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Football Betting Tips Monthly Digest: Biggest Upsets, Flops & Top Tipsters

02.11.2026, 03:57
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This month our network of 473 active tipsters logged a total of 64,253 football tips, averaging 2,073 tips per day across 513 leagues worldwide. The global win rate across all graded tips landed at 52.1%, with an average odds played of 2.11. The most tipped competition of the month was the UEFA Champions League – 2026/27 – League Phase, which alone attracted 2,931 tips. Every tip logged in this report is monitored 24/7 by our professional team of data managers to keep the numbers accurate and up to date.

This report is strictly for informational and educational purposes. It serves as a statistical showcase of market trends and historical performance within the sports betting niche and does not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to place specific bets. Past performance is not indicative of future results. We encourage all readers to view this data as a retrospective market analysis rather than a call to action. Please gamble responsibly and only bet what you can afford to lose.

Upset 20

This list highlights the 20 most unexpected results of the month. We looked at every football match and identified where the winner had the highest odds—meaning they were the least likely to win according to the bookmakers. The higher the odds in the ‘Winner Odds’ column, the bigger the surprise.

Tournament Match Score Winner Odds
International Friendly – 2026 – October Maldives vs Lebanon 0-6 19.00
UEFA Youth League – 2026/27 – League Phase Viking U19 vs Bayern Munich U19 2-0 17.00
Australian Championship – 2026 – Group D Queensland Lions vs South Hobart 1-2 14.00
Eliteserien – 2026 – Regular Season Bodo Glimt vs Valerenga 0-1 12.95
MOL Cup – 2026/27 – Round of 16 Sparta Prague vs Ostrava 0-2 11.43
Copa Libertadores – 2026 – Semifinals Flamengo RJ vs Estudiantes LP 2-3 11.16
Super League 1 – 2026/27 – Regular Season PAOK vs AO Kalamata 1-3 11.01
Prva Liga – FBiH – 2026/27 – Regular Season Posusje vs Jedinstvo Bihac 0-1 10.72
Primeira Liga – 2026/2027 – Regular Season Sporting CP vs Academico Viseu 1-2 10.27
Scottish Championship – 2026/27 – Regular Season Partick Thistle vs Morton 2-3 10.27
Australian Championship – 2026 – Group B Avondale vs Broadmeadow 1-2 10.12
Norwegian Football Cup – 2026/27 – Round 3 Rosenborg vs HamKam 1-2 9.99
Süper Lig – 2026/27 – Regular Season Gaziantep vs Corum 0-3 9.92
Ukrainian First League – 2026/2027 – Regular Season Kulykiv vs Probiy Horodenka 1-2 9.50
Norwegian Second Division – 2026 – Group A Brattvag vs Traff 4-5 9.50
Esiliiga B – 2026 – Regular Season Tabasalu vs Parnu JK Vaprus II 1-2 9.40
UEFA Champions League – 2026/27 – League Phase Sporting CP vs LASK 2-3 9.11
Copa Goiás U20 – 2026 – Round 2 Gremio U20 vs Operario PR U20 1-3 9.00
Tercera Federación – 2026/27 – Group 2 Gijon B vs EI San Martin 0-2 9.00
1. HNL – 2026/27 – Regular Season Rudes vs Dinamo Zagreb 1-0 8.99

Consensus Flops

The wisdom of the crowd isn’t always wise. This table highlights the Top 20 ‘Traps’ of the month—matches where an overwhelming majority of our tipsters (at least 85%) backed one team, only to see that bet fail. These results serve as a reminder: just because ‘everyone’ is betting on a favorite, it doesn’t guarantee a win. Use this to see which teams let the public down the most.

Date Tournament Match Score Failed Consensus Consensus Tips Outcome Odds
2026-10-03 Tweede Divisie – 2026/2027 – Regular Season Hoek vs De Treffers 3-1 Away (100.0%) 11 3.21
2026-10-04 International Friendly – 2026 – October Egypt vs South Africa 0-1 Home (100.0%) 15 5.07
2026-10-03 Canadian Premier League – 2026 – Regular Season York United vs Cavalry 3-1 Away (100.0%) 11 4.45
2026-10-03 Primera A – 2026 – Clausura Deportes Tolima vs Boyaca Chico 0-0 Home (100.0%) 15 4.73
2026-10-03 Scottish Championship – 2026/27 – Regular Season Livingston vs Ayr 1-2 Home (100.0%) 14 5.08
2026-10-03 EFL League Two – 2026/27 – Regular Season Grimsby vs Shrewsbury 1-2 Home (100.0%) 29 4.56
2026-10-02 UEFA European U21 Championship – 2027 Qualifiers – Group D England U21 vs Slovakia U21 0-0 Home (100.0%) 13 5.62
2026-10-02 Second Division A – 2026/27 – Regular Season Dayrot vs El Ismaily 2-2 Away (100.0%) 10 3.02
2026-10-03 Eerste Divisie – 2026/27 – Regular Season Waalwijk vs Emmen 1-1 Home (100.0%) 21 3.66
2026-10-03 International Friendly – 2026 – October Côte d’Ivoire vs Cameroon 0-1 Home (100.0%) 15 4.94
2026-10-01 Primera B – 2026 – Clausura Envigado FC vs Orsomarso 0-0 Home (100.0%) 20 3.41
2026-10-01 Canadian Premier League – 2026 – Regular Season Atletico Ottawa vs Cavalry 3-2 Away (100.0%) 15 4.44
2026-10-01 Second Division A – 2026/27 – Regular Season El Mansoura vs FC Masar 2-0 Away (100.0%) 11 3.53
2026-10-03 Campeonato Brasileiro Série B – 2026 – Regular Season Fortaleza vs Nautico 1-1 Home (100.0%) 13 3.58
2026-10-01 International Friendly – 2026 – October Japan vs Ecuador 0-0 Home (100.0%) 14 4.08
2026-10-02 Copa Paraguay – 2026 – Round of 16 Olimpia Asuncion vs Sportivo Luqueno 1-1 Home (100.0%) 15 4.05
2026-10-01 UAE League Cup – 2026/2027 – Preliminary Round Bani Yas vs Al Wahda 3-1 Away (100.0%) 10 3.61
2026-10-02 Eerste Divisie – 2026/27 – Regular Season Helmond vs Heracles 2-2 Away (100.0%) 28 4.70
2026-10-02 First Division – 2026 – Regular Season Bray vs Cobh Ramblers 1-4 Home (100.0%) 24 4.06
2026-10-04 La Liga 2 – 2026/2027 – Regular Season Castellon vs Ceuta 1-1 Home (100.0%) 32 6.34

League Voaltility

This section analyzes which tournaments were the most unpredictable this month. We rank them based on the Average Winning Odds – the higher this number, the more often the ‘less likely’ outcome occurred. We also show the Upset Rate (how often the favorite failed to win) and Draw Rate to give you a complete picture of why these specific leagues were so difficult to forecast.

Tournament Matches Analyzed Avg Winning Odds Upset Rate Draw Rate
UEFA Youth League – 2026/27 – League Phase 20 3.58 55.0% 10.0%
First Division – 2026 – Regular Season 15 3.37 80.0% 26.7%
1. HNL – 2026/27 – Regular Season 18 3.34 61.1% 16.7%
Eredivisie – 2026/27 – Regular Season 32 3.24 53.1% 31.3%
Liga de Expansión MX – 2026/27 – Apertura 20 3.24 60.0% 30.0%
Bundesliga – 2026/27 – Regular Season 34 3.18 47.1% 23.5%
International Friendly – 2026 – October 39 3.18 48.7% 20.5%
Veikkausliiga – 2026 – Championship 15 3.15 53.3% 26.7%
Primera B – 2026 – Clausura 21 3.07 66.7% 38.1%
Regionalliga Ost – 2026/27 – Regular Season 18 3.05 66.7% 50.0%

Most Tipped Clubs

This table lists the 20 clubs that generated the most betting action this month. We break down their activity to show you how often they were tipped (Total Tips), the average odds offered on their matches, and most importantly, the success rate. You can easily compare the club’s actual form (Team Wins) with the success of the predictions made on them (Tip Win %), helping you identify the most reliable teams to back.

Club Matches Total Tips Home Tips Away Tips Avg Odds Team Wins Winning Tips Tip Win %
Manchester City 7 432 329 103 1.73 4 161 37.3%
Aston Villa 8 429 348 81 2.36 5 223 52.0%
Roma 7 428 294 134 2.19 4 352 82.2%
Borussia Dortmund 7 413 152 261 2.29 3 165 40.0%
Stuttgart 8 397 128 269 1.98 5 219 55.2%
Inter 7 390 255 135 1.57 5 252 64.8%
Real Betis 7 386 338 48 2.40 4 297 79.8%
Paris Saint Germain 6 385 166 219 1.95 6 229 59.5%
RB Leipzig 7 383 181 202 4.42 5 361 94.3%
Real Madrid 5 379 195 184 1.92 5 283 74.7%
Barcelona 6 378 178 200 1.47 4 264 69.8%
Liverpool 6 376 201 175 1.86 4 268 71.3%
Arsenal 6 366 213 153 1.60 4 281 76.8%
Villarreal 6 365 181 184 3.39 2 202 55.3%
Bayern Munich 7 360 181 179 1.38 3 145 40.3%
Manchester United 6 355 114 241 2.73 0 190 53.5%
Como 6 354 156 198 2.61 4 218 61.6%
Atletico Madrid 6 354 143 211 1.72 5 292 82.5%
Lille 6 326 195 131 5.41 2 175 53.7%
Crystal Palace 8 319 90 229 3.86 2 172 54.3%

Tispter Leaderboards

This leaderboard ranks our top tipsters not just by total cash won, but by efficiency. The key metric here is ROI (Return on Investment), which tells you how much profit a tipster generates for every unit wagered. A high ROI means they are beating the bookies consistently, not just getting lucky with one massive bet. We also list their Average Odds alongside their Win Rate to reveal their style: notice how some ‘Sharpshooters’ maintain a high win rate on safer bets, while ‘Value Hunters’ might win less often but target much higher odds to generate massive profit. We have filtered this list to include only those with a significant number of bets to ensure these results are skill, not luck.

Tipster Total Bets Leagues Played Win Rate Avg Odds Total Profit ROI %
Byron David 12 6 75.0% 2.75 12.0439 100.37%
Marko Rudyk 18 5 77.8% 2.10 8.1440 45.24%
Richard Walker 21 4 66.7% 2.27 9.3429 44.49%
Akhil Fisher 14 4 57.1% 2.55 6.0071 42.91%
Chuck Booth 18 1 72.2% 2.04 7.2445 40.25%
Pardeep Cattry 18 1 66.7% 2.34 6.6746 37.08%
Andy Delaney 13 8 69.2% 1.94 4.4484 34.22%
SoccerDino 92 41 87.0% 1.50 30.5264 33.18%
Alina Tymcheniuk 30 14 60.0% 2.32 9.0278 30.09%
James Milton 12 8 75.0% 1.71 3.5964 29.97%
Ryan Allan 14 12 57.1% 2.41 3.7985 27.13%
tipstrike 55 11 69.1% 1.95 14.7827 26.88%
LiveTipsPortal 43 9 67.4% 2.04 11.4472 26.62%
Thobelani Moyo 16 9 68.8% 1.73 4.0461 25.29%
Oleksandr Domalchuk 21 8 66.7% 2.04 4.9716 23.67%
Alex Wrigley 19 4 57.9% 2.43 4.3927 23.12%
Diesel Engine 37 12 81.1% 1.55 8.4600 22.86%
Alan Johnson 15 3 60.0% 2.48 3.2907 21.94%
Santiago López 17 1 52.9% 2.56 3.7169 21.86%
Kingsley Kobo 17 8 70.6% 1.83 3.4986 20.58%
Victor Manieson 23 12 69.6% 1.79 4.3504 18.91%
Alexandre Dubois 14 1 50.0% 2.70 2.6157 18.68%
StaTips 30 18 43.3% 3.23 5.2565 17.52%
Graham Hartshorn 18 1 66.7% 1.95 3.1348 17.42%
Vitaly Ivanchuk 13 6 76.9% 1.46 2.0749 15.96%

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