Liam Duckstein
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Hapoel Beer Sheva open their Europa League league phase campaign against Dinamo Zagreb, though calling this a “home” fixture for the Israeli side is a stretch. Due to ongoing security regulations, Beer Sheva’s official home leg is being staged at the Rapid-Giulesti Stadium in Bucharest, hundreds of miles from their own supporters. That quirk alone changes the complexion of this game, since neither club gets a true home advantage on the night.
Dinamo Zagreb arrive as clear favourites according to the bookmakers, and their season so far backs that up. Beer Sheva, meanwhile, have shown they can score goals but leak them just as easily at the other end.
Amir Chaim Ganah has featured in every one of Beer Sheva’s last five matches and remains their most reliable forward outlet, chipping in with a goal from the front line. On the Dinamo side, Dion Drena Beljo has been the man to watch, scoring twice in just three recent appearances and looking like the focal point of Kovacevic’s attack whenever he starts.
Hot stat: Hapoel Beer Sheva have picked up three red cards across their last five matches, a startling disciplinary record when set against Dinamo Zagreb’s zero in the same stretch. That kind of indiscipline could prove costly against a side with Dinamo’s squad depth.
| 🏆 Tournament: | UEFA Europa League 2026/27, League Phase |
| 🏟 Venue: | Rapid-Giulesti Stadium, Bucharest |
| 🗓️ Date: | 16.09.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 21:00 CEST |
Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Dinamo Zagreb prediction
We predict Dinamo Zagreb to edge this one, but not comfortably. Their squad is deeper, their winrate this season sits at 67% against Beer Sheva’s 54%, and Beljo gives them a genuine goal threat that Beer Sheva’s back line, prone to conceding two per game, will struggle to contain fully.
Beer Sheva’s own attack has been productive enough to make a clean Dinamo win unlikely, though. Both sides have shown they can be breached defensively, and to be honest, a tight scoreline with goals at both ends looks the most probable path.
Beer Sheva’s discipline is a real concern, with three red cards and 14 yellow cards in their last five outings against Dinamo’s much cleaner 10 yellows and zero reds. Both teams pass at a similar tempo, with Beer Sheva completing around 86% of their attempts and Dinamo close behind, but Dinamo’s superior interception numbers (22 vs Beer Sheva’s much higher 50, largely from being under more defensive pressure) suggest Beer Sheva will spend long spells chasing the ball.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Both Teams To Score & Dinamo Zagreb to Win |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 9.5 |
Team Analysis
Hapoel Beer Sheva’s last match ended in a comfortable 2-0 win over Hapoel Petah Tikva, a result that papers over a patchy recent stretch. Before that, they lost 1-4 to Maccabi Tel Aviv, drew 2-2 with Hapoel Haifa, beat Hapoel Ramat Gan 2-1, and fell 2-3 to Sabah Baku. That is two wins, two losses and a draw in five, with 9 goals scored but 10 conceded, a defensive pattern that should worry Kozuch heading into European competition.
Dinamo Zagreb’s most recent outing was a rough one, a 4-2 defeat away to Osijek that snapped a run of decent form. Before that they beat Bedem Ivankovo 4-0, edged past Gorica 1-0, drew 2-2 with Istra 1961, and lost 1-3 to Viking. In our preview of Osijek vs Dinamo Zagreb we backed Dinamo to control the game and win by a couple of goals, leaning on their squad depth and Beljo’s finishing, but the 4-2 scoreline went firmly against that call, exposing a defense that has looked shaky against direct opposition.
🚨Check out our dedicated Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Dinamo Zagreb stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Dinamo Zagreb the favourite
- Moneyline Hapoel Beer Sheva 3.70 | Dinamo Zagreb 1.86
- Draw 3.60
The market has Dinamo as clear favourites at odds close to 1.86-1.98 across most books, roughly a 50-52% implied probability. Beer Sheva’s price above 3.50 reflects their inconsistent recent form and the disciplinary issues that have hurt them lately. We think the draw price around 3.60-3.89 offers some value given how open both defenses have looked, but a straight Dinamo win remains the statistically sound pick.
Possible Starting Lineups
Hapoel Beer Sheva possible starting eleven
- GK: Ofir Marciano
- DF: guy mizrahi, Djibril diop, Pedro Miguel Santos Amador, Itay Rotman
- MF: Niv Yehoshua, Eilel Peretz, Lucas de Souza Ventura
- FW: Amir Chaim Ganah, João Victor, Hamode Kanaan
Kozuch’s likely 4-3-3 leans on the players who have started every recent game. Marciano remains the trusted keeper, guy mizrahi and Djibril diop anchor the back line, and up front Amir Chaim Ganah’s ever-present role makes him the player to watch alongside Hamode Kanaan, who has combined a goal and an assist in limited minutes.
Dinamo Zagreb possible starting eleven
- GK: Ivan Filipović
- DF: Matteo Perez Vinlöf, Scott Mckenna, Sergi Dominguez, Moris Valincic
- MF: Josip Mišić, Miha Zajc, Lukas Kacavenda, Mislav Oršić, Kirill Kravtsov
- FW: Dion Drena Beljo
Kovacevic’s 4-1-4-1 shape gives Dinamo control through the middle, with Josip Mišić sitting deepest and Miha Zajc pushing forward to support Beljo, who looks the clearest attacking threat on either team. Scott Mckenna’s experience at the back should help settle a defense that wobbled against Osijek.
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Hapoel Beer Sheva. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo
TipsGG Match Prediction
We predict Dinamo Zagreb to win this one, perhaps by a single goal margin given how open both defenses have been lately. Beer Sheva’s tendency to concede two goals per game and their poor discipline, three reds in five matches, work against them here. Dinamo’s own defensive lapses against Osijek suggest Beer Sheva will find the net too, which is why both teams to score looks like the smarter side of this bet rather than backing a clean sheet for either club.
