Patryk Stachowiak
Victor Wembanyama has been dominant across his first two Western Conference Finals appearances, averaging 31.0 points, 20.5 rebounds, and 4.5 assists per game against the Oklahoma City Thunder. The San Antonio Spurs host Game 3 at 8:30 p.m. ET, with Wembanyama‘s rebounds + assists over/under set at 17.5.
SportsLine NBA expert Mike Barner is backing Wembanyama to exceed that total, pointing to his 27 combined rebounds and assists in a double-overtime Game 1 and 23 combined over 37 minutes in Game 2. On the other side, SportsLine expert David Bearman is fading Thunder center Chet Holmgren, who is averaging just 10.5 points per game in this series against a points over/under of 13.5.
Barner enters Game 3 on a 133-92 run on his NBA picks, returning over $2,300 in betting profit for $100 players on his NBA player props. Bearman sits at 16-8 (+662) on his NBA player props this stretch.
Top NBA Player Prop Picks: Thunder vs. Spurs Game 3
- Victor Wembanyama, Spurs, Over 17.5 rebounds + assists
- Chet Holmgren, Thunder, Under 13.5 points
- Julian Champagnie, Spurs, Over 10.5 points
Victor Wembanyama, Spurs — Over 17.5 Rebounds + Assists
Wembanyama averaged just 29 minutes per game during the regular season, but over his last 10 playoff games that figure has climbed to 33 minutes. At that workload, he has grabbed at least 15 rebounds six times in that span.
“He posted 27 combined rebounds and assists with Game 1 against the Thunder going to double overtime. In Game 2, he had 23 combined over 37 minutes. With the home crowd behind him and the Spurs trying to go up 2-1 in the series, I think Wembanyama plays around 35 minutes and has enough opportunities to hit this over.” — Mike Barner, SportsLine
Chet Holmgren, Thunder — Under 13.5 Points
Holmgren‘s numbers against the Spurs this season tell a clear story. In six games vs. San Antonio, he is averaging 10.5 points, eclipsing 14.5 just once. His field goal percentage against the Spurs sits at 39.6%, well below his 55.7% season average, and he has not attempted more than 10 shots in any of those matchups.
“He got to 13 in Game 2, with 7 of the points coming in one spurt with Victor Wembanyama on the bench. In 11 career games vs. Wemby and the Spurs, Holmgren is averaging 12.7 PPG.” — David Bearman, SportsLine
Julian Champagnie, Spurs — Over 10.5 Points
Julian Champagnie shot 1-of-7 from deep in Game 2, finishing with just eight points. Despite that performance, he is still converting at 40 percent from three-point range this postseason. Injuries to Dylan Harper and De’Aaron Fox open the door for additional scoring volume, and his home shooting splits reinforce the value of this bet.
“He was a much better shooter at home during the regular season (46.2 percent overall compared to 41.8 percent on the road).” — Larry Hartstein, SportsLine
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