As we delve into the Liga Pro 2025 Apertura, the upcoming fixture between Sociedad Deportiva Aucas and Universidad Catolica is poised to capture the attention of football enthusiasts. Both teams are navigating the tournament with distinct trajectories, and this particular encounter could significantly influence their standing on the Apertura table. With Universidad Catolica sitting above Aucas and showing promising form, this match could either solidify their position or provide Aucas with an opportunity to bridge the gap. Crucially, a win for Aucas would not only uplift their rank but also serve as a morale booster as they strive to gain momentum in the league.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Liga Pro 2025 Apertura |
| 🏟 Venue: | Estadio Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda, Quito |
| 🗓️ Date: | 16.04.2025 |
| ⏰ Time: | 03:00 CEST |
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Sociedad Deportiva Aucas vs Universidad Catolica prediction
Given the statistical trends and current forms, it appears that Universidad Catolica may have a slight edge over Sociedad Deportiva Aucas. This prediction is supported by Universidad Catolica’s stronger recent performance, boasting a 60% win rate over the last month compared to Aucas’ 20%. However, Aucas’ home advantage cannot be discounted, which makes the contest more unpredictable. Both teams’ style of play suggests a game that may feature a moderate number of fouls, with Catolica slightly more aggressive as indicated by their higher foul and yellow card counts in recent games.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Draw No Bet Universidad Catolica |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Under 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 8.5 |
Team Analysis
Sociedad Deportiva Aucas: Recent form indicates inconsistency, with their last five matches yielding one win, two draws, and two losses. Notably, their draw against Delfin and loss to Independiente del Valle reflect a struggling defense. Aucas will need to focus on tightening their defensive play while capitalizing on attacking opportunities to challenge Universidad Catolica effectively.
Universidad Catolica: Their recent matches display resilience, with three wins, one draw, and one loss. A recent victory against Cerro Largo underscores their capability to dominate when in form. Catolica’s reliance on strategic midfield maneuvers and robust defense makes them a formidable adversary for any team, including Aucas.
Most recent H2Hs: Universidad Catolica dominates
| Statistic | Sociedad Deportiva Aucas | Universidad Catolica |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3 | 7 |
| Total shots | 40 | 55 |
| Free kicks | 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks | 16 | 17 |
| Total fouls | 37 | 42 |
| Interceptions | 29 | 35 |
| Offsides | 3 | 5 |
🚨Read our full Sociedad Deportiva Aucas vs Universidad Catolica stats for more analysis.

Sociedad Deportiva Aucas. Source: Official Website
Pre-game odds and win probability: Universidad Catolica the favourite
| Moneyline | Sociedad Deportiva Aucas 2.54 | Universidad Catolica 2.64 | |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 3.05 | |
| Over/Under | Over 2.5 2.70 | Under 2.5 1.90 | |
| BTTS (both teams to score) | Yes 1.75 | No 2.05 | |
The bookmakers’ odds slightly favor Universidad Catolica, reflecting their superior form and league position. However, Sociedad Deportiva Aucas’ potential to capitalize on home advantage adds an element of uncertainty, making a draw a plausible outcome. The odds for both teams to score suggest a match where both sides will likely find the net.
You can find all our predictions for today’s games on our football betting tips page.
Key Players to Watch
Sociedad Deportiva Aucas: Brian Montenegro with his scoring prowess will be pivotal, especially since he’s been one of the more consistent forwards. His ability to exploit defensive lapses makes him a threat anytime he is on the field.
Universidad Catolica: Ismael Díaz has shown his ability to score crucial goals and influence the game’s tempo. With his high work rate and technical ability, he will be essential in breaking down Aucas’ defensive setup.
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Possible Starting Lineups

Sociedad Deportiva Aucas possible starting eleven
- GK: Edson Resendez
- DF: Carlos Rolón, Jonnathan Mina, John Ontaneda, Daniel Patino
- MF: Michael Carcelen, Angelo Mina, Renny Jaramillo, Ronald Briones
- FW: Brian Montenegro, cristhoper zambrano
Sociedad Deportiva Aucas might opt for their usual 4-4-2 formation, leveraging the stability it provides defensively while allowing flexibility in attack. Key to this setup will be the performances of Brian Montenegro and cristhoper zambrano upfront, who will need to convert any scoring opportunities.

Universidad Catolica possible starting eleven
- GK: Johan Lara
- DF: Luis Castillo, Gregori Anangonó, Luis Cangá, Rooney Troya
- MF: Mauro Díaz, Jhon Chancellor, Byron Palacios
- FW: Ismael Díaz, Daniel Clavijo, Milton Maciel
Universidad Catolica is expected to continue with the 4-2-3-1 formation, which has served them well by providing control and balance. Watch for Ismael Díaz to spearhead their attacks with support from Mauro Díaz, whose passing accuracy could be instrumental in dictating the game’s pace.
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Universidad Catolica. Source: Official Website
The Verdict
This encounter holds promise for a closely contested match, where Universidad Catolica seems slightly favored due to their recent form and league position. However, Sociedad Deportiva Aucas at home could surprise, especially if they leverage their attacking duo effectively. Considering the available information, a draw seems probable, capturing the balance both teams may exert during the game.


