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Standard Liege vs Gent Prediction: 23.01.2026 Pro League 2025/26 Preview

22.01.2026, 18:03

Standard Liege hosts Gent in a Pro League regular season clash at Stade Maurice Dufrasne, with both sides looking to reinforce their top-six ambitions. Standard Liege, under Vincent Euvrard, enter the match sitting 12th, needing consistency to bridge the gap to European spots. Gent, led by Rik De Mil, currently sits 6th, their recent upturn in form boosting their playoff credentials. One subtle layer to this match: Standard’s goal drought at home, contrasting sharply with Gent’s attacking output in away ties.

Key players to monitor include Gent’s Hyllarion Goore, who netted twice in his last three matches and brings direct threat to Liege’s defense, and Standard’s Casper Nielsen, whose work rate and single recent goal make him the main creative spark for the hosts. Notably, Standard’s defensive midfielder Marco Ilaimaharitra stands out due to his dual role in break-up play and ball progression. Gent’s Wilfried Kanga also merits attention, given his consistent involvement in Gent’s attacking phases.

Hot stat: Gent has scored six goals and conceded just two in their last three matches, highlighting their improved offensive efficiency and defensive organization since the winter break.

14:45Finished23.01.2026
4GentBelgium
🏆 Tournament: Pro League 2025/26 (Regular Season)
🏟 Venue: Stade Maurice Dufrasne, Liege
🗓️ Date: 23.01.2026
⏰ Time: 21:45 CEST

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Standard Liege vs Gent prediction

The best value prediction for this matchup is Gent Draw No Bet. Bookmakers have priced Gent marginally as favourites (average moneyline 2.52 vs 2.85 for Standard). Gent’s recent offensive surge—scoring four against Anderlecht and two against CFR Cluj—compared to Liege’s sporadic output (just one goal in three league matches) underscores the visitor’s edge. Gent’s 4-2-3-1 has maximized the strengths of Goore and Kanga, allowing them to exploit Standard’s vulnerability in transition.

Both teams play a moderately high pressing style, but Gent’s superior ball recovery (22 interceptions per recent match vs Standard’s 15) and attacking initiative (35 shots to Liege’s 18 over their last five matches) set them apart. Standard’s tendency to accumulate cards (two yellows per match) and fouls (17 fouls, 1 red in five) signal possible discipline issues, particularly under sustained pressure. Expect Gent’s front four to engineer more high-quality chances, while Standard will likely depend on set-pieces and individual moments.

🔥Hot Tip: Gent Draw No Bet
⚽Total Goals: Under 2.5
💥Both Teams To Score: No
🎯Total Corners: Over 9

Team Analysis

Standard Liege recent games: The Liege side’s record (LLWL) reflects overt struggles with conversion and defensive lapses. In the 0-2 defeat to Charleroi, Standard managed just two shots on target, frequently surrendering possession in their own half. Their narrow 1-0 win over Dender showcased improved organization, but offensive creativity remained lacking, with only a single goal from a defensive error. The shock 3-2 friendly win over Hertha Berlin was an anomaly, boosted by rotational German squads. Overall, Standard’s strategy hinges on defensive resilience and opportunistic attacking, but recent data calls their attacking depth into question.

12:30Finished18.01.2026
2CharleroiBelgium

Gent recent games: Gent’s last four matches (WLWW) reveal a side surging at the right time. Their 4-2 victory over Anderlecht featured a brace from Goore and energetic pressing high up the pitch. Even in the 0-1 slip to Anderlecht in the prior clash, Gent controlled possession and registered 12 shots. The 2-0 defeat of CFR Cluj in Europe highlighted defensive maturity and effective wing play, while their earlier solid win against Westerlo (2-0) demonstrated coherent team transitions and pressing triggers. Gent’s ability to alter tempo and maintain numerical superiority in midfield remains a consistent edge.

07:30Finished18.01.2026
4GentBelgium
2AnderlechtBelgium

Possible Starting Lineups

Standard Liege possible starting eleven

  • GK: Lucas Pirard
  • DF: Ibe Hautekiet, Henry Lawrence, Daan Dierckx, Boli Bolingoli-Mbombo
  • MF: Marco Ilaimaharitra, Casper Nielsen, Tobias Mohr, Nayel Mehssatou
  • FW: Dennis Eckert, Adnane Abid

Standard should deploy their usual 4-2-3-1, anchored by Pirard in goal and the steady presence of Dierckx and Lawrence at centre-back. Ilaimaharitra and Nielsen provide ball-winning and distribution, while Mohr and Mehssatou offer both defensive coverage and box entries. Eckert leads the line with Abid tasked with exploiting wide spaces; Mohr and Nielsen’s ability to transition quickly is vital, as Standard will likely cede possession and aim to hit Gent on the break.


Gent possible starting eleven

  • GK: Davy Roef
  • DF: Tiago Araújo, Siebe Van Der Heyden, Maksim Paskotsi, Matties Volckaert
  • MF: Atsuki Ito, Leonardo Da Silva Lopes, Abdelkahar Kadri
  • FW: Hyllarion Goore, Wilfried Kanga, Momodou Sonko

Gent also sticks to a 4-2-3-1, with Roef between the posts and a likely central pairing of Van Der Heyden and Paskotsi, both aggressive in distribution. Ito and Da Silva Lopes control midfield transitions, while Kadri acts as the link to the front three. Goore and Sonko’s pace, coupled with Kanga’s hold-up play, will test Liege’s defensive discipline. Expect De Mil to rotate wings and maintain pressing intensity, with Goore’s recent scoring form particularly noteworthy.

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

Statistic Standard Liege Gent
Total shots 12 32
Free kicks 19 17
Corner kicks 9 14
Total fouls 25 31
Pass accuracy (%) 79 85
Interceptions 21 27
Offsides 2 4

🚨Read our full Standard Liege vs Gent stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Gent the favourite

  • Moneyline Standard Liege 2.84 | Gent 2.52
  • Draw 3.16
  • Over/Under Over 2.5 1.90 | Under 2.5 1.82
  • BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.85 | No 1.95

Odds marginally favour Gent due to their recent uptrend in performance metrics and head-to-head dominance—10 goals in the last three meetings with Standard, all without reply. The pricing for under 2.5 goals reflects Standard’s scoring struggles and a trend towards tighter contests. BTTS is balanced, but Gent’s defensive improvement and Standard’s erratic final third play tilt value to ‘No’.

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Gent. Source: Official Instagram. Edited photo

Gent. Source: Official Instagram. Edited photo

My take on the Match

This fixture profiles as a low-scoring contest, with Gent holding the edge. The recommendation is Gent (Draw No Bet), given their sharper form, superior attacking options, and recent defensive solidity. Standard’s attacking challenges and historical struggles against Gent—no goals in three meetings, conceding ten—are unlikely to be reversed without tactical innovation. Expect Gent to control midfield and create more high-value opportunities, while Standard may rely on set plays and long shots. The best betting angle remains leaning towards Gent with event coverage on the draw.

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