The TipsGG Data team delivers a fresh Betting Digest covering four UEFA Europa League quarter-final second legs on April 16, 2026. This edition features 5 predictions across four matches, with the biggest odds reaching 3.25 on extra time in Nottingham Forest vs Porto. Read on for full breakdowns and expert picks.
Celta Vigo vs Freiburg
Freiburg left no doubt in the first leg of the Europa League quarter-final, dismantling Celta Vigo 3:0. From the opening whistle, the Germans seized control and dominated every inch of the pitch. The shot statistics tell the story: 13 to 4 in favour of the Black and Whites, with Celta failing to register a single shot on target. The only genuine goalscoring moment near Freiburg’s goal came in the 85th minute when Fernando Lopez failed to hit the target after a brilliant through ball. Julian Schuster’s men scored in style: a long-range strike, a worked team goal into an empty net, and Matthias Ginter capping it off with a header from a corner.
Claudio Giraldez has not given up hope of a comeback. In the league match against Real Oviedo, the Celta coach made seven substitutions, resting his key players. The Galicians lost that game 0:3, and the big question now is whether that rotation will pay dividends in Europe. The race in La Liga remains tight: Celta sit sixth, two points behind Betis and holding the same margin over Real Sociedad.
Freiburg, riding high on confidence, beat Mainz away 1:0. That result did little to change their Bundesliga standing, with an 11-point gap to the European qualification zone, but the squad has two clear priorities: the Europa League and the DFB-Pokal.
I expect a completely different game at Estadio Balaidos. Celta will certainly attempt a comeback, as recent seasons have proven that no first-leg result guarantees progression. In my view, the hosts will win, but Freiburg will be the ones advancing.
Prediction: Celta Vigo to win – odds 1.94
Aston Villa vs Bologna
Villa Park hosts the second leg of the Europa League quarter-final. The first-leg result in Italy (3:1 in favour of the Birmingham side) gives Unai Emery’s squad a solid advantage and room to approach squad selection strategically.
The convincing away victory allows Aston Villa to rotate, given their fierce battle in the Premier League. The team currently sits fourth with 55 points, level with Manchester United in third. With a Sunday fixture against Sunderland on the horizon, Unai Emery may rest key players, including Ollie Watkins, who scored twice in the first leg. Still, the Villans are known for their pragmatism in European competition and are unlikely to surrender control of this tie.
For Bologna, the situation looks critical. In Serie A, Vincenzo Italiano’s team is stuck in midtable, making the Europa League arguably their only realistic route to European football next season. The Italians need to score at least twice, forcing them to play open football from the start. Vincenzo Italiano will likely throw every available resource into the battle, banking on an early goal to restore the intrigue.
Even with rotation from the hosts, Aston Villa’s squad depth remains impressive. The visitors will be forced to take risks, opening up space for English counterattacks. The most logical scenario is a high-scoring affair where both teams find the net.
Prediction: Both teams to score (Yes) – odds 1.69
Nottingham Forest vs Porto
A tie where nothing has been decided. Porto had a good chance to secure an advantage at home, but individual errors prevented that. The task is now tougher, but the objective remains the same.
Nottingham Forest in front of their own fans may try to play more aggressively, but recent form offers little encouragement on that front: the club has not won at home since January. Porto, for their part, continue to operate carefully in their own half and avoid unnecessary risks. Squad losses are currently limiting their resources.
This match could easily follow the same script as a week ago: both sides are capable of exchanging precise strikes, but the game will settle down as it approaches the finish. Over the past month, both teams have been consistent in their results and have no intention of conceding without a fight. This battle is likely to go the distance.
Prediction: Both teams to score – odds 1.93
Alternative prediction: Extra time (Yes) – odds 3.25
Real Betis vs Braga
At Estadio de La Cartuja, after the draw in Portugal, Betis will look to confirm their status as favourites in the Europa League quarter-final second leg.
As expected, the first leg was tense and ended with an acceptable result for the Spaniards: a 1:1 draw. Braga, through Florian Grillitsch, opened the scoring as early as the fifth minute, but Manuel Pellegrini’s side equalised in the second half via a penalty converted by Cucho Hernandez.
Unlike the Portuguese, Betis have a realistic shot at Champions League qualification through the domestic league, where they are fighting for fifth place in La Liga. Winning a European trophy after last season’s painful Conference League final defeat (1:4 to Chelsea) would be a fitting crowning achievement for the Chilean coach’s tenure at the helm of Los Verdiblancos.
Both teams are unbeaten in their last three matches. Braga picked up two wins during that stretch, while Betis drew all three times. Throughout this European campaign, Os Arsenalistas have lost away only once: in the previous round against Ferencvaros (0:2), though they managed to exact revenge at home.
Betis boast impressive home form on the European stage this season: four wins and one draw. The emphatic 4:0 victory over Panathinaikos after a narrow defeat in Athens underscores the Green and Whites’ potency in Seville. Home support and superior individual quality should tip the scales in the hosts’ favour.
Prediction: Betis to win – odds 1.83
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