Alex MacQuoid
From Struggles to Contenders
Just 11 weeks ago, Aston Villa were winless and languishing third from bottom in the Premier League. Fast forward to today, and under the guidance of Unai Emery, they sit third, with whispers of a title challenge growing louder. Saturday’s dramatic 2-1 victory over leaders Arsenal underscored their credentials, marking Emery’s 63rd Premier League win—the most in the club’s history.
Emery’s impact is undeniable. With a 54.94% win rate from 162 games, only Arsenal and Manchester City have amassed more points than Villa’s 67 from 34 games this season. Their Europa League campaign is also on track, with a crucial match against Basel on Thursday that could secure their spot in the last 16.
A Rocky Start
The season began in turmoil. Villa were in the bottom three, out of the Carabao Cup, and the last team in the Football League to score a goal. The departure of Monchi, Villa’s president of football operations, in September, coupled with restricted summer spending due to profit and sustainability rules (PSR), raised questions about Emery’s methods.
The squad felt the strain. After a remarkable rise from Premier League strugglers in 2022 to Champions League quarter-finalists in less than two years, exhaustion seemed to seep through the stands and the pitch. Early matches were lackluster—a goalless draw with Newcastle, a 1-0 defeat at Brentford, and a home loss to Crystal Palace that ended a 12-month unbeaten run at Villa Park.
Steadfast Belief
Despite the challenges, Emery remained unwavering. He resisted calls to overhaul his methods, instead doubling down on his convictions. The training ground at Bodymoor Heath became a fortress, with Emery demanding intense focus and maintaining his detailed video sessions. When questioned privately about tactical changes, he bristled, refusing to deviate from his approach.
Emery’s control at Villa is unparalleled—something he lacked during his stints at Arsenal and Paris St-Germain. His influence extended to the appointment of Roberto Olabe, Monchi’s replacement, and his trust in key staff like Damian Vidagany, director of football operations, has been pivotal.
Turning the Tide
The stats tell the story. Villa have won nine of their last 10 Premier League matches, with the only blemish a 2-0 defeat at Liverpool. They’ve also secured 13 victories in their last 15 games across all competitions. Yet, their performances haven’t been entirely convincing—except for a dominant 4-0 win over Bournemouth.
In their last five top-flight games, Villa have shown improved metrics: 8.8 expected goals (xG) compared to 3.8 at the start of the season, more shots (75 to 52), more big chances created (10 compared to six), and increased touches in the opposition box. The team is tackling more and showing greater resilience.
“I am not thinking about it (the title),” Emery said after the win over Arsenal. “I know 38 matches is very difficult. We are not a contender.”
Yet, with Emery at the helm, Villa’s rise is a testament to his perseverance and belief. As they prepare to strengthen in January, with teenage Brazilian winger Alysson close to joining from Gremio, the future looks bright. Emery’s steadfast approach has not only revived Villa but positioned them as serious contenders in the Premier League.