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IEM Krakow 2026 Play-In: Upper Bracket Round 1 Recap & Lower Bracket Round 1, Upper Bracket Round 2 Betting Predictions

28.01.2026, 18:29

IEM Krakow 2026 is already delivering exactly what elite CS2 bettors expect from a top-tier LAN event: volatility, stylistic clashes, and several early surprises.
The Play-In Upper Bracket Round 1 brought together established organisations and ambitious challengers, with best-of-three series once again proving that reputation alone means very little on stage.

Krakow 2026Poland
$1,000,001Prize Pool
24Teams
PremierTier
Vitality
Winner
FURIA
2nd Place
Team Spirit
3rd Place

Play-In Upper Bracket Round 1 – Updated Results

Aurora Gaming 2–0 GamerLegion
Aurora’s aggressive pacing and superior mechanics gave GamerLegion very little breathing room.

05:00Finished28.01.2026

Heroic 1–2 PARIVISION
One of the first shocks of the day. PARIVISION punished Heroic’s mistakes and closed out key rounds under pressure.

05:01Finished28.01.2026
1HeroicEurope
2PARIVISIONrussia (terrorist state)

Astralis 2–0 paiN Gaming
Astralis looked composed and methodical, controlling tempo and denying paiN any real comeback opportunities.

07:31Finished28.01.2026
2AstralisDenmark

NRG 2–1 B8
A scrappy series where NRG finally showed resilience in late-round scenarios.

08:07Finished28.01.2026
2NRGUnited States
1B8Ukraine

Legacy 0–2 BC.Game Esports
BC.Game surprised many with confident executions and better clutch conversion.

10:01Finished28.01.2026
0LegacyBrazil

FUT Esports 1–2 3DMAX
3DMAX capitalised on FUT’s shaky T-sides and earned a well-deserved upset.

10:54Finished28.01.2026
23DMAXFrance

Team Liquid 2–0 Ninjas in Pyjamas
Liquid looked sharp, disciplined, and far more comfortable in high-pressure moments.

12:31Finished28.01.2026
2Team LiquidNorth America

Passion UA 1–2 G2 Esports
G2 advanced, but not without resistance. Passion UA showed they can compete mechanically.

14:24Finished28.01.2026

Upcoming Match Schedule & GGbet odds

  • 15:00 – Aurora Gaming vs PARIVISION — GGbet odds: 2.28 / 1.68
  • 08:01Finished29.01.2026
    2PARIVISIONrussia (terrorist state)
  • 15:00 – paiN Gaming vs B8 — GGbet odds: 1.85 / 2.08
  • 08:01Finished29.01.2026
    0B8Ukraine
  • 17:30 – BC.Game Esports vs 3DMAX — GGbet odds: 2.10 / 1.74
  • 10:45Finished29.01.2026
    23DMAXFrance
  • 17:30 – Team Liquid vs G2 Esports — GGbet odds: 2.19 / 1.73
  • 13:01Finished29.01.2026
    1Team LiquidNorth America
    2G2 EsportsEurope
  • 20:00 – Legacy vs FUT Esports — GGbet odds: 2.19 / 1.68
  • 13:25Finished29.01.2026
    0LegacyBrazil
  • 20:00 – Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Passion UA — GGbet odds: 1.80 / 2.08
  • 10:30Finished29.01.2026
  • 15:00 – GamerLegion vs Heroic — GGbet odds: 2.17 / 1.67
  • 08:01Finished30.01.2026
    0HeroicEurope
  • 15:00 – Astralis vs NRG — GGbet odds: 1.66 / 2.26
  • 08:00Finished30.01.2026
    1AstralisDenmark
    2NRGUnited States
Source: SL4M Telegram. Edited photo

Source: SL4M Telegram. Edited photo

Expert Predictions

Aurora Gaming vs PARIVISION
PARIVISION’s current form looks more stable, especially in structured defaults.
Prediction: PARIVISION win

paiN Gaming vs B8
Both teams are inconsistent, but B8’s discipline gives them slight value as underdogs.
Prediction: B8 win

BC.Game Esports vs 3DMAX
3DMAX’s confidence after the FUT upset could carry them through another tight BO3.
Prediction: 3DMAX win

Team Liquid vs G2 Esports
G2 have more firepower, but Liquid’s structure makes this closer than odds suggest.
Prediction: G2 Esports win

Legacy vs FUT Esports
FUT Esports are more polished tactically and generally stronger in structured, slower-paced games.Legacy will need early momentum to stay competitive.
Prediction: FUT Esports win

Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Passion UA
NiP’s LAN experience and deeper map understanding should be decisive over a full BO3, even if Passion UA can match them mechanically.
Prediction: Ninjas in Pyjamas win

GamerLegion vs Heroic
Heroic should respond after their opening loss if they clean up early-round mistakes.
Prediction: Heroic win

Astralis vs NRG
Astralis remain one of the most disciplined teams in the Play-In. NRG have improved, but still struggle against elite mid-round structure.
Prediction: Astralis win

Patryk’s Prediction Performance

Previous Record: 11 correct picks / 20 total
Accuracy: 55%
ROI: -27.7%

Final Thoughts

IEM Krakow 2026 is already proving that early rounds are where disciplined bettors can find both danger and opportunity. Upsets are frequent, favourites are vulnerable, and stylistic matchups matter more than brand names.

As the Play-In continues, sharper map analysis and understanding team identities will be essential — because at this level, every small edge counts.

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