Sofia Quijada
The TipsGG Data team delivers a fresh betting digest packed with 11 expert predictions spanning the DFB-Pokal Final, the decisive La Liga Matchday 38, the final round of the Premier League, and a crucial Serie A relegation clash. Our biggest odds in this edition come from the Girona vs Elche red card market at 2.65, while a string of value picks across corners, cards, and goalscorer markets round out a compelling slate. Let’s break it all down.
Saturday Betting Digest, 23.05.2026
Bayern Munich vs Stuttgart
A southern derby in the DFB-Pokal Final for the first time in 13 years. This is Bayern Munich’s first final in this competition in six seasons and Stuttgart’s chance to defend the title they so memorably won a year ago. Any scenario is possible in this clash.
The Swabians have struggled to compete with the favourites lately, arriving on a run of five consecutive defeats in head-to-head meetings. Still, Sebastian Hoeness knows how to prepare his squad for big occasions and extract results when it matters most.
Bayern are under significant pressure heading into this battle. Their season’s success hinges on it. The Champions League exit was a disappointment. The league title is taken for granted, and even with excellent domestic form, few would dare call this a truly good season without the golden double.
These details should not be underestimated, especially given Bayern’s defensive errors this season. Meetings between these two sides always produce goals, and this one should be no different. Bayern are capable of a comfortable win, but Stuttgart will spring a surprise in the final too. This game will likely go the distance.
Prediction: Both Teams to Score & Total Goals Under 5.5 @ 2.05
Valencia vs Barcelona
Valencia have not yet lost their mathematical chance of reaching the European qualification zone. The team sits in 9th place with 46 points, while Getafe, who close out the top seven, have 48 points. The Madrid side are not in the best form right now and regularly drop points, so Los Murciélagos must give everything in their final match of the season. The previous round against Real Sociedad was a genuine blockbuster: Valencia grabbed an away lead before half-time (2:1), but in the second half the hosts scored twice and defender Eray Cömert lost concentration and received a straight red card. It seemed the game was over for Valencia, but in the closing minutes (89th and 93rd) Los Ches snatched victory while a man down (4:3).
Barcelona dealt with Betis at home in pragmatic fashion (3:1). The team is playing out the season at their leisure. The championship has already been secured, and in remarkable style: for the first time in history the title was decided directly in El Clásico. Barça are now using game time to honour players who will leave the club in the summer. The saga surrounding Marcus Rashford’s contract remains unresolved. The player has fitted in well, but the Catalan club’s financial difficulties have so far prevented them from offering the Englishman a permanent deal, and there is a possibility he will return to Manchester United at the end of the season.
We should see at least three goals. The hosts need nothing less than a win, forcing them to act aggressively, while the visitors have world-class talent and will find their attacking moments even without tournament motivation.
Prediction: Total Goals Over 3 @ 1.71
Girona vs Elche
Girona failed to capitalise on Atlético Madrid’s lack of motivation and lost on the road (0:1). The team remains a step away from relegation, sitting in 18th place with 40 points. The problem that has plagued the Catalans all season resurfaced: dreadful finishing. 25 shots, 11 on target, and zero goals. The red-and-whites rank third from bottom in goals scored, ahead of only Real Oviedo and Getafe. Míchel Sánchez’s side need nothing short of a win to preserve their top-flight status.
Elche, in 17th place with 42 points, would be perfectly satisfied with a draw. Their win over Getafe in the previous round (1:0) and a productive run since late March have pulled the team out of the danger zone. It is los Ilicitanos who are in a position to dictate terms. Recent matches have shown the team is ready to fight until the final whistle: in the game against Celta, the green-and-whites lost away (1:3) but never stopped trying to mount a comeback, playing sharper and more aggressively than their opponents throughout.
This match will be saturated with hard fouls and raw emotion. Two teams in a direct survival battle, so the game promises a high number of yellow cards. A sending-off is not out of the question either.
Prediction: Total Yellow Cards Over 4 @ 1.65
Alternative bet: A Red Card in the Match @ 2.65
Alavés vs Rayo Vallecano
Estadio Mendizorroza hosts a La Liga Matchday 38 fixture. Both sides approach the final act of the 2025/26 season in decent form, carrying unbeaten runs of 3 and 6 matches respectively. Alavés have virtually secured their survival, and the scenario of their relegation is more of a mathematical theory than a real threat. Recent results, including a victory over Barcelona (1:0), have allowed the Basques to feel considerably more relaxed. In their final home game of the season the team will look to put on a show for their fans without excessive pressure.
Rayo Vallecano find themselves in a peculiar situation. In just four days the Madrid club face a historic Conference League Final against Crystal Palace. Despite the importance of the European trophy, Los Relámpagos still have a chance to qualify for Europe through the domestic league. They need a result of their own and a slip from Getafe, who lead them by just one point. The need to manage workload and squad absences through suspensions will most likely force the coaching staff to rotate.
At home Alavés traditionally dominate the flanks, translating into a solid record on set pieces. Over the final stretch of the season the Basques won the corner count in 4 of their last 5 matches. Given that Rayo’s thoughts will partly be on their upcoming European final and the visitors’ lineup will see changes, initiative and pressure from the opening whistle should belong to the hosts.
Prediction: Alavés Corner Handicap (-1.5) @ 2.05
Mallorca vs Real Oviedo
Estadi Mallorca Son Moix hosts a La Liga Matchday 38 encounter that represents the hosts’ final chance to cling to survival, while the visitors have already officially lost all hope of rescue. Mallorca under Martín Demichelis are in a desperate position after their defeat to Levante last round. The Islanders now need a minor miracle to stay in La Liga: even their own victory combined with slips from rivals (Girona, Elche, Osasuna, Levante), who sit 1-3 points ahead, does not guarantee safety. The head-to-head record, the first tiebreaker when teams are level on points, does not favour Mallorca among the clubs fighting for survival.
Real Oviedo, after their first season back in La Liga following a long absence, are heading back to the Segunda División. The team approach the final match on a six-game winless streak (2 draws and 4 defeats). Away form has been the Asturians’ biggest problem in 2025/26: just one win in their last 14 away fixtures, regularly conceding multiple goals.
The motivation factor here is completely polarised. Mallorca will storm the visitors’ defensive lines from the first minute in search of an early goal to apply psychological pressure. Vedat Muriqi, the attacking leader and top scorer for the Islanders, is capable of deciding matches like these on his own. Given the visitors’ squad losses and deflated morale, the hosts hold all the cards for a confident three-point haul.
Prediction: Vedat Muriqi to Score & Mallorca Win @ 2.03
Getafe vs Osasuna
The Coliseum hosts a La Liga Matchday 38 clash that will decide a European qualification spot for next season. Getafe have a real chance to return to the European stage for the first time since 2019/20. The situation for José Bordalás’s men is crystal clear: they lead Rayo Vallecano by one point, so a win guarantees a finish in the Conference League zone regardless of parallel results. Despite squad issues, including suspensions for captain Djené Dakonam and forward Martín Satriano, Los Azulones are favourites at home, where they traditionally play pragmatic, uncompromising football.
Osasuna have shown poor form over the past month, suffering four consecutive defeats. Their away record, just 17th in the league for points on the road, is unlikely to allow them to pose a serious challenge to an opponent motivated by a potential European berth.
Getafe, backed by their fans, will likely take control from the opening minutes, while Osasuna’s unreliable away defence (goals conceded in each of their last five matches) should crack under pressure. Expect the hosts to avoid defeat and at least two goals in the match.
Prediction: Getafe Double Chance (1X) & Total Goals Over 1.5 @ 2.01
Sunday Betting Digest, 24.05.2026
Burnley vs Wolverhampton
The final match of the season at Turf Moor might appear devoid of significance at first glance. Burnley and Wolverhampton have already lost their place in the top flight, but they now meet in a direct battle for pride and the right to avoid finishing bottom of the table. For both relegated sides this is the last chance to slam the door, repay their fans for their patience, and end a gruelling year on a positive note. For star players who will most likely change clubs in the summer, it is an opportunity to make a statement in front of a wide audience.
The Clarets lost their elite status primarily due to a weak defence. As experience shows, even with a mediocre attack (37 goals scored in 37 rounds against 74 conceded) a team can grind out results, but Burnley could never establish a reliable backline. They did put up a decent showing against Arsenal last round, losing only 0:1 and defying every analyst who predicted a rout. That said, it was Arsenal’s pragmatism rather than Burnley’s defensive solidity that kept the scoreline tight.
Wolverhampton repeated an unwanted record this season, becoming the team that went longest without a win in the league. Their first victory came only in Matchday 20. Things improved slightly after that, but it was too little too late. The gold-and-blacks are winless in 8 consecutive games and sit bottom of the table with a goal difference of -41. The main task for Rob Edwards in this match is to secure a win and drop to the Championship from at least not the very last place in the Premier League.
Neither side has any reason to sit back in defence, so expect an entertaining and high-scoring affair.
Prediction: Total Goals Over 2.5 @ 1.74
Liverpool vs Brentford
Liverpool’s difficult run against top-10 opponents continues, and Arne Slot’s side are not meeting the challenges set before them. Two defeats against Manchester United and Aston Villa, plus a draw with Chelsea (who had been on a poor run themselves), confirm the Merseysiders’ crisis. The atmosphere in the dressing room appears strained: talisman Mohamed Salah will most likely leave the club due to a conflict with the head coach. The ownership has chosen to place full trust in the manager, who delivered the long-awaited league title last year.
Brentford continue their push for European football, and with a favourable set of results on the final day they could even leap into the Europa League zone. The team trail Brighton by one point and sit level with Chelsea on points but behind on tiebreakers, so they clearly have no intention of giving up. The end of the season has been tough (two defeats to the Manchester clubs and a string of frustrating draws), but it would be wrong to label the Bees as clear underdogs here, even with the Anfield factor.
Brentford should take at least a point from this one. Liverpool look broken from within and are waiting for a summer rebuild. The visitors’ persistence, desire, and commitment should play a decisive role.
Prediction: Brentford Double Chance (X2) @ 2.01
West Ham vs Leeds United
The London Stadium hosts a Premier League Matchday 38 fixture of enormous importance for the Hammers’ survival in the top flight. West Ham are in a critical position on the final day of the 2025/26 season. To stay in English football’s elite the Londoners need nothing less than a win combined with a favourable result elsewhere. Tottenham lead them by 2 points and hold a massive advantage on goal difference (-10 vs -22), so Nuno Espírito Santo’s men must beat Leeds and hope Spurs lose to Everton at home. Any other outcome sends the hosts to the Championship.
Leeds United under Daniel Farke have fully accomplished their season’s objective, securing a safe finish in their first year back from the second division. The Whites are not going through the motions, though: the team are in excellent spirits, unbeaten in eight consecutive league matches (including 4 wins in their last 6). Despite the absence of tournament pressure, the visitors’ freedom and sharp form make them a serious threat to a cornered opponent.
This game promises to be tense and fierce, with West Ham’s Premier League status on the line. The hosts will act aggressively and on the edge of the rules from the first minute, trying to break down the visitors’ organised defence. The statistical trend backs this up: in 4 of their last 5 matches involving West Ham, referees consistently showed at least 4 yellow cards. Given the colossal stakes, the emotion on the pitch, and the uncompromising British style of both teams, the booking count should be substantial once again.
Prediction: Total Yellow Cards Over 3.5 @ 1.80
Manchester City vs Aston Villa
In the previous Premier League round Manchester City drew away at Bournemouth (1:1) and with one matchday remaining fell four points behind Arsenal, who clinched the title. The news of Pep Guardiola’s departure at the end of the season has likely weighed on the players’ morale. Stones and Silva will also leave the club. At home City will want to give the legendary trio a spectacular send-off. The mood will be serious.
Aston Villa are unlikely to put up much resistance: they have guaranteed Champions League qualification, as they can no longer drop below fifth place. On top of that, the Birmingham club won the Europa League, dispatching Freiburg 3:0 on May 20. City had an extra day of recovery time.
Villa’s away form has been inconsistent (just 6 wins and 24 points from 18 Premier League away games), and City have won 15 consecutive home meetings against the Birmingham side.
The Citizens should take this one.
Prediction: Manchester City Win & Total Goals Over 2.5 @ 1.49
Cremonese vs Como
Cremonese have won their last two matches, keeping their survival hopes alive. But the task is extremely difficult. Beating Como is essential and far from straightforward, and they also need Genoa to slip up away at Lecce. Jamie Vardy’s goalscoring touch has resurfaced for Cremonese, but can the Englishman crack the Laríans’ defence?
Como have already achieved something historic by qualifying for European competition in just their second season back in Serie A. The ambition of the ownership, financial investment, and the work of Cesc Fàbregas have paid off. The Laríans still have a shot at reaching the Champions League, and it would be unwise not to pursue it.
The opponent is backed into a corner, and Como’s scoring output has dipped recently under mounting pressure. But the visitors are capable of taking all three points.
Prediction: Como Win & Total Goals Under 4.5 @ 1.90
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FAQ
- What are the best DFB-Pokal Final betting tips for Bayern Munich vs Stuttgart?
Our expert pick is Both Teams to Score & Total Goals Under 5.5 at odds of 2.05, reflecting the attacking quality of both sides and Bayern’s defensive vulnerabilities in cup finals. - Where can I find reliable La Liga Matchday 38 predictions?
TipsGG’s Data team covers every decisive fixture of the final round, including relegation battles (Girona vs Elche, Mallorca vs Real Oviedo) and European qualification deciders (Getafe vs Osasuna). - How does the Premier League relegation battle affect West Ham vs Leeds betting odds?
West Ham need a win and a Tottenham loss to survive, creating extreme pressure that our analysts expect to translate into aggressive play and a high yellow card count (Over 3.5 at 1.80). - Are there any value bets in the Liverpool vs Brentford match?
Yes. With Liverpool’s internal struggles and Brentford chasing a Europa League spot, the Brentford Double Chance (X2) at 2.01 represents strong value. - Which Serie A relegation picks does TipsGG recommend for Cremonese vs Como?
Our prediction is a Como Win & Total Goals Under 4.5 at 1.90, based on Como’s European ambitions and Cremonese’s difficult overall situation. - What is the expert prediction for Manchester City vs Aston Villa on the final Premier League matchday?
We back a Manchester City Win & Total Goals Over 2.5 at 1.49, given the emotional farewell for departing legends and Villa’s poor away record. - How can I get automated football betting signals instead of subjective forecasts?
TipsGG Premium processes over 80,000 monthly picks from verified tipsters, using mathematical models to surface value bets in real time. Visit tips.gg/premium to get started.