Liam Duckstein
Yunnan Yukun and Henan Songshan Longmen meet at the Yuxi Plateau Sports Center Stadium on July 3 in a Chinese Super League clash that carries real mid-table weight. Both sides sit within three points of each other in the standings, with Yunnan on 19 points and Henan on 16. The gap is tight enough that either team could use this fixture to separate themselves from the bottom half of the table.
One player to watch closely is Oscar Maritu, Yunnan’s foreign forward who scored twice in their last outing against Suzhou Dongwu. His direct running and finishing ability make him the most dangerous attacker on the pitch. For Henan, midfielder Bruno dos Santos Nazário put in a sharp display with five shots and one goal in recent action, and his ability to drive forward from central areas gives Henan a real creative threat.
Hot stat: Yunnan Yukun have scored in each of their last four matches, including a 4-2 win over Suzhou Dongwu, suggesting their attack has found some momentum heading into this home fixture.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Chinese Super League 2026, Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | Yuxi Plateau Sports Center Stadium, Yuxi |
| 🗓️ Date: | 03.07.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 14:00 CEST |
Yunnan Yukun vs Henan Songshan Longmen Prediction
This is a genuinely open match. Yunnan hold a slight home advantage and the bookmakers reflect that with a 39% win probability for the hosts, but Henan’s 35% share shows this is far from a one-sided affair. We predict a draw is a real possibility here given both teams have drawn heavily across their recent form runs. Yunnan’s form line shows six draws in their last fifteen games, and Henan have seven draws from fifteen. Both sides are tactically cautious under their respective coaches.
Yunnan under Jordi Vinyals tend to play with a 4-3-3 structure that focuses on compact defending and fast transitions. Their foul numbers are relatively low and they keep discipline in midfield. Henan under Daniel Ramos are more possession-oriented, averaging 327 passes in recent games with a 237 pass accuracy figure across the last five matches. They commit fouls more freely, racking up 17 total fouls and two yellow cards in their most recent sample. That physical approach could generate set-piece opportunities at the Yuxi Plateau, but it also risks giving away dangerous free kicks to a Yunnan side capable of punishing them.
Henan’s corner count of five in recent games versus Yunnan’s single corner suggests Ramos’s team pushes wider and generates more wide-area pressure. We predict the total corners market leans toward Henan’s favor in this one.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Henan Songshan Longmen to earn a corner kick in the first half |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Under 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 7.5 |
Team Analysis
Yunnan Yukun enter this match off the back of a strong 4-2 victory over Suzhou Dongwu, their best attacking display in recent weeks. Oscar Maritu led the charge with two goals, and midfielders Ye Chugui and Zhang Yufeng both contributed assists in that performance. Before that result, Yunnan drew 1-1 with Wuhan Three Towns and lost 2-3 to Qingdao Youth Island, so their form has been inconsistent. A draw against Chongqing Tongliangloong and a 1-0 win over Shanghai Shenhua round out their last five outings. To be honest, Yunnan look more dangerous at home when their forward line is given space to work in behind.
Henan Songshan Longmen’s most recent result was a 1-2 defeat to Shanghai Port, which snapped a short run of positive form. Prior to that, they beat Jiangxi Lushan 2-0 in a cup fixture, and they suffered a 0-2 loss to Zhejiang Professional before that. Their earlier wins over Beijing Guoan (2-1) and Tianjin Jinmen Tiger (2-1) showed they can grind out results against mid-table competition. Zhong Yihao has been contributing both goals and defensive work up front, while Liu Jiahui scored from the backline in recent action. Henan’s squad has depth, but their away record this season raises questions.
🚨Check out our dedicated Yunnan Yukun vs Henan Songshan Longmen stats page for more info.
Pre-game Odds and Win Probability: Yunnan Yukun the Favourite
- Moneyline Yunnan Yukun 2.47 | Henan Songshan Longmen 2.71
- Draw 3.71
- Over/Under Over 2.5 — | Under 2.5 —
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes — | No —
Pinnacle’s lines are the sharpest here and they give Yunnan a slight edge at 2.47 versus Henan’s 2.71. The draw at 3.71 is reasonably priced given how draw-heavy both teams have been this season. The bookmakers’ average win probability is essentially a coin flip with a slight lean toward Yunnan, which makes the home win at 2.45 to 2.47 a fair value play. We would not chase the Henan price given their inconsistency on the road, and the draw at 3.50 to 3.71 offers decent value for those who lean toward a tight, low-scoring contest.
Possible Starting Lineups
Yunnan Yukun Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: Bao Yaxiong
- DF: Andrei Burcă, Yi Teng, Yang Zihao, Li Songyi
- MF: Caio Vinicius da Conceição, Ye Chugui, Zhang Yufeng
- FW: Oscar Maritu, Fei Ernanduo, Zhao Yuhao
Yunnan are expected to line up in their familiar 4-3-3 shape under Jordi Vinyals. Bao Yaxiong starts in goal after logging 90 minutes in the last match. Andrei Burcă anchors the backline as the experienced foreign defender, with Yi Teng and Yang Zihao providing cover on either side. Oscar Maritu is the standout name in attack after his brace last time out, and Fei Ernanduo offers pace and direct running off the other flank. Zhao Yuhao, who scored in the last game, could push into a more advanced midfield role depending on Vinyals’s setup. Ye Chugui and Zhang Yufeng both provided assists recently and should feature prominently in the creative build-up.
Henan Songshan Longmen Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: Shi Chenglong
- DF: Yeljan Shinar, Oliver Gerbig, Lucas Jaques Varone Maia, Liu Jiahui
- MF: Bruno dos Santos Nazário, Huang Ruifeng, Wang Shangyuan
- FW: Zhong Yihao, Gustavo, Yang Yilin
Henan are also expected to deploy a 4-3-3 system under Daniel Ramos. Shi Chenglong takes the goalkeeping duties. The back four includes Yeljan Shinar and Oliver Gerbig as the central pairing, with Lucas Jaques Varone Maia and Liu Jiahui providing width. Liu Jiahui is worth watching as a goal threat from set pieces, having scored from deep in recent games. Bruno dos Santos Nazário is the most dangerous midfielder in this squad, and his combination with Gustavo in the final third could cause Yunnan’s defense problems. Wang Shangyuan adds the assist threat from deeper midfield positions.
🏅Tips.GG Premium Subscription Brings You Even Closer to WIN!🏅
- Gain access to the most profitable bets by using our analysis of over 60,000 monthly predictions from 1000+ sources.
- Premium users enjoy predictions from tipsters with the highest win rate while also gaining access to favorable odds, outcome calculation, and quick filter to favorable odds.
- Unlock the “Golden Bet” – our unique formula for the best high-odd betting opportunities! Get detailed reports on our system’s performance, including Winrate, ROI, and Yield.
Henan Songshan Longmen. Source: Official Instagram. Edited photo
TipsGG Match Prediction
This match sets up as a tight, low-scoring affair between two evenly matched sides. Yunnan carry more attacking momentum after their 4-2 win, and home advantage at the Yuxi Plateau Sports Center Stadium gives them a real edge. Henan are the more possession-focused team and will look to control tempo through Huang Ruifeng and Wang Shangyuan, but their foul count and disciplinary record suggest they can be disrupted by direct play.
We predict Yunnan Yukun to win 1-0 or 2-1, with both teams finding the net across a competitive 90 minutes. The value bet is on both teams to score, given neither side has kept consistent clean sheets recently. Henan’s away form is the biggest concern, and Yunnan’s home record this season supports backing the hosts to take all three points. Perhaps the most telling factor is that the last head-to-head at this venue ended in a Henan win, which gives Yunnan’s squad extra motivation to correct that result in front of their own supporters.
