Rafael Nogueira
These two African women’s sides meet again in Bergen just days after their first clash in this June friendly window, which Nigeria won 2-1. The Super Falcons carry clear momentum into this rematch, and the bookmakers agree heavily, pricing Nigeria as strong favourites at around 1.26. Senegal coach Jeff Strasser will need a tactical adjustment after his side was outclassed in that opener. One player to watch is Nigeria’s creative engine in the midfield, who has been central to the team’s pressing game under Randy Waldrum. On the Senegal side, the forward line showed enough quality in the 5-4 win over Ivory Coast earlier this year to suggest they can trouble any defence when the system clicks.
Hot stat: Senegal scored five goals in a single match against Ivory Coast (W) in April 2026, their highest-scoring performance across the last five recorded games, yet they followed that up with back-to-back draws against Burkina Faso (W) and then a loss to Nigeria, highlighting a sharp inconsistency in output.
| 🏆 Tournament: | International Friendly 2026, June |
| 🏟 Venue: | Brann Stadion, Bergen |
| 🗓️ Date: | 08.06.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 17:00 CEST |
Senegal (W) vs Nigeria (W) Prediction
Nigeria (W) are the clear selection here. They won the first meeting 2-1, carry a 100% win rate over the last 30 days, and hold a 67% win rate across three matches in 2026 compared to Senegal’s 33%. The Super Falcons have shown they can grind out results against lower-ranked African opposition and also beat quality sides, winning 3-1 against Cameroon (W) in May. Senegal’s form over 15 matches shows a patchy sequence with multiple losses and draws, while Nigeria’s equivalent run is stacked with wins.
Senegal operate in a 4-2-3-1 shape, which can offer defensive compactness but leaves them exposed on the counter when the double pivot is bypassed. Nigeria’s 3-5-2 system floods the midfield and suits the kind of high-tempo pressing that troubled Senegal in the first game. With wide wingbacks in a 3-5-2, Nigeria will look to stretch Senegal’s four-man backline. We predict Nigeria to win, and a repeat of a narrow scoreline is plausible given Senegal did manage a goal in the first match.
- Main prediction: Nigeria (W) to Win
- Value pick: Nigeria (W) to Win & Both Teams to Score
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Nigeria (W) to Win & Both Teams to Score |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 6.5 |
Team Analysis
Senegal (W) have played three matches in 2026, winning one, losing one, and drawing one. Their most recent result before the June window was a 3-3 draw with Burkina Faso (W), sandwiched around a 1-0 win in the same double-header. Before that, the 5-4 win over Ivory Coast (W) showed attacking ability, but also a defence that conceded four. In the most recent match, the 1-2 loss to Nigeria (W) on June 4, Senegal managed just one goal and were outplayed by a sharper side. Jeff Strasser’s 4-2-3-1 has not consistently delivered defensive solidity, and the team’s longer form line of lwwwwwwldldwwdl, while not terrible, shows vulnerability against quality African opposition.
Nigeria (W) have been in strong form across 2026, winning two of three matches. Under Randy Waldrum, the team beat Cameroon (W) 3-1 in May after losing 0-1 to the same side in the first leg of that double-header, showing the ability to bounce back. Earlier in the year, they beat Benin (W) 2-0 after a 1-1 draw in the first leg. Their most recent performance, the 2-1 win over Senegal (W) on June 4, was a composed result against a side that had shown attacking intent in previous matches. The 3-5-2 formation gives Nigeria width through wingbacks and a physical midfield platform, making them difficult to break down while remaining dangerous on the transition.
Most Recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Senegal (W) | Nigeria (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 2 |
| Total shots | N/A | N/A |
| Free kicks | N/A | N/A |
| Corner kicks | N/A | N/A |
| Total fouls | N/A | N/A |
| Pass accuracy (%) | N/A | N/A |
| Interceptions | N/A | N/A |
| Offsides | N/A | N/A |
🚨Check out our dedicated Senegal (W) vs Nigeria (W) stats page for more info.
Pre-game Odds and Win Probability: Nigeria (W) the Favourite
- Moneyline Senegal (W) 7.80–9.00 | Nigeria (W) 1.26–1.27
- Draw 4.60–5.10
- Over/Under Over 2.5 N/A | Under 2.5 N/A
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes N/A | No N/A
The bookmakers’ average of 71% implied probability for a Nigeria win aligns with the match data. Nigeria at 1.26–1.27 is short, but justifiably so given the head-to-head result just four days prior and the form differential. Senegal at 7.80–9.00 reflects longshot status, which is fair. The draw at 4.60–5.10 offers mild interest only if you believe Senegal can tighten up defensively, but their recent record does not support that case. To be honest, backing Nigeria at even 1.26 is the disciplined call here, given the volume of evidence pointing in one direction.
Senegal (W). Source: Official Facebook
Possible Starting Lineups
Senegal (W) Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: Nogaye Diallo
- DF: Fatou Diallo, Adjaratou Ndiaye, Ndéye Khadidiatou Diedhiou, Mame Dieye
- MF: Awa Diallo, Haby Sarr, Yacine Sarr
- FW: Mariama Diallo, Mbayang Sow, Fatoumata Diallo
Jeff Strasser is expected to stick with his 4-2-3-1 shape, using a double pivot to try and limit Nigeria’s midfield dominance. Mbayang Sow in the attacking midfield role is the player most likely to create something for Senegal, and she will need to find pockets of space behind Nigeria’s high wingbacks. The back four will be tested early and often.
Nigeria (W) Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: Chiamaka Nnadozie
- DF: Osinachi Ohale, Michelle Alozie, Uchenna Kanu
- MF: Rasheedat Ajibade, Deborah Abiodun, Christy Ucheibe, Halimatu Ayinde, Toni Payne
- FW: Asisat Oshoala, Gift Monday
Randy Waldrum’s 3-5-2 gives the Super Falcons a strong spine. Chiamaka Nnadozie is among the best goalkeepers on the continent and provides a reliable last line. Asisat Oshoala, perhaps the most recognisable name in African women’s football, leads the attack and is the player most likely to punish any Senegal defensive mistake. Rasheedat Ajibade’s ability to operate between the lines adds another dimension. Nigeria’s wingbacks in this setup push high and give the team width, which proved effective in the first meeting.
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Nigeria (W). Source: Official Facebook
TipsGG Match Prediction
Nigeria (W) are the pick, and the case is straightforward. They beat Senegal four days ago, they carry better 2026 form, and their 3-5-2 system is tactically suited to exploit a Senegal side that concedes regularly. Senegal did score in the last meeting, so both teams to score has merit, and the 5-4 aggregate scoreline in their Ivory Coast double-header earlier this year shows this Senegal attack is not toothless. We predict a Nigeria win in a match that produces goals at both ends, with the Super Falcons securing a second straight win over their West African rivals. A 2-1 or 3-1 scoreline for Nigeria reflects the most likely range of outcomes based on the available data.
