and Gaziantep stands as a pivotal encounter in the Süper Lig’s regular season – a fixture heavy with implications at the lower end of the table. With both teams carrying identical win rates over the last month (17%), questions mount over which side can muster a much-needed revival. Recent form and squad depth hint at a closely contested affair, but the real intrigue lies in both clubs’ search for offensive consistency amid a season defined by defensive mishaps.

Keep a close eye on Antalyaspor’s energetic winger Samuel Ballet, who’s bagged two goals in his last four appearances and is capable of breaking beyond lines with pace and purpose. For Gaziantep, the creative force of Alexandru Maxim cannot be understated, orchestrating play from midfield and notching a goal in recent weeks. Both are likely to be at the heart of their teams’ best attacking efforts.

One “hot stat” to consider: Gaziantep have registered just two goals in their last five matches, highlighting ongoing attacking struggles—even as they’ve managed to force a draw against the likes of high-flyers Trabzonspor.

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Antalyaspor vs Gaziantep prediction

With Antalyaspor’s home form offering scant consolation (just one win in their last six matches) and Gaziantep’s travel record equally inconsistent, value seems to lie in a close, cagey battle. Both sides have shown a reticence in front of goal recently: Antalyaspor scored five in their last five, Gaziantep netted just two over the same stretch. Given such numbers, a draw or narrow one-goal margin for either side seems the most likely outcome.

Antalyaspor typically set up in a 4-1-4-1, seeking to compress space centrally and hit on the counter, while Gaziantep favour a 4-2-3-1, looking to filter play through Maxim and exploit wide areas. Foul counts are high on both sides (Antalyaspor with 55, Gaziantep with 53 in the last five), a recipe for a stop-start contest where set pieces could define the flow. Despite their attacking intent, neither side boasts high possession or passing accuracy, so expect a bit of scrappiness.

Team Analysis

Antalyaspor: Their last five matches tell a story of frustration and under-delivery—one win, one draw, and three losses, including a toothless 0-1 defeat to Rizespor last time out. Despite enjoying periods of possession, they struggled to create clear chances, managing just 57 shots over five games and converting a mere five of them. Samuel Ballet has been a rare positive, appearing lively down the flanks, while Nikola Storm provides an extra dimension up front. Defence wobbles, seen in conceding nine across this spell, remain a concern.

Gaziantep: Like their opponents, Gaziantep have been hampered by profligacy in the final third – just two goals from five matches and a rough 0-4 battering by Fenerbahce. Yet in that same period, they managed a gritty 1-1 draw against relegation rivals Karagumruk and a stubborn 0-0 with Samsunspor. Creative midfielder Alexandru Maxim links play effectively, though the lack of a reliable marksman up top (Mohamed Bayo top scorer with one in five) clouds their attacking prospects. Notably, they’re slightly more robust defensively, enabling them to collect more points away.

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

🚨Read our full Antalyaspor vs Gaziantep stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Antalyaspor the favourite

• Moneyline Antalyaspor 2.50 | Gaziantep 2.76
• Draw 3.30
• Over/Under Over 2.5 2.15 | Under 2.5 1.68
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.91 | No 1.85

Despite Antalyaspor entering as favourites (38 percent implied win probability), neither team is convincing enough to rule out the draw or an away upset. The odds reflect the slim margins – with Gaziantep not far behind, and the draw priced attractively. Under 2.5 goals is favored by both recent form and bookmakers’ lines, owing to both teams’ attacking struggles and high defensive intensity, while BTTS edges close but has a slight lean to “No” on recent numbers.

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Possible Starting Lineups

Antalyaspor possible starting eleven

Antalyaspor are likely to stick with their familiar 4-1-4-1 shape, with reliable shot-stopper Cuesta between the posts. In defence, Paal and Sarı offer width and overlapping support, while Öztürk and Türkmen anchor centrally. Storm’s pace and Ballet’s recent scoring form mean both will be focal threats on the break. Expect van de Streek to push forward from midfield, supporting attacks in transition. The midfield quintet should provide enough legs to disrupt Gaziantep’s passing rhythms, with Ceesay also offering bite.

Gaziantep possible starting eleven

Expect Gaziantep to deploy their usual 4-2-3-1 formation, with Gorgen a consistent figure in goal. Rodrigues and Sangare should bomb up the flanks, while Sanuc and Abena maintain a physical presence in central defence. Maxim, orchestrator-in-chief, is the engine of their attacks, ably supported by Kozłowski’s dynamism and Ozcicek’s defensive cover. Up top, Lungoyi and Sorescu will try to exploit Antalyaspor’s full-backs, with Bayo acting as the target man hoping to rediscover his shooting boots. The system leans on quick transition and creativity through the middle.

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My take on the Match

In the end, it is tough to split these sides – Antalyaspor’s home advantage marginally offset by Gaziantep’s dogged away displays and slightly better squad balance. Our main pick? Draw No Bet on Gaziantep: they look a shade more disciplined defensively and their recent resilience on the road gives them just the edge in what should be a low-scoring, fiercely contested battle. Expect this match to be defined by midfield duels, tactical fouls, and the odd glimpse of brilliance—exactly the fixture where a moment from Maxim or a Ballet run can decide the outcome. Regardless, both teams will need to sharpen up in the final third if they are to move up the Süper Lig standings this season.

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