Liam Duckstein
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Liverpool host Monaco at Anfield in what looks like a pre-season workout on paper, but there is genuine intrigue here. Andoni Iraola’s Liverpool side has been far from flawless in their recent build-up, suffering a 4-2 loss to Leeds just days ago, while Monaco under Luís Filipe arrive off the back of a narrow 1-0 win against Getafe. The Reds hold the home advantage and bookmakers back them as clear favourites, yet their defensive fragility in recent weeks means this is not a match to treat as a formality.
Two players to watch closely are Dominik Szoboszlai, who has contributed one goal and two assists across his last three appearances for Liverpool and leads the midfield in passing volume, and Florian Wirtz, who found the net in his only outing and will be eager to press his case for more minutes under Iraola.
Hot stat: Liverpool conceded four goals against Leeds in their most recent outing, a result that underlines how porous their defensive shape can be when pressed high, and that pattern is worth factoring into any goals market bet here.
| 🏆 Tournament: | International Club Friendly 2026 – August Phase |
| 🏟 Venue: | Anfield, Liverpool |
| 🗓️ Date: | 09.08.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 15:30 CEST |
Liverpool vs Monaco Prediction
We predict a Liverpool win here, but the margin and manner of that win are worth examining carefully. Liverpool’s home record and squad depth at Anfield give them a clear structural advantage, and bookmakers back that view with a 57% implied probability for the home side. Iraola’s team has won two of their last three matches, and despite the Leeds loss, they have shown they can score freely when the system clicks.
Monaco have shown some spirit themselves, winning two of their last four games, but their 0-2 defeat to Sporting CP and a 4-5 loss against Strasbourg earlier in the summer raise real doubts about their defensive organisation. Against a Liverpool side with attacking options like Wirtz, Szoboszlai, and Federico Chiesa, they are likely to concede.
Liverpool commit fouls at a moderate rate across recent matches, suggesting Iraola wants a controlled, ball-moving style rather than a physically aggressive one. Their pass volume is high, with Szoboszlai and Treymaurice Nyoni both racking up heavy passing workloads. If Liverpool dominate possession as expected, Monaco will spend long stretches without the ball, which suits a team that can be vulnerable when forced to defend in numbers.
The corner kick market is worth noting. Liverpool generated 10 corners across their last five matches, and against a side likely to sit deep at times, that number could stay consistent or climb here.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Liverpool to win both halves |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 8.5 |
Team Analysis
Liverpool’s pre-season has been a mixed picture. They beat Sunderland 4-2 and edged Wrexham 1-0, but they also fell 2-4 to Aston Villa and, most recently, lost 2-4 to Leeds. That Leeds result is the one that stands out most. Liverpool led or were level at stages but ended up conceding four, which points to a defensive unit still finding its shape. The positive takeaway is that they scored twice in that game and have looked lively in the final third throughout the summer.
Monaco’s last five games have been a rollercoaster. They beat Getafe 1-0 in their most recent outing, which was a tightly controlled performance from Luís Filipe’s side. Before that, they drew 2-2 with Cercle Brugge and were beaten 0-2 by Sporting CP. A 5-2 win over Saint Priest showed their attacking capability, but their 4-5 loss to Strasbourg earlier in the summer remains a red flag. Monaco have goals in them, but keeping them out is another matter entirely.
Most Recent Head-to-Head Matches
Liverpool and Monaco have limited recent head-to-head data available, with the most recent encounter listed as their current fixture. The stats from that entry show both teams level at 0-0 at time of data capture.
| Statistic | Liverpool | Monaco |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0 | 0 |
🚨Check out our dedicated Liverpool vs Monaco stats page for more info.
Pre-game Odds and Win Probability: Liverpool the Favourite
- Moneyline Liverpool 1.53–1.70 | Monaco 3.95–4.60
- Draw 4.00–4.30
- Over/Under Over 2.5 (see bookmaker for latest) | Under 2.5 (see bookmaker for latest)
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes (see bookmaker for latest) | No (see bookmaker for latest)
Liverpool’s odds in the 1.53 to 1.70 range reflect a fairly confident market view, and to be honest, those numbers look reasonable given the home advantage and squad quality. Monaco at 3.95 to 4.60 represents a big ask given their defensive record this summer. The draw odds at 4.00 to 4.30 are generous enough to tempt, but Liverpool’s attacking output makes a draw less likely unless they rotate heavily. The best value arguably sits with Liverpool to win combined with over 2.5 goals, given both teams have shown they can score and concede in these pre-season fixtures.
Monaco. Source: Official Facebook
Possible Starting Lineups
Liverpool Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: Giorgi Mamardashvili
- DF: Jeremie Frimpong, Joe Gomez, Calvin Ramsay, Milos Kerkez
- MF: Dominik Szoboszlai, Curtis Jones, Harvey Elliott
- FW: Florian Wirtz, Federico Chiesa, Rio Ngumoha
Giorgi Mamardashvili takes the gloves after making seven saves across his three appearances, comfortably ahead of Harvey Davies and Freddie Woodman in terms of workload and reliability. The back four picks itself from the players with the most minutes, with Frimpong and Kerkez providing width from full-back positions in what looks like a 4-2-3-1 or 4-3-3 shape depending on the match phase. Szoboszlai is the standout in midfield, and pairing him with Jones and Elliott gives Liverpool creativity and work rate. Up front, Wirtz and Chiesa have both scored this pre-season, and Ngumoha adds directness on the right. Konstantinos Tsimikas and James McConnell are strong options from the bench if Iraola wants to rotate.
Monaco Possible Starting Eleven
No player data is available for Monaco’s squad from recent matches. Their expected formation based on the last five games is a 3-4-3, which gives them width through wing-backs and a high press from three forwards. Without confirmed player names, we cannot project a specific eleven, but Luís Filipe has shown a preference for aggressive, high-energy structures that can leave space at the back.
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Liverpool. Source: Official Facebook
TipsGG Match Prediction
Liverpool win this one. The Reds have enough quality at Anfield to see off a Monaco side that, while capable of scoring, has looked shaky at the back throughout the summer. Szoboszlai’s form in midfield gives Liverpool a creative spine that Monaco’s 3-4-3 will struggle to contain, and the wing-backs in Frimpong and Kerkez will cause problems down the flanks.
We predict Liverpool to win, with both teams scoring and the match going over 2.5 goals. Liverpool’s defensive issues are real but their attacking output is significant, and Monaco have shown enough of an attacking edge to get on the scoresheet. Liverpool to win both halves is perhaps the boldest call here, but the home side’s depth and familiarity with Anfield make it a bet worth considering at the available odds.
